Skip to main content
Erschienen in: Journal of Intelligent Information Systems 3/2020

21.11.2019

Analysis of street crime predictors in web open data

verfasst von: Yihong Zhang, Panote Siriaraya, Yukiko Kawai, Adam Jatowt

Erschienen in: Journal of Intelligent Information Systems | Ausgabe 3/2020

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Crime predictors have been sought after by governments and citizens alike for preventing or avoiding crimes. In this paper, we attempt to thoroughly analyze crime predictors from three Web open data sources: Google Street View (GSV), Twitter, and Foursquare, which provides visual, textual, and human behavioral data respectively. In contrast to existing works that attempt crime prediction at zip-code level or coarser granularity, we focus on street-level crime prediction. We transform data assigned to street-segments, and extract and determine strong predictors correlated with crime. Particularly, we are the first to discover visual clues on street outlooks that are predictive for crime. We focus on the city of San Francisco, and our extensive experiments show the effectiveness of predictors in a range of tests. We show that by analyzing and selecting strong predictors in Web open data, one could achieve significantly better crime prediction accuracy, comparing to traditional demographic data-based prediction.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Aghababaei, S., & Makrehchi, M. (2016). Mining social media content for crime prediction. In 2016 IEEE/WIC/ACM international conference on web intelligence (WI) (pp. 526–531): IEEE. Aghababaei, S., & Makrehchi, M. (2016). Mining social media content for crime prediction. In 2016 IEEE/WIC/ACM international conference on web intelligence (WI) (pp. 526–531): IEEE.
Zurück zum Zitat Barker, M., Page, S.J., Meyer, D. (2002). Modeling tourism crime: the 2000 America’s cup. Annals of Tourism Research, 29(3), 762–782.CrossRef Barker, M., Page, S.J., Meyer, D. (2002). Modeling tourism crime: the 2000 America’s cup. Annals of Tourism Research, 29(3), 762–782.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Blei, D.M., Ng, A.Y., Jordan, M.I. (2003). Latent dirichlet allocation. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 3(Jan), 993–1022.MATH Blei, D.M., Ng, A.Y., Jordan, M.I. (2003). Latent dirichlet allocation. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 3(Jan), 993–1022.MATH
Zurück zum Zitat Camacho-Collados, M., & Liberatore, F. (2015). A decision support system for predictive police patrolling. Decision Support Systems, 75, 25–37.CrossRef Camacho-Collados, M., & Liberatore, F. (2015). A decision support system for predictive police patrolling. Decision Support Systems, 75, 25–37.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Chen, T., Borth, D., Darrell, T., Chang, S.F. (2014). Deepsentibank: visual sentiment concept classification with deep convolutional neural networks. arXiv:1410.8586. Chen, T., Borth, D., Darrell, T., Chang, S.F. (2014). Deepsentibank: visual sentiment concept classification with deep convolutional neural networks. arXiv:1410.​8586.
Zurück zum Zitat Chen, X., Cho, Y., Jang, S.Y. (2015). Crime prediction using twitter sentiment and weather. In Systems and information engineering design symposium (SIEDS), 2015 (pp. 63–68): IEEE. Chen, X., Cho, Y., Jang, S.Y. (2015). Crime prediction using twitter sentiment and weather. In Systems and information engineering design symposium (SIEDS), 2015 (pp. 63–68): IEEE.
Zurück zum Zitat De Nadai, M., Vieriu, R.L., Zen, G., Dragicevic, S., Naik, N., Caraviello, M., Hidalgo, C.A., Sebe, N., Lepri, B. (2016). Are safer looking neighborhoods more lively?: a multimodal investigation into urban life. In Proceedings of the international multimedia conference (pp. 1127–1135). De Nadai, M., Vieriu, R.L., Zen, G., Dragicevic, S., Naik, N., Caraviello, M., Hidalgo, C.A., Sebe, N., Lepri, B. (2016). Are safer looking neighborhoods more lively?: a multimodal investigation into urban life. In Proceedings of the international multimedia conference (pp. 1127–1135).
