Skip to main content

2017 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

4. Parameter Estimation: Definition and Sampling Design

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Process control and supervision are based mainly on the use of models. These models have to be as accurate as possible to generate reliable results. Complex systems, like water distribution networks, need such models in order to comprehend them. Models presented in Chap. 3 are used in simulation, optimization, supervision, leak detection, etc. When the model is generated, large errors are introduced. These errors discourage the technicians unless they are corrected in a first calibration effort: macrocalibration. This is an ad hoc process that is done manually. The methodology, carried out by the experts, can be partially addressed using artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms. Once the major errors are solved, the parameter tuning, microcalibration, is posed as an optimization problem. Before these procedures are applied, the problem and the information available have to be analysed in order to assure the reliability of the resulting model. Given a number of parameters to be estimated, the measurements required for guaranteeing the identifiability and the well-posedness of the problem may be too exigent. Thus, the sampling design is often associated with a redefinition of the parameters to be estimated. In this chapter, both the parameterization and the sampling design are presented proposing a methodology that has given promising results with real water distribution networks.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
1.
Zurück zum Zitat Ahmed I, Lansey K, Araujo J (1999) Data collection for water distribution network calibration. In: 2nd International conference on water pipeline systems, pp 271–278, Exeter Ahmed I, Lansey K, Araujo J (1999) Data collection for water distribution network calibration. In: 2nd International conference on water pipeline systems, pp 271–278, Exeter
2.
Zurück zum Zitat American Water Works Association Research Committee on Distribution Systems (1974) Water distribution research and applied development needs. J Am Water Works Assoc 66(6):385–390 American Water Works Association Research Committee on Distribution Systems (1974) Water distribution research and applied development needs. J Am Water Works Assoc 66(6):385–390
3.
Zurück zum Zitat Aster R, Borchers B, Thurber C (2005) Parameter estimation and inverse problems. Elsevier, New YorkMATH Aster R, Borchers B, Thurber C (2005) Parameter estimation and inverse problems. Elsevier, New YorkMATH
4.
Zurück zum Zitat Bard Y (1974) Nonlinear parameter estimation. Academic Press, San Diego, CaliforniaMATH Bard Y (1974) Nonlinear parameter estimation. Academic Press, San Diego, CaliforniaMATH
5.
Zurück zum Zitat Bargiela A (1985) An algorithm for observability determination in water-system state estimation. Control Theory Appl 132(6):245–250CrossRefMATH Bargiela A (1985) An algorithm for observability determination in water-system state estimation. Control Theory Appl 132(6):245–250CrossRefMATH
6.
Zurück zum Zitat Behzadian K, Kapelan Z, Savic D, Ardeshir A (2009) Stochastic sampling design using a multi-objective genetic algorithm and adaptive neural networks. Environ Modell Softw 24(4):530–541CrossRef Behzadian K, Kapelan Z, Savic D, Ardeshir A (2009) Stochastic sampling design using a multi-objective genetic algorithm and adaptive neural networks. Environ Modell Softw 24(4):530–541CrossRef
7.
Zurück zum Zitat Bonada E, Meseguer J, Mirats Tur JM (2014) Practical-oriented pressure sensor placement for model-based leakage location in water distribution networks. In: Piasecki M (ed) Informatics and the environment: data and model integration in a heterogeneous hydro world. New York Bonada E, Meseguer J, Mirats Tur JM (2014) Practical-oriented pressure sensor placement for model-based leakage location in water distribution networks. In: Piasecki M (ed) Informatics and the environment: data and model integration in a heterogeneous hydro world. New York
8.
Zurück zum Zitat Bush C, Uber J (1998) Sampling design methods for water distribution model calibration. J Water Resour Plan Manage 124(6):334–344CrossRef Bush C, Uber J (1998) Sampling design methods for water distribution model calibration. J Water Resour Plan Manage 124(6):334–344CrossRef
9.
Zurück zum Zitat Carpentier P, Cohen G (1991) State estimation and leak detection in water distribution networks. Civil Eng Syst 8(4):247–257CrossRef Carpentier P, Cohen G (1991) State estimation and leak detection in water distribution networks. Civil Eng Syst 8(4):247–257CrossRef
10.
Zurück zum Zitat Chen LC (1995) Pipe network transient analysis—the forward and inverse problems. PhD thesis, Cornell University Chen LC (1995) Pipe network transient analysis—the forward and inverse problems. PhD thesis, Cornell University
11.
