Skip to main content

2018 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

5. Optimizing the Strategic Asset Allocation

verfasst von : Henrik Lumholdt

Erschienen in: Strategic and Tactical Asset Allocation

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

In the previous chapter, we discussed different approaches to forming expectations about future returns of the main asset classes but made only casual reference to the question of risk. In this chapter, we examine the issue of integrating risk and return, that is, optimizing the SAA. The mechanics of standard mean-variance optimization (MVO) are outlined in the Appendix to the book. Here we will focus on some of the challenges when applying MVO, possible remedies and alternative approaches.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Fußnoten
1
Early work in this field was done by Mandelbrot (1963a, b) and Fama (1965). For an overview of more recent studies, see, for example, Rachev et al. (2005).
 
2
Sample skewness is calculated as \( \frac{n}{\left(n-1\right)\left(n-2\right)}{\sum}_{i=1}^n{\left(\frac{x_i-\overline{x}}{\sigma_s}\right)}^3, \) where n is the number of observations, \( \overline{x} \) is the mean of the sample and σs is the standard deviation of the sample. As n becomes large, this expression can be approximated by \( \frac{1}{n}\kern0.1em {\sum}_{i=1}^n{\left(\frac{x-\overline{x}}{\sigma_s}\right)}^3. \) Excess kurtosis is calculated as \( \frac{n\left(n+1\right)}{\left(n-1\right)\left(n-2\right)\left(n-3\right)}{\sum}_{i=1}^n{\left(\frac{x_i-\overline{x}}{\sigma_s}\right)}^4-3 \) which can be approximated by \( \frac{1}{n}{\sum}_{i=1}^n{\left(\frac{x_i-\overline{x}}{\sigma_s}\right)}^4-3 \) for a large n.
 
