Skip to main content

2015 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

18. An MCDA Approach for Personal Financial Planning

verfasst von : Oliver Braun, Marco Spohn

Erschienen in: Evaluation and Decision Models with Multiple Criteria

Verlag: Springer Berlin Heidelberg

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Personal Financial Planning (PFP) is the preparation of target-oriented decisions concerning assets, incomes, and expenses. As people have different preferences for different financial goals, and the goals are flexible, PFP is a Multicriteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) problem that is often addressed by trial calculations under different scenarios. We provide an MCDA model to derive a financial plan that maximizes the value of the expenses for a decision maker with respect to height, time, and type preferences. Specifically, we show how the problem can be solved through a mixed integer programming approach where the weights for the mathematical program are determined with the help of the Analytic Hierarchy Process.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Anhänge
Nur mit Berechtigung zugänglich
Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Akao, Y. (1990). Quality function deployment: Integrating customer requirements into product design. Cambridge: Productivity Press. Akao, Y. (1990). Quality function deployment: Integrating customer requirements into product design. Cambridge: Productivity Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Ashford, R. W., Berry, R. H., & Dyson, R. G. (1988). Operational research and financial management. European Journal of Operational Research, 36, 143–152.CrossRef Ashford, R. W., Berry, R. H., & Dyson, R. G. (1988). Operational research and financial management. European Journal of Operational Research, 36, 143–152.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Bodie, Z., Merton, R. C., & Samuelson, W. F. (1992). Labor supply flexibility and portfolio choice in a life cycle model. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 16, 427–449.CrossRef Bodie, Z., Merton, R. C., & Samuelson, W. F. (1992). Labor supply flexibility and portfolio choice in a life cycle model. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 16, 427–449.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Braun, O. (2009). Decision support for personal financial planning (in German). Wiesbaden: Gabler. Braun, O. (2009). Decision support for personal financial planning (in German). Wiesbaden: Gabler.
Zurück zum Zitat Brown, S., Taylor, L., & Wheatley Price, S. (2005). Debt and distress: Evaluating the psychological cost of credit. Journal of Economic Psychology, 26, 642–663.CrossRef Brown, S., Taylor, L., & Wheatley Price, S. (2005). Debt and distress: Evaluating the psychological cost of credit. Journal of Economic Psychology, 26, 642–663.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Brulde, B. (2007). Happiness theories of the good life. Journal of Happiness Studies, 8, 15–49.CrossRef Brulde, B. (2007). Happiness theories of the good life. Journal of Happiness Studies, 8, 15–49.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Carmone, F. J., Kara, A., & Zanakis, S. H. (1997). A Monte Carlo investigation of incomplete pairwise comparison matrices in AHP. European Journal of Operational Research, 102, 538–553.CrossRef Carmone, F. J., Kara, A., & Zanakis, S. H. (1997). A Monte Carlo investigation of incomplete pairwise comparison matrices in AHP. European Journal of Operational Research, 102, 538–553.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat ChiangLin, C.-Y., & Lin, C.-C. (2008). Personal financial planning based on fuzzy multiple objective programming. Expert Systems with Applications, 35, 373–378.CrossRef ChiangLin, C.-Y., & Lin, C.-C. (2008). Personal financial planning based on fuzzy multiple objective programming. Expert Systems with Applications, 35, 373–378.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Crary, M., Nozick, L. K., & Whitaker, L. R. (2002). Sizing the US destroyer fleet. European Journal of Operational Research, 136, 680–695.CrossRef Crary, M., Nozick, L. K., & Whitaker, L. R. (2002). Sizing the US destroyer fleet. European Journal of Operational Research, 136, 680–695.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat DeVaney, S. A. (1994). The usefulness of financial ratios as predictors of household insolvency: Two perspectives. Financial Counseling and Planning, 5, 5–24. DeVaney, S. A. (1994). The usefulness of financial ratios as predictors of household insolvency: Two perspectives. Financial Counseling and Planning, 5, 5–24.
