Skip to main content

2023 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

21. Importance and Sensitivity Analysis on Complex Repairable Systems and Imprecise System Reliability

verfasst von : Geng Feng

Erschienen in: Springer Handbook of Engineering Statistics

Verlag: Springer London

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

The identification of the components which are responsible for the performance of system is a key task to improve the safety and reliability. However, such analysis is difficult and challenging when large and complex systems are analyzed. The survival signature which is presented recently cannot only hold the merits of the former system signature but is efficient to deal with complex system with multiply component types. In real engineering applications, components can be repaired after failure. Hence, it is essential to identify which component or component set is most critical the complex repairable system. What is more, due to lack of data or the confidential information, it is difficult to know the full configuration of the system, which leads to an imprecise survival signature. In order to address the above questions, the efficient simulation approaches based on structure function and survival signature have been proposed respectively to analyze the complex repairable systems. Based on this, component importance index has been introduced to perform sensitivity analysis on a specific component or a set of components within the repairable system. In addition, the proposed simulation method can be used to deal with imprecision within the survival signature. Numerical examples are presented to show the applicability of the above approaches.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
2.
Zurück zum Zitat Beer, M., Ferson, S., Kreinovich, V.: Imprecise probabilities in engineering analyses. Mech. Syst. Signal Process. 37(1), 4–29 (2013)CrossRef Beer, M., Ferson, S., Kreinovich, V.: Imprecise probabilities in engineering analyses. Mech. Syst. Signal Process. 37(1), 4–29 (2013)CrossRef
3.
Zurück zum Zitat Birnbaum, Z.W.: On the importance of different components in a multicomponent system. Technical report. DTIC Document (1968)CrossRefMATH Birnbaum, Z.W.: On the importance of different components in a multicomponent system. Technical report. DTIC Document (1968)CrossRefMATH
4.
Zurück zum Zitat Borgonovo, E.: A new uncertainty importance measure. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 92(6), 771–784 (2007)CrossRef Borgonovo, E.: A new uncertainty importance measure. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 92(6), 771–784 (2007)CrossRef
5.
Zurück zum Zitat Borgonovo, E., Apostolakis, G.E.: A new importance measure for risk-informed decision making. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 72(2), 193–212 (2001)CrossRef Borgonovo, E., Apostolakis, G.E.: A new importance measure for risk-informed decision making. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 72(2), 193–212 (2001)CrossRef
6.
Zurück zum Zitat Coolen, F.: On the use of imprecise probabilities in reliability. Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int. 20(3), 193–202 (2004)CrossRef Coolen, F.: On the use of imprecise probabilities in reliability. Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int. 20(3), 193–202 (2004)CrossRef
7.
Zurück zum Zitat Coolen, F.P., Coolen-Maturi, T.: Generalizing the signature to systems with multiple types of components. In: Complex Systems and Dependability, pp. 115–130. Springer, Berlin (2012) Coolen, F.P., Coolen-Maturi, T.: Generalizing the signature to systems with multiple types of components. In: Complex Systems and Dependability, pp. 115–130. Springer, Berlin (2012)
8.
Zurück zum Zitat Coolen, F.P., Coolen-Maturi, T.: Modelling uncertain aspects of system dependability with survival signatures. In: Dependability Problems of Complex Information Systems, pp. 19–34. Springer, Berlin (2015) Coolen, F.P., Coolen-Maturi, T.: Modelling uncertain aspects of system dependability with survival signatures. In: Dependability Problems of Complex Information Systems, pp. 19–34. Springer, Berlin (2015)
9.
