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2019 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

8. The Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions

verfasst von : Robert W. Dimand

Erschienen in: Irving Fisher

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

The Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions: During the Great Depression, Fisher provided the Hoover and Roosevelt Administrations with much advice (largely unsolicited) about the need for what Fisher termed reflation. Fisher’s emphasis on monetary policy came to be overshadowed by Keynes’s theory of employment and the Kahn-Keynes multiplier analysis of the effect of fiscal policy. Fisher’s “Debt-Depression Theory of Great Depressions” (Econometrica 1: 337–357, 1933), explaining what had gone wrong, attracted little attention at the time, given the wreckage of Fisher’s reputation, but from 1975 onwards influenced the views of Hyman Minsky, James Tobin, Ben Bernanke and Mervyn King on how to avoid another depression—an influence that had practical relevance for the response of Bernanke and King to the possibility of the collapse of financial intermediation in 2007 and 2008.

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Fußnoten
1
That the stock crash of October 1987 was not followed by a depression may be explained by the concerted central bank response to the crash, in an institutional setting of deposit insurance and restrictions on margin buying of stocks.
 
2
The lower M/p implies an LM curve further to the left, and higher interest rates reduce investment.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
The Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions
verfasst von
Robert W. Dimand
Copyright-Jahr
2019
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-05177-8_8