Zurück zum Zitat Cheng W, He Z (2011) Calibration of nodal demand in water distribution systems. J Water Resour Plan Manage 137(1):31–40CrossRef Cheng W, He Z (2011) Calibration of nodal demand in water distribution systems. J Water Resour Plan Manage 137(1):31–40CrossRef
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Datta R, Sridharan K (1994) Parameter estimation in water distribution systems by least squares. J Water Resour Plan Manage 120(4):405–422CrossRef Datta R, Sridharan K (1994) Parameter estimation in water distribution systems by least squares. J Water Resour Plan Manage 120(4):405–422CrossRef
13.
Zurück zum Zitat de Schaetzen WBF, Walters GA, Savic DA (2000) Optimal sampling design for model calibration using shortest path, genetic and entropy algorithms. Urban Water J 2(2):141–152CrossRef de Schaetzen WBF, Walters GA, Savic DA (2000) Optimal sampling design for model calibration using shortest path, genetic and entropy algorithms. Urban Water J 2(2):141–152CrossRef
14.
Zurück zum Zitat Del Giudice G, Di Cristo C (2003) Sampling design for water distribution networks. Trans Ecol Environ 61 Del Giudice G, Di Cristo C (2003) Sampling design for water distribution networks. Trans Ecol Environ 61
15.
Zurück zum Zitat Eggener C, Polwoski L (1976) Network models and the impact of modeling assumptions. J Am Water Works Assoc 68(4):189–196 Eggener C, Polwoski L (1976) Network models and the impact of modeling assumptions. J Am Water Works Assoc 68(4):189–196
16.
Zurück zum Zitat Ferreri G, Napoli E, Tumbiolo A (1994) Calibration of roughness in water distribution systems. In: 2nd International conference on water pipeline systems, pp 379–396 Ferreri G, Napoli E, Tumbiolo A (1994) Calibration of roughness in water distribution systems. In: 2nd International conference on water pipeline systems, pp 379–396
17.
Zurück zum Zitat Giustolisi O, Walski T (2012) Demand components in water distribution network analysis. J Water Resour Plan Manage 138(4):356–367CrossRef Giustolisi O, Walski T (2012) Demand components in water distribution network analysis. J Water Resour Plan Manage 138(4):356–367CrossRef
18.
Zurück zum Zitat Goulet J-A, Coutu S, Smith IFC (2013) Model falsification diagnosis and sensor placement for leak detection in pressurized pipe networks. Adv Eng Inform 27(2):261–269CrossRef Goulet J-A, Coutu S, Smith IFC (2013) Model falsification diagnosis and sensor placement for leak detection in pressurized pipe networks. Adv Eng Inform 27(2):261–269CrossRef
19.
Zurück zum Zitat Griewank A, Juedes D, Mitev H, Utke J, Vogel O, Walther A (1998) ADOL-C: a package for the automatic differentiation of algorithms written in C/C++ Griewank A, Juedes D, Mitev H, Utke J, Vogel O, Walther A (1998) ADOL-C: a package for the automatic differentiation of algorithms written in C/C++
20.
Zurück zum Zitat Hutton CJ, Kapelan Z, Vamvakeridou-Lyroudia L, Savić DA (2014) Dealing with uncertainty in water distribution system models: a framework for real-time modeling and data assimilation. J Water Resour Plan Manage 140(2):169–183CrossRef Hutton CJ, Kapelan Z, Vamvakeridou-Lyroudia L, Savić DA (2014) Dealing with uncertainty in water distribution system models: a framework for real-time modeling and data assimilation. J Water Resour Plan Manage 140(2):169–183CrossRef
21.
Zurück zum Zitat Kang D, Lansey K (2010) Optimal meter placement for water distribution system state estimation. J Water Resour Plan Manage 136(3):337–347CrossRef Kang D, Lansey K (2010) Optimal meter placement for water distribution system state estimation. J Water Resour Plan Manage 136(3):337–347CrossRef
22.
Zurück zum Zitat Kapelan Z, Savic D, Walters G (2003) Multiobjective sampling design for water distribution model calibration. J Water Resour Plan Manage 129(6):466–479CrossRef Kapelan Z, Savic D, Walters G (2003) Multiobjective sampling design for water distribution model calibration. J Water Resour Plan Manage 129(6):466–479CrossRef
23.
Zurück zum Zitat Kapelan Z, Savic D, Walters G (2003) A hybrid inverse transient model for leakage detection and roughness calibration in pipe networks. J Hydraul Res 41(5):481–492CrossRef Kapelan Z, Savic D, Walters G (2003) A hybrid inverse transient model for leakage detection and roughness calibration in pipe networks. J Hydraul Res 41(5):481–492CrossRef
24.
