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2017 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

2. Revolutionary Developments Between 1750 and 1810

verfasst von : Craig Turnbull

Erschienen in: A History of British Actuarial Thought

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

The second half of the eighteenth century was a remarkable period of development for both probability (and statistics) and actuarial thought (and practice) more broadly. Two fundamentally important fields of statistical and actuarial thought emerged over the period that can each now be seen as a natural flowering of the seeds planted over the previous 100 years. First, a number of major theoretical breakthroughs were made that created the permanent foundations for the inversion of mathematical probability into inferential statistics. Second, the whole-of-life-with-profit policy was conceived and successfully brought to market. This transformed life assurance from a short-term insurance contract into a long-term savings vehicle that strongly resonated with the emerging professional classes of late-Georgian Britain.

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Fußnoten
1
Bayes (1764).
 
2
Todhunter (1865).
 
3
Hume (1739).
 
4
Bayes (1764).
 
5
Hacking (1965), p. 190.
 
6
Boole (1854), p. 370.
 
7
Fisher (1956), p. 16.
 
8
Fisher (1956), p. 20.
 
9
Laplace (1774).
 
10
Laplace (1781).
 
11
Stigler (1986), Chapter 3, p. 103.
 
12
Euler (1749). See Chapter 1 of Stigler (1986) for further discussion of Euler and the treatment of discordant astronomical observations.
 
13
Legendre (1805).
 
14
Gauss (1809).
 
15
Laplace (1810).
 
16
Dodson (1756), Chapter 1.
 
17
Dodson (1756), Chapter 1.
 
18
Dodson (1756), Chapter 3.
 
19
Dodson (1756), Chapter 4.
 
20
Walford (1868), Chapter 4.
 
21
The following quotations from the report of the Attorney General and Solicitor General are obtained from Ogborn (1962), Chapter II.
 
22
Hacking (1975), p. 113.
 
23
Price (1772).
 
24
Price (1772), p. 246.
 
25
Deane and Cole (1967), Chapter 1, Section 2.
 
26
Price (1772), pp. 257–258.
 
27
Price (1772), p. 124.
 
28
Price (1772), p. 129.
 
29
Price (1772), p. 129.
 
30
Price, Observations, p. 131.
 
31
Morgan (1829), p. 20.
 
32
Morgan (1829), p. 38.
 
33
Ogborn (1962), p. 110.
 
34
Homer and Sylla (1996), pp. 156–157.
 
35
Deane and Cole (1967), Chapters I and II.
 
36
Ogborn (1962), pp. 104 and 123.
 
37
Ogborn (1962), p. 155.
 
38
Morgan (1829), Introduction.
 
Literatur
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Zurück zum Zitat Walford, Cornelius (1868), The Insurance Guide and Hand-Book. Charles and Edwin Layton. Walford, Cornelius (1868), The Insurance Guide and Hand-Book. Charles and Edwin Layton.
Metadaten
Titel
Revolutionary Developments Between 1750 and 1810
verfasst von
Craig Turnbull
Copyright-Jahr
2017
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-33183-6_2