3
Corresponding to a one-sided 99.73% confidence interval.
 
4
This value can be calculated in Excel by using the NORMSINV function.
 
5
See also Artzner et al. (1999).
 
6
See further Rockafellar and Uryasev (2002).
 
7
We provide an illustration of how weights are calculated using RP in the note at the end of the chapter.
 
Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Anderson, R., S. Bianchi, and L. Goldberg. 2012. “Will My Risk Parity Strategy Outperform?”, Financial Analysts Journal, 75–93. Anderson, R., S. Bianchi, and L. Goldberg. 2012. “Will My Risk Parity Strategy Outperform?”, Financial Analysts Journal, 75–93.
Zurück zum Zitat Ang, Andrew, and J. Chen. 2002. “Asymmetric Correlations of Equity Portfolios”, Journal of Financial Economics, 63(3), 443–494.CrossRef Ang, Andrew, and J. Chen. 2002. “Asymmetric Correlations of Equity Portfolios”, Journal of Financial Economics, 63(3), 443–494.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Artzner, P., F. Delbaen, J.-M. Eber, and D. Heath. 1999. “Coherent Measures of Risk”, Mathematical Finance, 9, 203–228.CrossRef Artzner, P., F. Delbaen, J.-M. Eber, and D. Heath. 1999. “Coherent Measures of Risk”, Mathematical Finance, 9, 203–228.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Asness, Clifford S., Andrea Frazzini, and Lasse H. Pedersen. 2012. “Leverage Aversion and Risk Parity”, Financial Analysts Journal, January/February, 68(1), 47–59. Asness, Clifford S., Andrea Frazzini, and Lasse H. Pedersen. 2012. “Leverage Aversion and Risk Parity”, Financial Analysts Journal, January/February, 68(1), 47–59.
Zurück zum Zitat Bae, K. H., G. A. Karolyi, and R. M. Stulz. 2003. “A New Approach to Measuring Financial Market Contagion”, Review of Financial Studies, 16, 717–64.CrossRef Bae, K. H., G. A. Karolyi, and R. M. Stulz. 2003. “A New Approach to Measuring Financial Market Contagion”, Review of Financial Studies, 16, 717–64.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Best, Michael J., and Robert G. Grauer. 1991. “On the Sensitivity of Mean-Variance-Efficient Portfolios to Changes in Asset Means: Some Analytical and Computational Results”, Review of Financial Studies, 4(2), 315. 28p. Best, Michael J., and Robert G. Grauer. 1991. “On the Sensitivity of Mean-Variance-Efficient Portfolios to Changes in Asset Means: Some Analytical and Computational Results”, Review of Financial Studies, 4(2), 315. 28p.
Zurück zum Zitat Britten-Jones, Mark. 1999. “The Sampling Error in Estimates of Mean-Variance Efficient Portfolio Weights”, The Journal of Finance, 54(2), 655–671.CrossRef Britten-Jones, Mark. 1999. “The Sampling Error in Estimates of Mean-Variance Efficient Portfolio Weights”, The Journal of Finance, 54(2), 655–671.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Broadie, M. 1993. “Computing Efficient Frontiers Using Estimated Parameters”, Annals of Operations Research: Special Issue on Financial Engineering, 45, 21–58. Broadie, M. 1993. “Computing Efficient Frontiers Using Estimated Parameters”, Annals of Operations Research: Special Issue on Financial Engineering, 45, 21–58.
Zurück zum Zitat Chow, G., E. Jacquier, M. Kritzman, and K. Lowry. 1999. “Optimal Portfolios in Good Times and Bad”, Financial Analysts Journal, 55(3), 65–73.CrossRef Chow, G., E. Jacquier, M. Kritzman, and K. Lowry. 1999. “Optimal Portfolios in Good Times and Bad”, Financial Analysts Journal, 55(3), 65–73.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat DeMiguel, Victor, Lorenzo Garlappi, and Raman Uppal. 2009. “Optimal Versus Naive Diversification: How Inefficient Is the 1/N Portfolio Strategy?”, Review of Financial Studies, 22, 1915–1953.CrossRef DeMiguel, Victor, Lorenzo Garlappi, and Raman Uppal. 2009. “Optimal Versus Naive Diversification: How Inefficient Is the 1/N Portfolio Strategy?”, Review of Financial Studies, 22, 1915–1953.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Fama, E. F. 1965. “The Behaviour of Stock-Market Prices”, Journal of Business, 38, 34–105.CrossRef Fama, E. F. 1965. “The Behaviour of Stock-Market Prices”, Journal of Business, 38, 34–105.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kaplan, Paul D. 2009. “Déjà Vu All Over Again”, Morningstar Advisor, (February/March): 29–33. Kaplan, Paul D. 2009. “Déjà Vu All Over Again”, Morningstar Advisor, (February/March): 29–33.
Zurück zum Zitat Kritzman, M., and Y. Li. 2010. “Skulls, Financial Turbulence, and Risk Management”, Financial Analysts Journal, 66, 30–41.CrossRef Kritzman, M., and Y. Li. 2010. “Skulls, Financial Turbulence, and Risk Management”, Financial Analysts Journal, 66, 30–41.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kritzman, M., S. Page, and D. Turkington. 2010. “In Defense of Optimization: The Fallacy of 1/N”, Financial Analysts Journal, 66(2), 31–39.CrossRef Kritzman, M., S. Page, and D. Turkington. 2010. “In Defense of Optimization: The Fallacy of 1/N”, Financial Analysts Journal, 66(2), 31–39.