Modelling groundwater contamination above the Asse 2 medium-level nuclear waste repository, Germany

The medium-level radioactive waste deposited in the Asse 2 salt mine, Germany, has a total activity of 1.2 × 10¹⁵ Bq (1 January 2002). The waste lies in a former mining chamber on the −511 m mining level close to the contact between the Mesozoic country rock and the Zechstein salt dome. The Mesozoic country rock is strongly faulted but the geometry of the fault pattern is incompletely known. Two tectonic cases are considered: a pessimistic case, which assumes that the radioactive source is linked to the surface by a single fault, and an optimistic case, which assumes that the radioactive source is not connected to any fault at all. The potential groundwater contamination by radioactive fluids expelled from the cavity is simulated with the TOUGH2 code for periods of up to 6,000 years, when the potential contamination reaches its greatest vertical extent. Two types of driving forces are considered: convergence of the rock salt surrounding the cavity and generation of H₂ gas by the corrosion of iron, steel and other metallic components of the waste at low O₂ fugacities. Rock-salt creep has the greatest potential impact, as it leads to a radioactive plume whose 1 Bq/L activity contour rises up to 240 m below the surface in the pessimistic tectonic case. The value of the model for the assessment of the environmental risk is limited. The knowledge of the hydrogeological situation is incomplete and the pessimistic tectonic case may not be pessimistic enough for a realistic worst-case scenario.