Zurück zum Zitat Ehrgott, M., Klamroth, K., & Schwehm, C. (2004). An MCDM approach to portfolio optimization. European Journal of Operational Research, 155, 752–770.CrossRef Ehrgott, M., Klamroth, K., & Schwehm, C. (2004). An MCDM approach to portfolio optimization. European Journal of Operational Research, 155, 752–770.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Eisenhauer, J. G. (2008). Ethical preferences, risk aversion, and taxpayer behaviour. The Journal of Socio-Economics, 37, 45–63.CrossRef Eisenhauer, J. G. (2008). Ethical preferences, risk aversion, and taxpayer behaviour. The Journal of Socio-Economics, 37, 45–63.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Epstein, L., & Schneider, M. (2003). Recursive multiple-priors. Journal of Economic Theory, 113, 1–31.CrossRef Epstein, L., & Schneider, M. (2003). Recursive multiple-priors. Journal of Economic Theory, 113, 1–31.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Fedrizzi, M., & Giove, S. (2006). Incomplete pairwise comparison and consistency optimization. European Journal of Operational Research, 183, 303–313.CrossRef Fedrizzi, M., & Giove, S. (2006). Incomplete pairwise comparison and consistency optimization. European Journal of Operational Research, 183, 303–313.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gao, S., Wang, H., Wang, Y., Shen, W., & Yeung, S. (2005). Web-service-agents-based family wealth management system. Expert Systems with Applications, 29, 219–228.CrossRef Gao, S., Wang, H., Wang, Y., Shen, W., & Yeung, S. (2005). Web-service-agents-based family wealth management system. Expert Systems with Applications, 29, 219–228.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gao, S., Wang, H., Xu, D., & Wang, Y. (2007). An intelligent agent-assisted decision support system for family financial planning. Decision Support Systems, 44, 60–78.CrossRef Gao, S., Wang, H., Xu, D., & Wang, Y. (2007). An intelligent agent-assisted decision support system for family financial planning. Decision Support Systems, 44, 60–78.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Garman, T., & Forgue, R. (2006). Personal finance. New York: Houghton Mifflin Company. Garman, T., & Forgue, R. (2006). Personal finance. New York: Houghton Mifflin Company.
Zurück zum Zitat Gilboa, I., & Schmeidler, D. (1989). Maxmin expected utility with non-unique prior. Journal of Mathematical Economics, 18, 141–153.CrossRef Gilboa, I., & Schmeidler, D. (1989). Maxmin expected utility with non-unique prior. Journal of Mathematical Economics, 18, 141–153.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gross, D. B., & Souleles, N. S. (2002). Do liquidity constraints and interest rates matter for consumer behavior? The Quaterly Journal of Economics, 117, 149–185.CrossRef Gross, D. B., & Souleles, N. S. (2002). Do liquidity constraints and interest rates matter for consumer behavior? The Quaterly Journal of Economics, 117, 149–185.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Ho, W. (2008). Integrated analytic hierarchy process and its applications - A literature review. European Journal of Operational Research, 186, 211–228.CrossRef Ho, W. (2008). Integrated analytic hierarchy process and its applications - A literature review. European Journal of Operational Research, 186, 211–228.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kapoor, J. R., Dlabay, L. R., & Hughes, R. J. (2007). Personal finance (8th ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill. Kapoor, J. R., Dlabay, L. R., & Hughes, R. J. (2007). Personal finance (8th ed.). New York: McGraw-Hill.
