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Erschienen in: Social Indicators Research 1/2022

05.10.2021 | Original Research

The Great Recession Index: A Place-based Indicator for Countries, States, and Metropolitan Areas

verfasst von: Michael Wallace, Angran Li, Allen Hyde

Erschienen in: Social Indicators Research | Ausgabe 1/2022

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Abstract

The Great Recession (GR) of 2007–2009 marked the most devastating economic downturn since the Great Depression of the 1930s, and its consequences dramatically changed almost every aspect of social life. This research introduces the Great Recession Index (GRI), a place-based composite measure that captures the multidimensional nature of the GR. The GRI can be used to examine macro-level outcomes and is especially well-suited for examining the spatial variation and longterm effects of the GR. The GRI is adaptable to a variety of geospatial units of analysis, and in this article, we develop measures for countries, U.S. states, and U.S. metropolitan areas. Then, using the state-based GRI, we provide a research application to demonstrate the utility of the GRI for explaining state-level income inequality in the post-Recession period. The results show that the initial shock of the GR decreased the income share of upper-class households, but the aftershock of the Recession increased their income share, resulting in increased income inequality in the U.S. since the Recession. This paper concludes by considering the feasibility of using similar measures for evaluating the effects of catastrophic events such as wars, civil unrest, climate change, natural disasters, or pestilence on societal outcomes.

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Fußnoten
1
To ascertain trends in GR research, we used JSTOR to search articles in all disciplines that had the phrase “Great Recession” in the title for the years 2009–2020. The number of articles found was as follows: 2009 = 5, 2020 = 17, 2011 = 26, 2012 = 30, 2013 = 45, 2014 = 42, 2015 = 24, 2016 = 21, 2017 = 18, 2018 = 10, 2019 = 4, 2020 = 1.
 
2
The GRI is distinguished from the “US Business Cycle Expansions and Contractions” (National Bureau of Economic Research, 2021) and other similar measures in several respects. First, it is tailored to measure the precise dimensions that were most prominent in the Great Recession. Second, it measures not simply whether the economy was in recession of expansion, but the magnitude of decline or growth over a period of time. Third, it is not merely a national-level measure for a single country (the U.S.), but rather can be developed for sub-national geographical units like states or metropolitan areas, or for other countries besides the U.S.
 
3
Details about these data files are available from the authors upon request.
 
4
The GRI data is available on the open access platform OSFHOME via the link https://​osf.​io/​269fy/​?​view_​only=​4813977a2dda462c​a9bb24bce0100317​. Researchers can download the original data file and user manual for conducting their own analyses.
 
5
Note that the use of daily or seven-day average data for COVID-19 indicators need not require that the rest of the analysis be conducted at this level. Once constructed, the COVID-19 Index could be used to analyze outcomes using monthly, quarterly or annual data.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
The Great Recession Index: A Place-based Indicator for Countries, States, and Metropolitan Areas
verfasst von
Michael Wallace
Angran Li
Allen Hyde
Publikationsdatum
05.10.2021
Verlag
Springer Netherlands
Erschienen in
Social Indicators Research / Ausgabe 1/2022
Print ISSN: 0303-8300
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-0921
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-021-02799-0

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