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2007 | Buch

Globalization and Sustainable Development

Environmental Agendas

verfasst von: Professor Dr. Vladimir F. Krapivin, Associate Professor Costas A. Varotsos

Verlag: Springer Berlin Heidelberg

Buchreihe : Springer Praxis Books

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Über dieses Buch

A characteristic of the present global ecological situation is increasing instability or— put another way—a crisis in the civilization system, the global scale of which is expressed through a deterioration of human and animal habitats. The most sub­ stantial features of global ecodynamics of the late 20th and early 21st centuries include the rapid increase in world population (mainly in developing countries), increase in the size of the urban population (considerable growth in the number of megalopolises), and increase in the scales of such dangerous diseases as HIV/AIDS, hepatitis, tuberculosis, etc. With growing population size the problems of providing people with food and improving their living conditions in many regions will not only not be resolved but will become even more urgent. Any possible benefit from decrease in per capita consumption as a result of increased efficiency of technologies will be outweighed by the impact of such a growth in population size. Despite the predom­ inant increase of population in developing countries, their contribution to the impact on the environment will not necessarily exceed that of developed countries. Key to ensuring sustainable development of the nature/society system (NSS) is the relation­ ship between production and consumption, as mentioned at the World Summit on Sustainable Development in Johannesburg (2002). As civilization has developed, so the problem of predicting the scale of expected climate change and associated change in human habitats has become more urgent.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Frontmatter
1. Problems of globalization and sustainable development
Abstract
Nowadays, the problems of globalization and sustainable development have been discussed in a vast scientific literature (the list of references beginning on p. 271 illustrates only a small number of existing publications). Even more numerous are the concerns raised in the mass media. However, discussions of such problems contain many contradictions and disagreements. First of all, globalization and sustainable development (SD) problems are treated, as a rule, as independent and separate. Nevertheless, the priority of the globalization problem and subordinate importance of SD problems as one of the most important aspects of globalization processes raises few doubts.
2. Globalization and biogeochemical cycles in the environment
Abstract
The interaction between abiotic factors and living organisms in the biosphere drives the continuous cycle of matter in nature. Different forms of living organisms absorb substances that are essential for their growth and the sustaining of life. Under this mechanism the products of metabolism and other complex mineral and organic compounds of chemical elements are discharged in the environment in the form of unassimilated food or dead biomass. As a result the stable sequence of global biogeochemical cycles underpinned biosphere evolution. Their disturbance within the second part of the 20th century posed humankind many principal questions related with unforeseen climate change due to the greenhouse effect, decrease in biodiversity, progressive desertification, etc. In reality, questions about what will happen to the Earth’s climate and the prospects for ozone layer decrease remain unresolved in spite of enormous amounts of money spent on their study (Kondratyev and Varotsos, 2001a, b; Varotsos, 2002, 2005). At present it is clear that answers to these and other questions related to nature protection depend on finding a means of creating an effective global monitoring system based on the global model of the nature/society system (GMNSS). Simulation of the biogeochemical cycles of basic chemical elements is a fundamental part of the GMNSS (Kondratyev et al., 2002; Zhu and Anderson, 2002). Exactly such an approach gives us the possibility to optimize the anthropogenic fluxes of pollutants and to determine acceptable emissions of carbon, chlorine, sulfur, fluorine, methane, and other chemical elements to the environment, when finally the ideology behind the Kyoto Protocol becomes a reality, as well as to regulate questions related with the commerce of quotas for greenhouse gas emissions (Kalb et al., 2004; Dalby, 2002; Fogg and Sangster, 2003; Kasimov et al., 2004; Kondratyev, 2005a).
3. Numerical modeling of the nature/society system
Abstract
On a planetary scale, all living beings in the biosphere are closely interconnected by the ways in which the mechanisms that regulate energy fluxes and cycles of substances are organized: a single biocybernetic system of the highest rank. Within the continents and oceans—the structural units making up the biosphere—processes of energy and substance transformation take place automatically. Land biogeocenoses are characterized by distributed productivity, a function in many territories that is under the control of humans and therefore depends on development of scientific-technical progress. The World Ocean now provides about 1 % of resources consumed by humankind and practically remains an element of the biosphere not under human control. This low level is connected with the insufficiently studied production processes in the oceans.
4. Global change and geoinformation monitoring
Abstract
At present, many countries do not have an information system that would provide information support for environmental studies. Studies of natural-anthropogenic systems undertaken by different national and international organizations and departments are uncoordinated and the important results obtained are not always available for the mass user. Moreover, there are no single standards for presentation and storage of ecological information or for development of the technology to process it. Therefore, most experts dealing with environmental problems have scant access to new databases, and in most cases ecological information remains uncoordinated or unavailable. As a result of this lack of coordination, many scientists have no access to international ecological information services.
5. Decision-making risks in global ecodynamics
Abstract
Taking the definition of sustainable development given by Kobayashi (2005) as our basis, let us now consider trends in the strategy of human behavior toward NSS development, which depends heavily on the decisions taken. The degree of risk in making decisions at this stage of human development cannot be evaluated because results to be obtained in the immediate future and the consequences later on are unknown. In that sense, our current ineffective strategy of risk control regarding decisions made could lead to catastrophic consequences—in particular, the decisions taken by international organizations on nature use management, change in land cover, impacts on anthropogenic processes, etc. At a time of few methods for long-range forecast, an erroneous decision taken now can cause irreversible consequences with the possible development of undesirable processes in the environment. At the beginning of the 21st century, most key indicators of the habitats of living beings, especially those characterizing human safety, are nearing the critical state, and in some regions a life-threatening state (Ehrlich and Kennedy, 2005; Freeman, 2005; Gavin, 2001; Gillaspie, 2001; Gitelson et al., 1997).
Backmatter
Metadaten
Titel
Globalization and Sustainable Development
verfasst von
Professor Dr. Vladimir F. Krapivin
Associate Professor Costas A. Varotsos
Copyright-Jahr
2007
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Electronic ISBN
978-3-540-70662-5
Print ISBN
978-3-540-70661-8
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-70662-5