Skip to main content

2012 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

2. Engineering Approach

verfasst von : Vikenti Gorokhovski

Erschienen in: Effective Parameters of Hydrogeological Models

Verlag: Springer Berlin Heidelberg

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

In 1992, the journal Advances in Water Resources published a series of papers on validation of hydrogeological models. In one of those papers, Konikow and Bredehoeft (1992) hold that groundwater models cannot be validated but only invalidated. This means that the real quality of a model can be judged only by comparing the prediction produced by the model with what actually occurred, only based on post audit, and that accurate results in the process of model calibration do not warrant that the model will predict accurately.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Anderson PF, Lu S (2003) A post audit of a model-designed ground extraction system. Ground Water 41(2):212–218CrossRef Anderson PF, Lu S (2003) A post audit of a model-designed ground extraction system. Ground Water 41(2):212–218CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Anderson MP, Woessner WW (1992) The role of the postaudit in model validation. Adv Water Res 15:167–173CrossRef Anderson MP, Woessner WW (1992) The role of the postaudit in model validation. Adv Water Res 15:167–173CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Bear J (1972) Dynamics of fluid in porous media. Elsevier, New York, p 764 Bear J (1972) Dynamics of fluid in porous media. Elsevier, New York, p 764
Zurück zum Zitat Beven K (1981) Kinematic subsurface stormflow. Water Resour Res 17(5):1419–1424CrossRef Beven K (1981) Kinematic subsurface stormflow. Water Resour Res 17(5):1419–1424CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Beven K (2005) On the concept of model structural error. Water Sci Technol 52(6):167–175 (IWA Publishing) Beven K (2005) On the concept of model structural error. Water Sci Technol 52(6):167–175 (IWA Publishing)
Zurück zum Zitat Bredehoeft J (2005) The conceptualization model problem-surprise. Hydrol J 13:37–46 (Springer-Verlag) Bredehoeft J (2005) The conceptualization model problem-surprise. Hydrol J 13:37–46 (Springer-Verlag)
Zurück zum Zitat De Marsily G, Combes P, Golbert P (1992) Comments on “Ground-water models cannot be validated”, by Konikow L.F and Bredehoeft JD, Adv Water Res 15:367–369 De Marsily G, Combes P, Golbert P (1992) Comments on “Ground-water models cannot be validated”, by Konikow L.F and Bredehoeft JD, Adv Water Res 15:367–369
Zurück zum Zitat Geschwind C-H (1997) 1920s Prediction reveals some pitfalls of earthquake forecasting. EOS 78(38):401, 410, 412CrossRef Geschwind C-H (1997) 1920s Prediction reveals some pitfalls of earthquake forecasting. EOS 78(38):401, 410, 412CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Haitjema HM (1995) Analytic element modeling of ground flow. Academic, San Diego, p 394 Haitjema HM (1995) Analytic element modeling of ground flow. Academic, San Diego, p 394
Zurück zum Zitat Hanks TC (1997) Imperfect science: uncertainty, diversity, and experts. EOS 78(35):369, 373, 377CrossRef Hanks TC (1997) Imperfect science: uncertainty, diversity, and experts. EOS 78(35):369, 373, 377CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kerr RA (1993) Looking-deeply-into the earth’s crust in Europe. Science 261:295–297 CrossRef Kerr RA (1993) Looking-deeply-into the earth’s crust in Europe. Science 261:295–297 CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kola (1984) Kola super-deep, studies of continental crust deep structure by boring kola super-deep bore (Кoльcкaя Cвepx Глyбoкaя. Иccлeдoвaния Глyбoкoгo Cтpoeния Кoнтинeнтaльнoй Кopы Бypeниeм Кoльcкoй Cвepx Глyбoкoй Cквaжины), Moscow, Nedra, p 499 (in Russian) Kola (1984) Kola super-deep, studies of continental crust deep structure by boring kola super-deep bore (Кoльcкaя Cвepx Глyбoкaя. Иccлeдoвaния Глyбoкoгo Cтpoeния Кoнтинeнтaльнoй Кopы Бypeниeм Кoльcкoй Cвepx Глyбoкoй Cквaжины), Moscow, Nedra, p 499 (in Russian)
Zurück zum Zitat Konikow LF, Bredehoeft JD (1992) Ground-water models cannot be validated. Adv Water Res 15(2):75–83CrossRef Konikow LF, Bredehoeft JD (1992) Ground-water models cannot be validated. Adv Water Res 15(2):75–83CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Lerner DN (1985) Are ground water models misleading? Adv.Water-Eng. In: Proceedings of the international symposium, Birmingham, pp 124–128, 15–19 July 1985 Lerner DN (1985) Are ground water models misleading? Adv.Water-Eng. In: Proceedings of the international symposium, Birmingham, pp 124–128, 15–19 July 1985
Zurück zum Zitat Levy JR (1973) In: Gillispie CC (ed) Le Verrier, dictionary of scientific biographies, vol 8. New York Levy JR (1973) In: Gillispie CC (ed) Le Verrier, dictionary of scientific biographies, vol 8. New York
Zurück zum Zitat McCombie C, McKinley I (1993) Validation—another perspective. Ground Water 31(4):530–531CrossRef McCombie C, McKinley I (1993) Validation—another perspective. Ground Water 31(4):530–531CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Morton A (1993) Mathematical models: questions of trustworthiness. Br J Phil Sci 44:659–674CrossRef Morton A (1993) Mathematical models: questions of trustworthiness. Br J Phil Sci 44:659–674CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Muskat M (1946) The flow of homogeneous fluids through porous media, 1st edn., Second Printing edn. Edward Brothers, Ann Arbor Muskat M (1946) The flow of homogeneous fluids through porous media, 1st edn., Second Printing edn. Edward Brothers, Ann Arbor
Zurück zum Zitat Tsang C-F (1992) Reply to preceding discussion of “the modeling process and model validation”. Ground Water 30(4):623–624CrossRef Tsang C-F (1992) Reply to preceding discussion of “the modeling process and model validation”. Ground Water 30(4):623–624CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Yazvin LS (1972) Reliability of hydrogeological estimates of groundwater resources (Достоверность Гидрогеологических Прогнозов при Оценке Эксплотационных Запасов Подземных Bод), Moscow, Nedra, p. 150 (in Russian) Yazvin LS (1972) Reliability of hydrogeological estimates of groundwater resources (Достоверность Гидрогеологических Прогнозов при Оценке Эксплотационных Запасов Подземных Bод), Moscow, Nedra, p. 150 (in Russian)
Metadaten
Titel
Engineering Approach
verfasst von
Vikenti Gorokhovski
Copyright-Jahr
2012
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-23722-5_2