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Erschienen in: Studies in Comparative International Development 4/2009

01.12.2009

New Paths: Globalization in Historical Perspective

verfasst von: Fernando Henrique Cardoso

Erschienen in: Studies in Comparative International Development | Ausgabe 4/2009

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Abstract

This essay argues that the historical–structural framework of analysis is still useful to describe the transformations generated by globalization in the underdeveloped countries, provided that it is employed with the subtlety needed to avoid reductionism. Globalization, in the same way as dependency, is nothing more than an unfolding of the capitalist system in today's historical conditions. The structural starting point conditions—but does not determine—the shape taken by economic and political processes. Political strategies for integrating into the global economy have a certain margin of autonomy. Still, the range of feasible strategies depends on factors that differ from country to country, such as the local capacity of income accumulation, the presence of foreign direct investment, the mix between nationally controlled production and production controlled by multinationals, the participation of the public sector in production, the capacity of the leadership, the prevailing ideologies, and so forth. In other words, there are alternative paths.

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Fußnoten
1
In the analysis of Latin America, the active presence of the national state was seen as the condition to achieve autonomy and economic growth at the same time.
 
2
Comparatively, Latin America was not the region with the highest rates of growth in the world. In 2006, it grew around 5% and the forecasts by ECLA and the World Bank point toward a decrease to 4.5% and less than 4%, respectively, in 2007 and 2008. These figures are lower than the forecasts for the average developing countries, expected to grow beyond 6%, not to speak of China, with an estimated rate estimated at more than 9% and India at more than 7%.
 
3
As we did in Dependency and Development in Latin America, it is necessary to reconstruct, in an in-depth way, the historical–structural situations through which each country came to grips with the challenges of globalization. On the diversity of the Latin American response to global challenges, see Carlos Pérez Llana (2007).
 
4
For a stimulating analysis of what anti-Americanism and the national-statist vision have meant for Latin America, see Eduardo Graeff (2006).
 
5
In Bolivia, for instance, more than 60% of the population declares itself to be indigenous.
 
6
In the case of the agro-industry, the role played by EMBRAPA, the state agency for agricultural and cattle-raising research, was prominent. With its more than 1,000 PhD's, it developed new techniques enabling the adaptation of seeds to savanna areas previously deemed unproductive, like the Brazilian cerrado.
 
7
There are around three dozen Brazilian corporations, including the state-owned oil company, that through mergers and acquisitions are expanding on a global basis. Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (renamed Vale) is the second largest global mining corporation, and Embraer has plants even in China. The steel, beverages, textiles, and citric industries are also becoming globalized.
 
8
In Brazil, after the Real Plan, there were more than $200 billion of FDI in production, and it continues to flow at high rates. Note that on average, FDI amounts to no more than 25% of the total investments in a year. The country's productive base, in agriculture, industry, and services, has experienced a strong qualitative change as a consequence despite many years of modest GDP growth.
 
9
A recent study by IMF economists recalculated the impact of the Plano Real on the income of the poorest. They concluded that instead of a 1.5% annual increase in income, it would be more correct to speak of 4.5%, which accounts for an immense cumulative effect (Ferreira et al. 2007). Moreover, the minimum wage has been growing, in real terms, at an average rate of 4% a year since 1993. As for inequality, measured by the Gini coefficient, it has also decreased, as outlined in the World Bank's report for the decade of the 1990s, and has continued to decrease in the current decade.
 
10
For the cases of Chile and Costa Rica, see Richard Sandbrook, Marc Edelman, Patrick Heller, and Judith Teichman (2007). See also Manuel Castells (2005).
 
11
The reference is to the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), which governed Mexico from 1929 until 2000.
 
12
By contrast, Brazilian exports have always been more diversified. In 2006, 18% were exported to the USA, 22% to the European Union, 23% to Latin America, and 37% to other parts of the world. Sixty percent of the exports are industrialized goods.
 
13
For an analysis of the different strategies of insertion in the global order, see Santiago, Javier (2006).
 
14
A recent study by Kristalina Georgieva, of the World Bank, compares along different dimensions the BRIC's relative participation in the global economy. It reveals that, depending on the dimension under consideration, one of the four countries—Brazil, Russia, India or China—emerges as better positioned to make the leap to the condition of a relevant player in the global scene.
 
Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Castells M. Globalización, desarrollo y democracia: Chile en el contexto mundial. Santiago de Chile: Fondo de Cultura Económica; 2005. Castells M. Globalización, desarrollo y democracia: Chile en el contexto mundial. Santiago de Chile: Fondo de Cultura Económica; 2005.
Zurück zum Zitat Ferreira F, Leite P, Lichtfeld J. The rise and fall of Brazilian inequality. Development Department, International Monetary Fund; 2007. Ferreira F, Leite P, Lichtfeld J. The rise and fall of Brazilian inequality. Development Department, International Monetary Fund; 2007.
Zurück zum Zitat Graeff E. Nossa América e a deles. Draft, Brasilia, July 2006. Graeff E. Nossa América e a deles. Draft, Brasilia, July 2006.
Zurück zum Zitat Pérez Llana C. Modelos políticos internos y alianzas externas. Universidad Siglo 21 y Torcuato di Tella, draft; 2007. Pérez Llana C. Modelos políticos internos y alianzas externas. Universidad Siglo 21 y Torcuato di Tella, draft; 2007.
Zurück zum Zitat Sandbrook R, Edelman M, Heller P, Teichman J. Social democracy in the global periphery: origins, challenges, prospects. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press; 2007. Sandbrook R, Edelman M, Heller P, Teichman J. Social democracy in the global periphery: origins, challenges, prospects. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press; 2007.
Zurück zum Zitat Santiago J. Latin America as a political economy of the possible. Cambridge: MIT University Press; 2006. Santiago J. Latin America as a political economy of the possible. Cambridge: MIT University Press; 2006.
Zurück zum Zitat Vernon R. Sovereignty at bay: the multinational spread of U.S. enterprises. New York: Basic Books; 1971. Vernon R. Sovereignty at bay: the multinational spread of U.S. enterprises. New York: Basic Books; 1971.
Metadaten
Titel
New Paths: Globalization in Historical Perspective
verfasst von
Fernando Henrique Cardoso
Publikationsdatum
01.12.2009
Verlag
Springer-Verlag
Erschienen in
Studies in Comparative International Development / Ausgabe 4/2009
Print ISSN: 0039-3606
Elektronische ISSN: 1936-6167
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12116-009-9050-3

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