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2024 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

6. U.S.-China Great-Power Rivalry: From Trade War to New Cold War

verfasst von : Jianyong Yue

Erschienen in: Crony Comprador Capitalism

Verlag: Springer Nature Switzerland

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Abstract

This chapter establishes a connection between China’s mishandling of North Korea’s denuclearization and the outbreak of the trade war with the U.S. Despite their interdependent relationship characterized by asymmetrical dependence, China found itself in a de facto submissive position during the trade war. However, China’s perception of American power as being in irreversible decline proved to be a significant misjudgment. This overconfidence, amplified by China’s early success in managing Covid-19, intersected with America’s realist impulse of intolerance toward China as a peer rival. These dynamics fueled the escalation of the trade war into a new Cold War, with high-tech supremacy at its core.

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100

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101

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102

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103

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104

Mandelbaum, M (2019): “The New Containment—Handling Russia, China, and Iran.” Foreign Affairs, Mar/Apr, 98:2, pp. 123–131.

105

“Trump Trade Chief Wants to Open China, Not Change Its Economic System.” Reuters, 01/05/2018. https://www.reuters.com/article/U.S.-usa-trade-china/ustr-lighthizer-says-wants-to-open-china-not-change-its-economic-system-idUSKBN1I246K; “15 Times Donald Trump Praised Authoritarian Rulers.” CNN, 02/07/2019. https://edition.cnn.com/2019/07/02/politics/donald-trump-dictators-kim-jong-un-vladimir-putin/index.html; “Trump Praises Chinese Leader, Not Hong Kong Protesters Seeking Democratic Reforms.” Los Angeles Times, 15/08/2019. https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2019-08-15/trump-praises-chinese-leader-not-hong-kong-protesters; “John Bolton: The Scandal of Trump’s China Policy.” The Wall Street Journal, 17/07/2020. https://www.wsj.com/articles/john-bolton-the-scandal-of-trumps-china-policy-11592419564.

106

“Robert O’Brien’s Phoenix Speech and ‘Tough on China’.” National Review, 26/06/2020. https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/robert-obriens-phoenix-speech-and-tough-on-china/; Speech by Michael R. Pompeo at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum: “Communist China and the Free World’s Future.” 23/07/2020. https://www.state.gov/communist-china-and-the-free-worlds-future/; “Biden Says US Faces Battle to ‘Prove Democracy Works’,” CNN, 26/03/2021. https://edition.cnn.com/2021/03/25/politics/biden-autocracies-versU.S.-democracies/index.html

107

Garthoff, R (1992): “Why Did the Cold War Arise, and Why Did It End.” Diplomatic History, Spring, 16:2, pp. 287–293.

108

Ferguson, N: “America and China Are Entering the Dark Forest.” Bloomberg Opinion, 05/07/2020. https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-07-05/is-the-u-s-in-a-new-cold-war-china-has-already-declared-it.

109

“Henry Kissinger Pushed Trump to Work With Russia to Box In China.” The Daily Beast, 31/07/2018. https://www.thedailybeast.com/henry-kissinger-pushed-trump-to-work-with-russia-to-box-in-china.

110

Westad, O. A. (2019): “The Sources of Chinese Conduct—Are Washington and Beijing Fighting a New Cold War?” Foreign Affairs, Sep/Oct, 98:5, pp. 86–95.

111

Mearsheimer, J (2021): “The Inevitable Rivalry—America, China, and the Tragedy of Great-power Politics.” Foreign Affairs, Nov-Dec, 100:6, pp. 48–58.

112

Brands, H & Beckley, M: “China Is a Declining Power—and That’s the Problem.” Foreign Policy, 24/09/2021. https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/09/24/china-great-power-united-states/

113

Paulson, H. M. (2015), p. 380.

114

Interview by Sasha Gong with Steve Bannon, 29/09/2018.

115

Cardwell, C (2011): NSC 68 and the Political Economy of the Early Cold War. NJ: Cambridge University Press, p. 262.

116

For instance: Rod Lyon: “Is major war obsolete?” The Strategist, ASPI (Australia Strategic Policy Institute), 19/08/2014. https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/is-major-war-obsolete/; Amitai Etzioni: “Making a U.S.-Sino War ‘Thinkable’?” The Diplomat, 22/09/2016. https://thediplomat.com/2016/09/making-a-U.S.-sino-war-thinkable/; RAND Report (2016): “War with China: Thinking through the Unthinkable,” authored by David C. Gompert, Astrid Stuth Cevallos, Cristina L. Garafala. https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR1100/RR1140/RAND_RR1140.pdf; RAND Report (2017): “U.S. Military Capabilities and Forces for a Dangerous World—Rethinking the U.S. Approach to Force Planning,” https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1782.html; Alan L. Gropman: “America Needs to Prepare for a Great Power War,” The National Interest, 07/02/2018. http://nationalinterest.org/feature/america-needs-prepare-great-power-war-24392.

117

McMaster, H. R. (2020), p. 145.

118

Ibid, pp. 145–6.

119

Global Times, 03/07/2020. https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20200703A05VHM00.

120

Xinhua, 07/08/2020. http://www.xinhuanet.com/politics/2020-08/07/c_1126339837.htm.

121

Chinese Foreign Ministry press release, 12/08/2020. https://www.mfa.gov.cn/wjbxw_673019/202008/t20200812_390515.shtml.

122

“The need for global cooperation on technology goes beyond the hardware or software. It is also about our values, our societies and our democracies.” Quoted from Joint Communication to the European Parliament, the European Council and the Council—A new EU-US agenda for global change. Issued by The European Commission’s High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Brussels, 02/12/2020. https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/default/files/joint-communication-eu-U.S.-agenda_en.pdf.

123

The People’s Daily, 25/08/2020.

124

Zhou Wenzhong Talks about 4-decade Sino-US Relations. CCTV (China Central Television), 22/08/2020. http://m.news.cctv.com/2020/08/22/ARTIzoQc9lVM8oFNQ8I388JO200822.shtml.

125

“Cooperative Competition Is Possible Between China and the U.S.—A former vice foreign minister of China proposes a way forward for the world’s two leading powers.” The New York Times, 24/11/2020. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/24/opinion/china-U.S.-biden.html.

126

Private communication, 27/11/2020.

127

“Taming the wolf warrior—China’s rising aggression.” FT, 10/08/2021. https://www.ft.com/content/1b9cba7e-4473-4b27-adb2-67ef63e02717.

128

McMaster, H. R. (2020) “How China sees the world and how we should see China.” The Atlantic, May issue.

129

Speech by Michael R. Pompeo, 23/07/2020.

Titel: U.S.-China Great-Power Rivalry: From Trade War to New Cold War
verfasst von: Jianyong Yue
Verlag: Springer Nature Switzerland
Buch: Crony Comprador Capitalism
Print ISBN: 978-3-031-53153-8

Electronic ISBN: 978-3-031-53154-5

Copyright-Jahr: 2024
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-53154-5_6

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