Zurück zum Zitat Kapelan Z, Savic D, Walters G (2005) Optimal sampling design methodologies for water distribution model calibration. J Hydraul Eng 131(3):190–200CrossRef Kapelan Z, Savic D, Walters G (2005) Optimal sampling design methodologies for water distribution model calibration. J Hydraul Eng 131(3):190–200CrossRef
25.
Zurück zum Zitat Krumpholz G, Clements K, Davis P (1980) Power system observability: a practical algorithm using network topology. IEEE Trans Power Apparatus Syst PAS-99(4):1534–1542 Krumpholz G, Clements K, Davis P (1980) Power system observability: a practical algorithm using network topology. IEEE Trans Power Apparatus Syst PAS-99(4):1534–1542
26.
Zurück zum Zitat Lansey K, Basnet C (1991) Parameter estimation for water distribution networks. J Water Resour Plan Manage 117(1):126CrossRef Lansey K, Basnet C (1991) Parameter estimation for water distribution networks. J Water Resour Plan Manage 117(1):126CrossRef
27.
Zurück zum Zitat Lansey K, El-Shorbagy W, Ahmed I, Araujo J, Haan C (2001) Calibration assessment and data collection for water distribution networks. J Hydraul Eng 127(4):270–279CrossRef Lansey K, El-Shorbagy W, Ahmed I, Araujo J, Haan C (2001) Calibration assessment and data collection for water distribution networks. J Hydraul Eng 127(4):270–279CrossRef
28.
Zurück zum Zitat Liggett J, Chen L (1994) Inverse transient analysis in pipe networks. J Hydraul Eng 120(8):934–955CrossRef Liggett J, Chen L (1994) Inverse transient analysis in pipe networks. J Hydraul Eng 120(8):934–955CrossRef
29.
Zurück zum Zitat Loaiciga H, Charbeneau R, Everett L, Fogg G, Hobbs B, Rouhani S (1992) Review of ground water quality monitoring network design. J Hydraul Eng 118(1):11–37CrossRef Loaiciga H, Charbeneau R, Everett L, Fogg G, Hobbs B, Rouhani S (1992) Review of ground water quality monitoring network design. J Hydraul Eng 118(1):11–37CrossRef
30.
Zurück zum Zitat Mallick K, Ahmed I, Tickle K, Lansey K (2002) Determining pipe groupings for water distribution networks. J Water Resour Plan Manage 128(2):130–139CrossRef Mallick K, Ahmed I, Tickle K, Lansey K (2002) Determining pipe groupings for water distribution networks. J Water Resour Plan Manage 128(2):130–139CrossRef
31.
Zurück zum Zitat Meier R, Barkdoll B (2000) Sampling design for network model calibration using genetic algorithms. J Water Resour Plan Manage 126(4):245–250CrossRef Meier R, Barkdoll B (2000) Sampling design for network model calibration using genetic algorithms. J Water Resour Plan Manage 126(4):245–250CrossRef
32.
Zurück zum Zitat Nejjari F, Sarrate R, Blesa J (2015) Optimal pressure sensor placement in water distribution networks minimizing leak location uncertainty. Procedia Eng 119:953–962CrossRef Nejjari F, Sarrate R, Blesa J (2015) Optimal pressure sensor placement in water distribution networks minimizing leak location uncertainty. Procedia Eng 119:953–962CrossRef
33.
Zurück zum Zitat Ormsbee L (1989) Implicit network calibration. J Water Resour Plan Manage 115(2):243–257CrossRef Ormsbee L (1989) Implicit network calibration. J Water Resour Plan Manage 115(2):243–257CrossRef
34.