Zurück zum Zitat Karatzas, I., & Zitkovic, G. (2003). Optimal consumption from investment and random endowment in incomplete semimartingale markets. The Annals of Probability, 31, 1821–1858.CrossRef Karatzas, I., & Zitkovic, G. (2003). Optimal consumption from investment and random endowment in incomplete semimartingale markets. The Annals of Probability, 31, 1821–1858.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Keeney, R. L. (1992). Value-focused thinking. Cambridge: Harvard University Press. Keeney, R. L. (1992). Value-focused thinking. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Kirchler, E., Hoelzl, E., & Kamleitner, B. (2008). Spending and credit use in the private household. Journal of Socio-Economics, 37, 519–532.CrossRef Kirchler, E., Hoelzl, E., & Kamleitner, B. (2008). Spending and credit use in the private household. Journal of Socio-Economics, 37, 519–532.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Korpela, J., Kyläheiko, K., Lehmusvaara, A., & Tuominen, M. (2001). The effect of ecological factors on distribution network evaluation. International Journal of Logistics: Research and Applications, 4, 257–269.CrossRef Korpela, J., Kyläheiko, K., Lehmusvaara, A., & Tuominen, M. (2001). The effect of ecological factors on distribution network evaluation. International Journal of Logistics: Research and Applications, 4, 257–269.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Korpela, J., Kyläheiko, K., Lehmusvaara, A., & Tuominen, M. (2002). An analytic approach to production capacity allocation and supply chain design. International Journal of Production Economics, 78, 187–195.CrossRef Korpela, J., Kyläheiko, K., Lehmusvaara, A., & Tuominen, M. (2002). An analytic approach to production capacity allocation and supply chain design. International Journal of Production Economics, 78, 187–195.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Korpela, J., & Lehmusvaara, A. (1999). A customer oriented approach to warehouse network evaluation and design. International Journal of Production Economics, 59, 135–146.CrossRef Korpela, J., & Lehmusvaara, A. (1999). A customer oriented approach to warehouse network evaluation and design. International Journal of Production Economics, 59, 135–146.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Korpela, J., Lehmusvaara, A., & Tuominen, M. (2001). Customer service based design of the supply chain. International Journal of Production Economics, 69, 193–204.CrossRef Korpela, J., Lehmusvaara, A., & Tuominen, M. (2001). Customer service based design of the supply chain. International Journal of Production Economics, 69, 193–204.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kreps, D., & Porteus, E. L. (1978). Temporal resolution of uncertainty and dynamic choice theory. Econometrica, 46, 185–200.CrossRef Kreps, D., & Porteus, E. L. (1978). Temporal resolution of uncertainty and dynamic choice theory. Econometrica, 46, 185–200.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kwak, N. K., & Lee, C. W. (1998). A multicriteria decision-making approach to university resource allocations and information infrastructure planning. European Journal of Operational Research, 110, 234–242.CrossRef Kwak, N. K., & Lee, C. W. (1998). A multicriteria decision-making approach to university resource allocations and information infrastructure planning. European Journal of Operational Research, 110, 234–242.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kwak, N. K., & Lee, C. W. (2002). Business process reengineering for health-care system using multicriteria mathematical programming. European Journal of Operational Research, 140, 447–458.CrossRef Kwak, N. K., & Lee, C. W. (2002). Business process reengineering for health-care system using multicriteria mathematical programming. European Journal of Operational Research, 140, 447–458.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kwak, N. K., Lee, C. W., & Kim, J. H. (2005). An MCDM model for media selection in the dual consumer/industrial market. European Journal of Operational Research, 166, 255–265.CrossRef Kwak, N. K., Lee, C. W., & Kim, J. H. (2005). An MCDM model for media selection in the dual consumer/industrial market. European Journal of Operational Research, 166, 255–265.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kwiesielewicz, M. (1996). The logarithmic least squares and the generalized pseudoinverse in estimating ratios. European Journal of Operational Research, 93, 611–619.CrossRef Kwiesielewicz, M. (1996). The logarithmic least squares and the generalized pseudoinverse in estimating ratios. European Journal of Operational Research, 93, 611–619.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Madura, J. (2006). Personal finance with financial planning software. Boston: Addison Wesley. Madura, J. (2006). Personal finance with financial planning software. Boston: Addison Wesley.
Zurück zum Zitat Maslow, A. H. (1968). Toward a psychology of being. Princeton: Van Nostrand. Maslow, A. H. (1968). Toward a psychology of being. Princeton: Van Nostrand.
Zurück zum Zitat Mason, R., & Griffith, R. (1988). New ratios for analyzing and interpreting personal financial statements. Journal of Financial Planning, 9, 71–87. Mason, R., & Griffith, R. (1988). New ratios for analyzing and interpreting personal financial statements. Journal of Financial Planning, 9, 71–87.
