nach oben

Erschienen in:

2010 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

7. Prospects for Ethanol and Biodiesel, 2008 to 2017 and Impacts on Agriculture and Food

verfasst von : John (Jake) Ferris, Satish Joshi

Erschienen in: Handbook of Bioenergy Economics and Policy

Verlag: Springer New York

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config

KI-gestützte Suche

Aus

Abstract

The impacts of increased biofuels production on key agricultural variables and consumer prices are analyzed using a multisector econometric model AGMOD. A “baseline” scenario and three alternative crude oil price scenarios are presented. Results indicate that conventional biofuels mandates of the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 can be met with moderate increases in crop area and consumer prices. Biodiesel production will increasingly need to draw on non-soybean oil sources. However, except under the “high crude oil price” scenario, ethanol and biodiesel will require a premium over their energy equivalent prices. Production of cellulosic ethanol is likely to be minor through 2017.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 102.000 Bücher
über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 67.000 Bücher
über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 67.000 Bücher
über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Vorheriges Kapitel Biofuels and Agricultural Growth: Challenges for Developing Agricultural Economies and Opportunities for Investment

Nächstes Kapitel The Global Bioenergy Expansion: How Large Are the Food−Fuel Trade-Offs?

Authors’ note: Much of the historical data in this analysis were obtained from the “PS&D Online” program of the USDA’s Foreign Agriculture Service; from USDA’s Economic Research Service, the National Agricultural Statistics Service and the World Agricultural Outlook Board. For prices on biodiesel and related feedstock, the Jacobsen Publishing Co. was a valuable source (Jacobsen Publishing, 2008).

Aden A, Ruth M, Ibsen K, et al. (2002) Lignocellulosic biomass to ethanol process design and economics utilizing co-current dilute acid prehydrolysis for corn stover. NREL/TP-510-32438. Golden, CO: US Department of Energy, National Renewable Energy Laboratory. http://www1.eere.energy.gov/biomass/pdfs/32438.pdf Accessed 11 September 2007.

Canakci M, Van Gerpen J (2001) A pilot plant to produce biodiesel from high free fatty acid feedstocks.Paper No. 016049. 2001 ASAE Annual International Meeting, Sacramento, CA, July 30-August 1, 2001. http://asea.frymulti.com/request.asp?JID=5&AID=4209&CID=sca2001&T=2 Accessed 11 September 2007

Carolan J, Joshi S, Dale B (2007) Technical and financial feasibility analysis of distributed bioprocessing using regional biomass pre-processing centers. J Agric Food Industrial Org, 5 (2) http://www.bepress.com/jafio/vol5/iss2/art10/

Collins K (2007) Statement of Keith Collins, Chief Economist, U.S. Department of Agriculture before the U.S. Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition and Forestry, January 10, 2007. Washington, DC: Office of the Chief Economist, US Department of Agriculture, http://www.usda.gov/oce/newsroom/congressional_testimony/Collins_011007.pdf Accessed 20 June 2008.

Coskata (2008) http://www.coskata.com/Accessed 20 June 2008.

Ferris J (2005) Agricultural prices and commodity market analysis. 2nd ed. East Lansing, MI: Michigan State University Press: 136–137.

Ferris J (2006) Modeling the US domestic livestock feed sector in a period of rapidly expanding by-product feed supplies from ethanol production. Staff Paper 2006-34. East Lansing, MI: Michigan State University, Department of Agricultural Economics.

Haas M, McAloon A, Yee W, Foglia T (2006) A process model to estimate biodiesel production costs. Bioresource Technology 97 (4):671–678.CrossRef

Jacobsen Publishing Co (2009) Biodiesel Bulletin. Fats and Oils Bulletin. Grain & Food − The Feed Bulletin. Various issues and archives. 1123 West Washington, Chicago, IL

McAloon A, Taylor F, Yee W, Ibsen K, Wooley R (2000) Determining the cost of producing ethanol from corn starch and lignocellulosic feedstocks. NREL/TP-580-28893. Golden, CO: US Department of Agriculture and US Department of Energy, National Renewable Energy Laboratory. http://www.ethanol-gec.org/information/briefing/16.pdf Accessed 20 June 2008.

National Biodiesel Board (2008) Commercial Biodiesel Production Plants, http://www.nbb.org. Accessed 20 September 2008.

Renewable Fuels Association (2009) 2009 Ethanol Industry Outlook.February 2009.

Shapouri H, Gallagher P (2005) USDA’s 2002 Ethanol cost-of-production survey. Agricultural Economic Report Number 841. Washington, DC: US Department of Agriculture, Office of Energy Policy and New Uses. http://www.usda.gov/oce/reports/energy/USDA_2002_ETHANOL.pdf Accessed 20 June 2008.

US Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service (2009) Statistical Indicators. Table 8. January. http://www.ers.usda.gov/Publications/Agoutlook/AOTables/

US Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service (2008) International macroeconomic data set. http://www.ers.usda.gov/data/macroeconomics/, Accessed 20 December 2008.

US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agriculture Service (2008) Production, Supply and Distribution Online. http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdhome.aspx Accessed 20 December 2008.

US Department of Energy (2007) DOE selects six cellulosic ethanol plants for up to $385 million in federal funding. Press Release 4827. Washington, DC: US Department of Energy, February 28, 2007. http://www.energy.gov/news/4827.htm Accessed 11 September 2007

US Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration (2008) Annual energy outlook 2008 with projections to 2030. Report # DOE/EIA-0383(2008) Washington, DC: US Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration. http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/aeo/pdf/0383(2008).pdf Accessed 28 June 2008

US Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration (2008) Annual energy outlook 2009. #DOE/EIA − 0383(2009) Early Release.

Titel: Prospects for Ethanol and Biodiesel, 2008 to 2017 and Impacts on Agriculture and Food
verfasst von: John (Jake) Ferris
Satish Joshi
Verlag: Springer New York
Buch: Handbook of Bioenergy Economics and Policy
Print ISBN: 978-1-4419-0368-6

Electronic ISBN: 978-1-4419-0369-3

Copyright-Jahr: 2010
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-0369-3_7

Springer Professional

Abstract

Bitte loggen Sie sich ein, um Zugang zu Ihrer Lizenz zu erhalten.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Springer Professional "Technik"

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Premium Partner