Zurück zum Zitat Ostfeld A, Salomons E, Ormsbee L, Uber J, Bros C, Kalungi P, Burd R, Zazula-Coetzee B, Belrain T, Kang D, Lansey K, Shen H, McBean E, Wu ZY, Walski T, Alvisi S, Franchini M, Johnson J, Ghimire S, Barkdoll B, Koppel T, Vassiljev A, Kim JH, Chung G, Yoo DG, Diao K, Zhou Y, Li J, Liu Z, Chang K, Gao J, Qu S, Yuan Y, Devi Prasad T, Laucelli D, Vamvakeridou Lyroudia L, Kapelan Z, Savic D, Berardi L, Barbaro G, Giustolisi O, Asadzadeh M, Tolson B, McKillop R (2012) Battle of the water calibration networks. J Water Resour Plan Manage 138(5):523–532CrossRef Ostfeld A, Salomons E, Ormsbee L, Uber J, Bros C, Kalungi P, Burd R, Zazula-Coetzee B, Belrain T, Kang D, Lansey K, Shen H, McBean E, Wu ZY, Walski T, Alvisi S, Franchini M, Johnson J, Ghimire S, Barkdoll B, Koppel T, Vassiljev A, Kim JH, Chung G, Yoo DG, Diao K, Zhou Y, Li J, Liu Z, Chang K, Gao J, Qu S, Yuan Y, Devi Prasad T, Laucelli D, Vamvakeridou Lyroudia L, Kapelan Z, Savic D, Berardi L, Barbaro G, Giustolisi O, Asadzadeh M, Tolson B, McKillop R (2012) Battle of the water calibration networks. J Water Resour Plan Manage 138(5):523–532CrossRef
35.
36.
Zurück zum Zitat Pérez R (2003) Identifiability and calibration of water network models. PhD thesis, Universitat de Catalunya Pérez R (2003) Identifiability and calibration of water network models. PhD thesis, Universitat de Catalunya
37.
Zurück zum Zitat Pérez R, Puig V, Pascual J, Peralta A, Landeros E, Ll Jordanas (2009) Pressure sensor distribution for leak detection in Barcelona water distribution network. Water Sci Technol: Water Supply 9(6):715 Pérez R, Puig V, Pascual J, Peralta A, Landeros E, Ll Jordanas (2009) Pressure sensor distribution for leak detection in Barcelona water distribution network. Water Sci Technol: Water Supply 9(6):715
38.
Zurück zum Zitat Pérez R, Sanz G (2014) Optimal placement of metering devices for multiple purposes. In: 11th International conference on hydroinformatics, New York Pérez R, Sanz G (2014) Optimal placement of metering devices for multiple purposes. In: 11th International conference on hydroinformatics, New York
39.
Zurück zum Zitat Pérez R, Sanz G, Puig V, Quevedo J, Escofet MAC, Nejjari F, Meseguer J, Cembrano G, Mirats Tur JM, Sarrate R (2014) Leak localization in water networks: a model-based methodology using pressure sensors applied to a real network in Barcelona [applications of control]. IEEE Control Syst 34(4):24–36MathSciNetCrossRef Pérez R, Sanz G, Puig V, Quevedo J, Escofet MAC, Nejjari F, Meseguer J, Cembrano G, Mirats Tur JM, Sarrate R (2014) Leak localization in water networks: a model-based methodology using pressure sensors applied to a real network in Barcelona [applications of control]. IEEE Control Syst 34(4):24–36MathSciNetCrossRef
40.
Zurück zum Zitat Piller O, Bremond B, Morel P (1999) A spatial sampling procedure for physical diagnosis in a drinking water supply network. In: Savic DA, Walters GA (eds) Water industry systems: modelling and optimization applications, pp 309–316. Exceter Piller O, Bremond B, Morel P (1999) A spatial sampling procedure for physical diagnosis in a drinking water supply network. In: Savic DA, Walters GA (eds) Water industry systems: modelling and optimization applications, pp 309–316. Exceter
41.
Zurück zum Zitat Piller O, Deuerlein J, Gilbert D, Weber J-M (2015) Installing fixed sensors for double calibration and early-warning detection purposes. Procedia Eng 119:564–572CrossRef Piller O, Deuerlein J, Gilbert D, Weber J-M (2015) Installing fixed sensors for double calibration and early-warning detection purposes. Procedia Eng 119:564–572CrossRef
42.
Zurück zum Zitat Pinzinger R, Deuerlein J, Wolters A, Simpson A (2011) Alternative approaches for solving the sensor placement problem in large networks. In: Water distribution systems analysis 2011 Pinzinger R, Deuerlein J, Wolters A, Simpson A (2011) Alternative approaches for solving the sensor placement problem in large networks. In: Water distribution systems analysis 2011
43.
Zurück zum Zitat Sanz G, Pérez R (2014) Comparison of Demand Pattern Calibration in Water Distribution Network with Geographic and Non-Geographic Parameterization. In: 11th International conference on hydroinformatics, New York Sanz G, Pérez R (2014) Comparison of Demand Pattern Calibration in Water Distribution Network with Geographic and Non-Geographic Parameterization. In: 11th International conference on hydroinformatics, New York
44.
Zurück zum Zitat Sanz G, Pérez R (2014) Demand pattern calibration in water distribution networks. Procedia Eng 70:1495–1504CrossRef Sanz G, Pérez R (2014) Demand pattern calibration in water distribution networks. Procedia Eng 70:1495–1504CrossRef
45.