Zurück zum Zitat Diebold, F.X., & Mariano, R.S. (2002). Comparing predictive accuracy. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(1), 134–144.MathSciNetCrossRef Diebold, F.X., & Mariano, R.S. (2002). Comparing predictive accuracy. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(1), 134–144.MathSciNetCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Du, B., Liu, C., Zhou, W., Hou, Z., Xiong, H. (2016). Catch me if you can: detecting pickpocket suspects from large-scale transit records. In Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD international conference on knowledge discovery and data mining (pp. 87–96): ACM. Du, B., Liu, C., Zhou, W., Hou, Z., Xiong, H. (2016). Catch me if you can: detecting pickpocket suspects from large-scale transit records. In Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD international conference on knowledge discovery and data mining (pp. 87–96): ACM.
Zurück zum Zitat Eck, J.E., Clarke, R.V., Guerette, R.T. (2007). Risky facilities: crime concentration in homogeneous sets of establishments and facilities. Crime Prevention Studies, 21, 225. Eck, J.E., Clarke, R.V., Guerette, R.T. (2007). Risky facilities: crime concentration in homogeneous sets of establishments and facilities. Crime Prevention Studies, 21, 225.
Zurück zum Zitat Gerber, M.S. (2014). Predicting crime using twitter and kernel density estimation. Decision Support Systems, 61, 115–125.CrossRef Gerber, M.S. (2014). Predicting crime using twitter and kernel density estimation. Decision Support Systems, 61, 115–125.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gill, C., Wooditch, A., Weisburd, D. (2017). Testing the law of crime concentration at place in a suburban setting: implications for research and practice. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 33(3), 519– 545.CrossRef Gill, C., Wooditch, A., Weisburd, D. (2017). Testing the law of crime concentration at place in a suburban setting: implications for research and practice. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 33(3), 519– 545.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Graif, C., Gladfelter, A.S., Matthews, S.A. (2014). Urban poverty and neighborhood effects on crime: incorporating spatial and network perspectives. Sociology Compass, 8(9), 1140–1155.CrossRef Graif, C., Gladfelter, A.S., Matthews, S.A. (2014). Urban poverty and neighborhood effects on crime: incorporating spatial and network perspectives. Sociology Compass, 8(9), 1140–1155.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Haklay, M., & Weber, P. (2008). OpenStreetMap: user-generated street maps. IEEE Pervasive Computing, 7(4), 12–18.CrossRef Haklay, M., & Weber, P. (2008). OpenStreetMap: user-generated street maps. IEEE Pervasive Computing, 7(4), 12–18.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kadar, C., Iria, J., Cvijikj, I.P. (2016). Exploring foursquare-derived features for crime prediction in new york city. In The international workshop on urban computing. Kadar, C., Iria, J., Cvijikj, I.P. (2016). Exploring foursquare-derived features for crime prediction in new york city. In The international workshop on urban computing.
Zurück zum Zitat Kang, H.W., & Kang, H.B. (2017). Prediction of crime occurrence from multi-modal data using deep learning. PloS one, 12(4), e0176244.MathSciNetCrossRef Kang, H.W., & Kang, H.B. (2017). Prediction of crime occurrence from multi-modal data using deep learning. PloS one, 12(4), e0176244.MathSciNetCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Khan, R., Van de Weijer, J., Khan, F.S., Muselet, D., Ducottet, C., Barat, C. (2013). Discriminative color descriptors. In 2013 IEEE conference on computer vision and pattern recognition (CVPR) (pp. 2866–2873): IEEE. Khan, R., Van de Weijer, J., Khan, F.S., Muselet, D., Ducottet, C., Barat, C. (2013). Discriminative color descriptors. In 2013 IEEE conference on computer vision and pattern recognition (CVPR) (pp. 2866–2873): IEEE.
Zurück zum Zitat Khosla, A., Das Sarma, A., Hamid, R. (2014). What makes an image popular?. In Proceedings of the international conference on world wide web (pp. 867–876): ACM. Khosla, A., Das Sarma, A., Hamid, R. (2014). What makes an image popular?. In Proceedings of the international conference on world wide web (pp. 867–876): ACM.
