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Erschienen in:
ICT for Sustainability: An Emerging Research Field Kapitel lesen Erstes Kapitel lesen

2015 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

Modeling the Effects of ICT on Environmental Sustainability: Revisiting a System Dynamics Model Developed for the European Commission

verfasst von : Mohammad Ahmadi Achachlouei, Lorenz M. Hilty

Erschienen in: ICT Innovations for Sustainability

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

This chapter revisits a System Dynamics model developed in 2002 with the aim of exploring the future impacts of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) on environmental sustainability in the EU, which then consisted of 15 countries. The time horizon of the study was 20 years (2000–2020). We analyze the results in light of empirical data that is now available for 2000–2012. None of the three scenarios that were developed by experts to specify the external factors needed to run the model were realistic from today’s point of view. If the model is re-run with more realistic input data for the first half of the simulation period, however, the main results regarding the impact of ICT remain qualitatively the same; they seem to be relatively robust implications of the causal system structure, as it is represented in the model. Overall, the impacts of ICT for mitigating greenhouse gas emissions and other environmental burdens for 2020 tend to be slightly stronger if the simulation is based on the empirical data now available.

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Vorheriges Kapitel Rebound Effects and ICT: A Review of the Literature
Fußnoten
1
In this case, the system under study was defined as the sum of the national economies of EU15.
 
2
We retained the original identifiers for the variables (such as “M2”) for those readers who wish to consult [4] for details.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Modeling the Effects of ICT on Environmental Sustainability: Revisiting a System Dynamics Model Developed for the European Commission
verfasst von
Mohammad Ahmadi Achachlouei
Lorenz M. Hilty
Copyright-Jahr
2015
Buch
ICT Innovations for Sustainability

Print ISBN: 978-3-319-09227-0

Electronic ISBN: 978-3-319-09228-7

Copyright-Jahr: 2015

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-09228-7_27

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