Zurück zum Zitat Sanz G, Pérez R (2014) Parameterization and sampling design for water networks demand calibration using the singular value decomposition: application to a real network. In: 11th International conference on hydroinformatics, New York Sanz G, Pérez R (2014) Parameterization and sampling design for water networks demand calibration using the singular value decomposition: application to a real network. In: 11th International conference on hydroinformatics, New York
46.
Zurück zum Zitat Sanz G, Pérez R (2015) Sensitivity analysis for sampling design and demand calibration in water distribution networks using the singular value decomposition. J Water Resour Plan Manage 04015020 Sanz G, Pérez R (2015) Sensitivity analysis for sampling design and demand calibration in water distribution networks using the singular value decomposition. J Water Resour Plan Manage 04015020
47.
Zurück zum Zitat Savic D, Kapelan Z, Jonkergouw P (2009) Quo vadis water distribution model calibration? Urban Water J 6(1):3–22CrossRef Savic D, Kapelan Z, Jonkergouw P (2009) Quo vadis water distribution model calibration? Urban Water J 6(1):3–22CrossRef
48.
Zurück zum Zitat Shamir U, Howard C (1977) Engineering analysis of water-distribution systems. J Am Water Works Assoc 69(9):510–514 Shamir U, Howard C (1977) Engineering analysis of water-distribution systems. J Am Water Works Assoc 69(9):510–514
49.
Zurück zum Zitat Sorenson H (1980) Parameter estimation: principles and problems. Marcel Dekker, New YorkMATH Sorenson H (1980) Parameter estimation: principles and problems. Marcel Dekker, New YorkMATH
50.
Zurück zum Zitat Sumer D, Lansey K (2009) WDS calibration and assessment for alternative modelling objectives. Urban Water J 6(4):265–277CrossRef Sumer D, Lansey K (2009) WDS calibration and assessment for alternative modelling objectives. Urban Water J 6(4):265–277CrossRef
51.
Zurück zum Zitat Walski T (1983) Technique for calibrating network models. J Water Resour Plan Manage 109(4):360CrossRef Walski T (1983) Technique for calibrating network models. J Water Resour Plan Manage 109(4):360CrossRef
52.
Zurück zum Zitat Walski T (1985) Assuring accurate model calibration. J Am Water Works Assoc 77(12):38–41 Walski T (1985) Assuring accurate model calibration. J Am Water Works Assoc 77(12):38–41
53.
Zurück zum Zitat Walski T (1995) Standards for model calibration. In: American water works association computer conference, Norfolk Walski T (1995) Standards for model calibration. In: American water works association computer conference, Norfolk
54.
Zurück zum Zitat Walski T (2000) Model calibration data: the good, the bad, and the useless. J Am Water Works Assoc 92(1):94–99 Walski T (2000) Model calibration data: the good, the bad, and the useless. J Am Water Works Assoc 92(1):94–99
55.
Zurück zum Zitat Walski T, Sage P, Zheng W (2014) What does it take to make automated calibration find closed valves and leaks? World Environ Water Resour Congr 2014:555–565 Walski T, Sage P, Zheng W (2014) What does it take to make automated calibration find closed valves and leaks? World Environ Water Resour Congr 2014:555–565
56.
Zurück zum Zitat Walter E, Pronzato L (1996) On the identifiability and distinguishability of nonlinear parametric models. Math Comput Simul 42(2–3):125–134CrossRefMATH Walter E, Pronzato L (1996) On the identifiability and distinguishability of nonlinear parametric models. Math Comput Simul 42(2–3):125–134CrossRefMATH
57.
Zurück zum Zitat Wiggins R (1972) The general linear inverse problem: Implication of surface waves and free oscillations for Earth structure. Rev Geophys 10(1):251–285CrossRef Wiggins R (1972) The general linear inverse problem: Implication of surface waves and free oscillations for Earth structure. Rev Geophys 10(1):251–285CrossRef
58.
Zurück zum Zitat William Y (1986) Review of parameter identification procedures in groundwater hydrology: the inverse problem. Water Resour Res 2:95–108 William Y (1986) Review of parameter identification procedures in groundwater hydrology: the inverse problem. Water Resour Res 2:95–108
59.
Metadaten
Titel
Parameter Estimation: Definition and Sampling Design
verfasst von
Gerard Sanz
Ramon Pérez
Copyright-Jahr
2017
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-50751-4_4

Neuer Inhalt