Zurück zum Zitat Kim, J., Cha, M., Sandholm, T. (2014). SocRoutes: safe routes based on tweet sentiments. In Proceedings of the international conference on world wide web (pp. 179–182): ACM. Kim, J., Cha, M., Sandholm, T. (2014). SocRoutes: safe routes based on tweet sentiments. In Proceedings of the international conference on world wide web (pp. 179–182): ACM.
Zurück zum Zitat Krizhevsky, A., Sutskever, I., Hinton, G.E. (2012). Imagenet classification with deep convolutional neural networks. In Advances in neural information processing systems (pp. 1097–1105). Krizhevsky, A., Sutskever, I., Hinton, G.E. (2012). Imagenet classification with deep convolutional neural networks. In Advances in neural information processing systems (pp. 1097–1105).
Zurück zum Zitat Liao, R., Wang, X., Li, L., Qin, Z. (2010). A novel serial crime prediction model based on bayesian learning theory. In 2010 international conference on machine learning and cybernetics (ICMLC), (Vol. 4 pp. 1757–1762): IEEE. Liao, R., Wang, X., Li, L., Qin, Z. (2010). A novel serial crime prediction model based on bayesian learning theory. In 2010 international conference on machine learning and cybernetics (ICMLC), (Vol. 4 pp. 1757–1762): IEEE.
Zurück zum Zitat Mikolov, T., Sutskever, I., Chen, K., Corrado, G.S., Dean, J. (2013). Distributed representations of words and phrases and their compositionality. In Advances in neural information processing systems (pp. 3111–3119). Mikolov, T., Sutskever, I., Chen, K., Corrado, G.S., Dean, J. (2013). Distributed representations of words and phrases and their compositionality. In Advances in neural information processing systems (pp. 3111–3119).
Zurück zum Zitat Ojala, T., Pietikainen, M., Maenpaa, T. (2002). Multiresolution gray-scale and rotation invariant texture classification with local binary patterns. IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence, 24(7), 971–987.CrossRef Ojala, T., Pietikainen, M., Maenpaa, T. (2002). Multiresolution gray-scale and rotation invariant texture classification with local binary patterns. IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence, 24(7), 971–987.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Oliva, A., & Torralba, A. (2001). Modeling the shape of the scene: a holistic representation of the spatial envelope. International Journal of Computer Vision, 42 (3), 145–175.CrossRef Oliva, A., & Torralba, A. (2001). Modeling the shape of the scene: a holistic representation of the spatial envelope. International Journal of Computer Vision, 42 (3), 145–175.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Peng, H., Long, F., Ding, C. (2005). Feature selection based on mutual information criteria of max-dependency, max-relevance, and min-redundancy. IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence, 27(8), 1226–1238.CrossRef Peng, H., Long, F., Ding, C. (2005). Feature selection based on mutual information criteria of max-dependency, max-relevance, and min-redundancy. IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence, 27(8), 1226–1238.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Pennington, J., Socher, R., Manning, C. (2014). Glove: global vectors for word representation. In Proceedings of the conference on empirical methods in natural language processing (pp. 1532–1543). Pennington, J., Socher, R., Manning, C. (2014). Glove: global vectors for word representation. In Proceedings of the conference on empirical methods in natural language processing (pp. 1532–1543).
Zurück zum Zitat Ristea, A., Kurland, J., Resch, B., Leitner, M., Langford, C. (2018). Estimating the spatial distribution of crime events around a football stadium from georeferenced tweets. ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information, 7(2), 43.CrossRef Ristea, A., Kurland, J., Resch, B., Leitner, M., Langford, C. (2018). Estimating the spatial distribution of crime events around a football stadium from georeferenced tweets. ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information, 7(2), 43.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Smola, A.J., & Schölkopf, B. (2004). A tutorial on support vector regression. Statistics and Computing, 14(3), 199–222.MathSciNetCrossRef Smola, A.J., & Schölkopf, B. (2004). A tutorial on support vector regression. Statistics and Computing, 14(3), 199–222.MathSciNetCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Szegedy, C., Vanhoucke, V., Ioffe, S., Shlens, J., Wojna, Z. (2016). Rethinking the inception architecture for computer vision. In Proceedings of the IEEE conference on computer vision and pattern recognition (pp. 2818–2826). Szegedy, C., Vanhoucke, V., Ioffe, S., Shlens, J., Wojna, Z. (2016). Rethinking the inception architecture for computer vision. In Proceedings of the IEEE conference on computer vision and pattern recognition (pp. 2818–2826).