Zurück zum Zitat Oboulhas, C. T. O., Xiaofei, X., & Zhan, D. (2004). A decision support system for supplier selection process. International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making, 3, 453–470.CrossRef Oboulhas, C. T. O., Xiaofei, X., & Zhan, D. (2004). A decision support system for supplier selection process. International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making, 3, 453–470.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Ozdemir, M. S., & Gasimov, R. N. (2004). The analytic hierarchy process and multiobjective 0–1 faculty course assignment. European Journal of Operational Research, 157, 398–408.CrossRef Ozdemir, M. S., & Gasimov, R. N. (2004). The analytic hierarchy process and multiobjective 0–1 faculty course assignment. European Journal of Operational Research, 157, 398–408.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Pardalos, P., Sandström, M., & Zopounidis, C. (1994). On the use of optimization models for portfolio selection: A review and some computational results. Computational Economics, 7, 227–244.CrossRef Pardalos, P., Sandström, M., & Zopounidis, C. (1994). On the use of optimization models for portfolio selection: A review and some computational results. Computational Economics, 7, 227–244.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Partovi, F. Y., & Corredoira, R. A. (2002). Quality function deployment for the good of soccer. European Journal of Operational Research, 137, 642–656.CrossRef Partovi, F. Y., & Corredoira, R. A. (2002). Quality function deployment for the good of soccer. European Journal of Operational Research, 137, 642–656.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Puelz, A., & Puelz, R. (1992). Personal financial planning and the allocation of disposable wealth. Financial Services Review, 1, 87–99.CrossRef Puelz, A., & Puelz, R. (1992). Personal financial planning and the allocation of disposable wealth. Financial Services Review, 1, 87–99.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Ranyard, R., Hinkley, L., Williamson, J., & McHugh, S. (2006). The role of mental accounting in consumer credit decision processes. Journal of Economic Psychology, 27, 571–588.CrossRef Ranyard, R., Hinkley, L., Williamson, J., & McHugh, S. (2006). The role of mental accounting in consumer credit decision processes. Journal of Economic Psychology, 27, 571–588.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Saaty, T. L. (1980). The analytic hierarchy process. New York: McGraw Hill. Saaty, T. L. (1980). The analytic hierarchy process. New York: McGraw Hill.
Zurück zum Zitat Saaty, T. L. (1990). How to make a decision: The analytic hierarchy process. European Journal of Operational Research, 48, 9–26.CrossRef Saaty, T. L. (1990). How to make a decision: The analytic hierarchy process. European Journal of Operational Research, 48, 9–26.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Samaras, G. D., Matsatsinis, N. F., & Zopounidis, C. (2005). Towards an intelligent decision support system for portfolio management. Foundations of Computing and Decision Sciences, 2, 141–162. Samaras, G. D., Matsatsinis, N. F., & Zopounidis, C. (2005). Towards an intelligent decision support system for portfolio management. Foundations of Computing and Decision Sciences, 2, 141–162.
Zurück zum Zitat Schniederjans, M. J., & Garvin, T. (1997). Using the analytic hierarchy process and multi-objective programming for the selection of cost drivers in activity-based costing. European Journal of Operational Research, 100, 72–80.CrossRef Schniederjans, M. J., & Garvin, T. (1997). Using the analytic hierarchy process and multi-objective programming for the selection of cost drivers in activity-based costing. European Journal of Operational Research, 100, 72–80.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Shafir, E., & Thaler, R. H. (2006). Invest now, drink later, spend never: On the mental accounting of delayed consumption. Journal of Economic Psychology, 27, 694–712.CrossRef Shafir, E., & Thaler, R. H. (2006). Invest now, drink later, spend never: On the mental accounting of delayed consumption. Journal of Economic Psychology, 27, 694–712.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Siegmann, A., & Lucas, A. (2006). Discrete-time financial planning models under loss-averse preferences. Operations Research, 53, 403–414.CrossRef Siegmann, A., & Lucas, A. (2006). Discrete-time financial planning models under loss-averse preferences. Operations Research, 53, 403–414.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Spronk, J., Steuer, R. E., & Zopounidis, C. (2005). Multicriteria decision aid/analysis in finance. In J. Figuera, S. Greco, & M. Ehrgott (Eds.), Multiple criteria decision analysis: State of the art surveys. Berlin: Springer. Spronk, J., Steuer, R. E., & Zopounidis, C. (2005). Multicriteria decision aid/analysis in finance. In J. Figuera, S. Greco, & M. Ehrgott (Eds.), Multiple criteria decision analysis: State of the art surveys. Berlin: Springer.