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Ledoit, Olivier, and Michael Wolf. 2003. “Improved Estimation of the Covariance Matrix of Stock Returns with an Application to Portfolio Selection”, Journal of Empirical Finance, 10, 603–621.CrossRef Ledoit, Olivier, and Michael Wolf. 2003. “Improved Estimation of the Covariance Matrix of Stock Returns with an Application to Portfolio Selection”, Journal of Empirical Finance, 10, 603–621.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Ledoit, Olivier, and Michael Wolf. 2004. “Honey, I Shrunk the Sample Covariance Matrix – Problems in Mean-Variance Optimization”, Journal of Portfolio Management, 30(4), 110–119.CrossRef Ledoit, Olivier, and Michael Wolf. 2004. “Honey, I Shrunk the Sample Covariance Matrix – Problems in Mean-Variance Optimization”, Journal of Portfolio Management, 30(4), 110–119.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Lintner, John. 1965a. “The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets”, Review of Economics and Statistics, February, 47, 13–37. Lintner, John. 1965a. “The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets”, Review of Economics and Statistics, February, 47, 13–37.
Zurück zum Zitat Lintner, John. 1965b. “Security Prices, Risk and Maximal Gains from Diversification”, Journal of Finance, December, 20, 587–615. Lintner, John. 1965b. “Security Prices, Risk and Maximal Gains from Diversification”, Journal of Finance, December, 20, 587–615.
Zurück zum Zitat Longin, F. and Solnik, B. 2001. “Extreme correlation of international equity markets”, Journal of Finance, 56(2), 649–676. Longin, F. and Solnik, B. 2001. “Extreme correlation of international equity markets”, Journal of Finance, 56(2), 649–676.
Zurück zum Zitat Mandelbrot, B. B. 1963a. “New Methods in Statistical Economics”, Journal of Political Economy, 71, 421–40.CrossRef Mandelbrot, B. B. 1963a. “New Methods in Statistical Economics”, Journal of Political Economy, 71, 421–40.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Mandelbrot, B. B. 1963b. “The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices”, Journal of Business, 36, 394–419.CrossRef Mandelbrot, B. B. 1963b. “The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices”, Journal of Business, 36, 394–419.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Markowitz, Harry. 1952. “Portfolio Selection”, Journal of Finance, March, 7, 77–91. Markowitz, Harry. 1952. “Portfolio Selection”, Journal of Finance, March, 7, 77–91.
Zurück zum Zitat Markowitz, Harry. 1959. Portfolio Selection: Efficient Diversifications of Investments. Cowles Foundation. Monograph No. 16. New York: John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Markowitz, Harry. 1959. Portfolio Selection: Efficient Diversifications of Investments. Cowles Foundation. Monograph No. 16. New York: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Zurück zum Zitat Michaud, R. 1989. “The Markowitz Optimization Enigma: Is Optimization Optimal?” Financial Analysts Journal, 45(1), 31–42.CrossRef Michaud, R. 1989. “The Markowitz Optimization Enigma: Is Optimization Optimal?” Financial Analysts Journal, 45(1), 31–42.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Mossin, Jan. 1966. “Equilibrium in a Capital Asset Market”, Econometrica, October, 35, 768–83. Mossin, Jan. 1966. “Equilibrium in a Capital Asset Market”, Econometrica, October, 35, 768–83.
Zurück zum Zitat Rachev, S. T., C. Menn, and F. J. Fabozzi. 2005. “Fat-Tailed and Skewed Asset Distributions”. New York: Wiley. Rachev, S. T., C. Menn, and F. J. Fabozzi. 2005. “Fat-Tailed and Skewed Asset Distributions”. New York: Wiley.
Zurück zum Zitat Rockafellar, T. R., and S. Uryasev 2002. “Conditional Value-at-Risk for General Loss Distribution”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 26(7), 1443–1471.CrossRef Rockafellar, T. R., and S. Uryasev 2002. “Conditional Value-at-Risk for General Loss Distribution”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 26(7), 1443–1471.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Sharpe, William F. 1964. “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk”, Journal of Finance, September, 19, 425–442. Sharpe, William F. 1964. “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk”, Journal of Finance, September, 19, 425–442.
Zurück zum Zitat Treynor, J. L. 1962. “Toward a Theory of Market Value of Risky Assets”, Unpublished manuscript. Final version in Asset Pricing and Portfolio Performance, 1999, ed. Robert A. Korajczyk, 15–22. London: Risk Books. Treynor, J. L. 1962. “Toward a Theory of Market Value of Risky Assets”, Unpublished manuscript. Final version in Asset Pricing and Portfolio Performance, 1999, ed. Robert A. Korajczyk, 15–22. London: Risk Books.
Zurück zum Zitat Xiong, J. X., and T. M. Idzorek. 2011. “The Impact of Skewness and Fat Tails on the Asset Allocation Decision”, Financial Analysts Journal, 67(2), 23–35.CrossRef Xiong, J. X., and T. M. Idzorek. 2011. “The Impact of Skewness and Fat Tails on the Asset Allocation Decision”, Financial Analysts Journal, 67(2), 23–35.CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
Optimizing the Strategic Asset Allocation
verfasst von
Henrik Lumholdt
Copyright-Jahr
2018
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-89554-3_5