Zurück zum Zitat Taylor, R.B., Shumaker, S.A., Gottfredson, S.D. (1985). Neighborhood-level links between physical features and local sentiments: deterioration, fear of crime, and confidence. Journal of Architectural and Planning Research, 2(4), 261–275. Taylor, R.B., Shumaker, S.A., Gottfredson, S.D. (1985). Neighborhood-level links between physical features and local sentiments: deterioration, fear of crime, and confidence. Journal of Architectural and Planning Research, 2(4), 261–275.
Zurück zum Zitat Utamima, A., & Djunaidy, A. (2017). Be-safe travel, a web-based geographic application to explore safe-route in an area. In AIP conference proceedings, (Vol. 1867 p. 020023): AIP Publishing. Utamima, A., & Djunaidy, A. (2017). Be-safe travel, a web-based geographic application to explore safe-route in an area. In AIP conference proceedings, (Vol. 1867 p. 020023): AIP Publishing.
Zurück zum Zitat Wang, H., Kifer, D., Graif, C., Li, Z. (2016). Crime rate inference with big data. In Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD international conference on knowledge discovery and data mining (pp. 635–644): ACM. Wang, H., Kifer, D., Graif, C., Li, Z. (2016). Crime rate inference with big data. In Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD international conference on knowledge discovery and data mining (pp. 635–644): ACM.
Zurück zum Zitat Wang, X., Brown, D.E., Gerber, M.S. (2012). Spatio-temporal modeling of criminal incidents using geographic, demographic, and twitter-derived information. In Proceedings of the IEEE international conference on intelligence and security informatics (pp. 36–41): IEEE. Wang, X., Brown, D.E., Gerber, M.S. (2012). Spatio-temporal modeling of criminal incidents using geographic, demographic, and twitter-derived information. In Proceedings of the IEEE international conference on intelligence and security informatics (pp. 36–41): IEEE.
Zurück zum Zitat Weisburd, D. (2015). The law of crime concentration and the criminology of place. Criminology, 53(2), 133–157.CrossRef Weisburd, D. (2015). The law of crime concentration and the criminology of place. Criminology, 53(2), 133–157.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Wilson, J.Q., & Kelling, G.L. (1982). Broken windows. Atlantic Monthly, 249 (3), 29–38. Wilson, J.Q., & Kelling, G.L. (1982). Broken windows. Atlantic Monthly, 249 (3), 29–38.
Zurück zum Zitat Yang, D., Heaney, T., Tonon, A., Wang, L., Cudré-Mauroux, P. (2017). Crimetelescope: crime hotspot prediction based on urban and social media data fusion. World Wide Web: 1–25. Yang, D., Heaney, T., Tonon, A., Wang, L., Cudré-Mauroux, P. (2017). Crimetelescope: crime hotspot prediction based on urban and social media data fusion. World Wide Web: 1–25.
Zurück zum Zitat Zhao, X., & Tang, J. (2017). Modeling temporal-spatial correlations for crime prediction. In Proceedings of the international conference on information and knowledge management (pp. 497–506). Zhao, X., & Tang, J. (2017). Modeling temporal-spatial correlations for crime prediction. In Proceedings of the international conference on information and knowledge management (pp. 497–506).
Metadaten
Titel
Analysis of street crime predictors in web open data
verfasst von
Yihong Zhang
Panote Siriaraya
Yukiko Kawai
Adam Jatowt
Publikationsdatum
21.11.2019
Verlag
Springer US
Erschienen in
Journal of Intelligent Information Systems / Ausgabe 3/2020
Print ISSN: 0925-9902
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-7675
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10844-019-00587-4

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 3/2020

Journal of Intelligent Information Systems 3/2020 Zur Ausgabe