2008 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel
Guaranteed Network Traffic Demand Prediction Using FARIMA Models
verfasst von : Mikhail Dashevskiy, Zhiyuan Luo
Erschienen in: Intelligent Data Engineering and Automated Learning – IDEAL 2008
Verlag: Springer Berlin Heidelberg
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The Fractional Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (FARIMA) model is often used to model and predict network traffic demand which exhibits both long-range and short-range dependence. However, finding the best model to fit a given set of observations and achieving good performance is still an open problem. We present a strategy, namely Aggregating Algorithm, which uses several FARIMA models and then aggregates their outputs to achieve a guaranteed (in a sense) performance. Our feasibility study experiments on the public datasets demonstrate that using the Aggregating Algorithm with FARIMA models is a useful tool in predicting network traffic demand.