Zurück zum Zitat Steuer, R. E., & Na, P. (2003). Multiple criteria decision making combined with finance: A categorized bibliographic study. European Journal of Operational Research, 150, 496–515. Steuer, R. E., & Na, P. (2003). Multiple criteria decision making combined with finance: A categorized bibliographic study. European Journal of Operational Research, 150, 496–515.
Zurück zum Zitat Tobler, P. N., Fletcher, P. C., Bullmore, E. T., & Schultz, W. (2007). Learning-related human brain activations reflecting individual finances. Neuron, 54, 167–175.CrossRef Tobler, P. N., Fletcher, P. C., Bullmore, E. T., & Schultz, W. (2007). Learning-related human brain activations reflecting individual finances. Neuron, 54, 167–175.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1992). Advances in the prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 5, 297–323.CrossRef Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1992). Advances in the prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 5, 297–323.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tyagi, R., & Das, C. (1997). A methodology for cost versus service trade-offs in wholesale location-distribution using mathematical programming and analytic hierarchy process. Journal of Business Logistics, 18, 77–99. Tyagi, R., & Das, C. (1997). A methodology for cost versus service trade-offs in wholesale location-distribution using mathematical programming and analytic hierarchy process. Journal of Business Logistics, 18, 77–99.
Zurück zum Zitat Vahidov, R., & He, X. (2009). Situated DSS for personal finance management: Design and evaluation. Information & Management, 46(8), 78–86.CrossRef Vahidov, R., & He, X. (2009). Situated DSS for personal finance management: Design and evaluation. Information & Management, 46(8), 78–86.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Vaidya, O. S., & Kumar, S. (2006). Analytic hierarchy process: An overview of applications. European Journal of Operational Research, 169, 1–29.CrossRef Vaidya, O. S., & Kumar, S. (2006). Analytic hierarchy process: An overview of applications. European Journal of Operational Research, 169, 1–29.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Wittmüß, W. (2006). Robust optimization of consumption with random endowment. SFB 649 Paper 2006–063 (urn:nbn:de:kobv:11-10068436). Wittmüß, W. (2006). Robust optimization of consumption with random endowment. SFB 649 Paper 2006–063 (urn:nbn:de:kobv:11-10068436).
Zurück zum Zitat Yang, T., & Kuo, C. (2003). A hierarchical AHP/DEA methodology for the facilities layout design problem. European Journal of Operational Research, 147, 128–136.CrossRef Yang, T., & Kuo, C. (2003). A hierarchical AHP/DEA methodology for the facilities layout design problem. European Journal of Operational Research, 147, 128–136.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Zopounidis, C., & Doumpos, M. (2002). Multi-criteria decision aid in financial decision making: Methodologies and literature review. Journal of Multi-criteria Decision Analysis, 11, 167–186.CrossRef Zopounidis, C., & Doumpos, M. (2002). Multi-criteria decision aid in financial decision making: Methodologies and literature review. Journal of Multi-criteria Decision Analysis, 11, 167–186.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Bisdorff, R. (2002). Logical foundation of multicriteria preference aggregation. In D. Bouyssou, E. Jacquet-Lagrèze, P. Perny, R. Słowiński, D. Vanderpooten, & P. Vincke (Eds.), Aiding decisions with multiple criteria (pp. 379–403). Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic. Bisdorff, R. (2002). Logical foundation of multicriteria preference aggregation. In D. Bouyssou, E. Jacquet-Lagrèze, P. Perny, R. Słowiński, D. Vanderpooten, & P. Vincke (Eds.), Aiding decisions with multiple criteria (pp. 379–403). Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic.
Zurück zum Zitat Roy, B. (1991). The outranking approach and the foundations of ELECTRE methods. Theory and Decision, 31(1), 49–73.CrossRef Roy, B. (1991). The outranking approach and the foundations of ELECTRE methods. Theory and Decision, 31(1), 49–73.CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
An MCDA Approach for Personal Financial Planning
verfasst von
Oliver Braun
Marco Spohn
Copyright-Jahr
2015
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-46816-6_18

Premium Partner