Zurück zum Zitat Coolen, F.P., Coolen-Maturi, T.: The structure function for system reliability as predictive (imprecise) probability. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 154, 180–187 (2016)CrossRef Coolen, F.P., Coolen-Maturi, T.: The structure function for system reliability as predictive (imprecise) probability. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 154, 180–187 (2016)CrossRef
10.
Zurück zum Zitat Coolen, F.P., Troffaes, M.C., Augustin, T.: Imprecise probability. In: International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science, pp. 645–648. Springer, Berlin (2011) Coolen, F.P., Troffaes, M.C., Augustin, T.: Imprecise probability. In: International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science, pp. 645–648. Springer, Berlin (2011)
11.
Zurück zum Zitat Coolen, F.P., Coolen-Maturi, T., Al-Nefaiee, A.H.: Nonparametric predictive inference for system reliability using the survival signature. Proc. Inst. Mech. Eng. O J. Risk Reliab. 228(5), 437–448 (2014) Coolen, F.P., Coolen-Maturi, T., Al-Nefaiee, A.H.: Nonparametric predictive inference for system reliability using the survival signature. Proc. Inst. Mech. Eng. O J. Risk Reliab. 228(5), 437–448 (2014)
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Ertas, A., Smith, M.W., Tate, D., Lawson, W.D., Baturalp, T.B.: Complexity of system maintainability analysis based on the interpretive structural modeling methodology: transdisciplinary approach. J. Syst. Sci. Syst. Eng. 25(2), 254–268 (2016)CrossRef Ertas, A., Smith, M.W., Tate, D., Lawson, W.D., Baturalp, T.B.: Complexity of system maintainability analysis based on the interpretive structural modeling methodology: transdisciplinary approach. J. Syst. Sci. Syst. Eng. 25(2), 254–268 (2016)CrossRef
13.
Zurück zum Zitat Feng, G.: Survival signature-based reliability approach for complex systems susceptible to common cause failures. Int. J. Reliab. Qual. Saf. Eng. 26(03), 1950013 (2019)CrossRef Feng, G.: Survival signature-based reliability approach for complex systems susceptible to common cause failures. Int. J. Reliab. Qual. Saf. Eng. 26(03), 1950013 (2019)CrossRef
14.
Zurück zum Zitat Feng, G., Patelli, E., Beer, M., Coolen, F.P.: Imprecise system reliability and component importance based on survival signature. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 150, 116–125 (2016)CrossRef Feng, G., Patelli, E., Beer, M., Coolen, F.P.: Imprecise system reliability and component importance based on survival signature. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 150, 116–125 (2016)CrossRef
15.
Zurück zum Zitat Ferson, S., Hajagos, J.G.: Arithmetic with uncertain numbers: rigorous and (often) best possible answers. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 85(1), 135–152 (2004)CrossRef Ferson, S., Hajagos, J.G.: Arithmetic with uncertain numbers: rigorous and (often) best possible answers. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 85(1), 135–152 (2004)CrossRef
16.
Zurück zum Zitat Ferson, S., Kreinovich, V., Ginzburg, L., Myers, D.S., Sentz, K.: Constructing Probability Boxes and Dempster-Shafer Structures, vol. 835. Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque (2002) Ferson, S., Kreinovich, V., Ginzburg, L., Myers, D.S., Sentz, K.: Constructing Probability Boxes and Dempster-Shafer Structures, vol. 835. Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque (2002)
17.
Zurück zum Zitat Fussell, J.: How to hand-calculate system reliability and safety characteristics. IEEE Trans. Reliab. 3, 169–174 (1975)MathSciNetCrossRef Fussell, J.: How to hand-calculate system reliability and safety characteristics. IEEE Trans. Reliab. 3, 169–174 (1975)MathSciNetCrossRef
18.
Zurück zum Zitat George-Williams, H., Feng, G., Coolen, F.P., Beer, M., Patelli, E.: Extending the survival signature paradigm to complex systems with non-repairable dependent failures. Proc. Inst. Mech. Eng. O J. Risk Reliab. 1748006X18808085 (2018) George-Williams, H., Feng, G., Coolen, F.P., Beer, M., Patelli, E.: Extending the survival signature paradigm to complex systems with non-repairable dependent failures. Proc. Inst. Mech. Eng. O J. Risk Reliab. 1748006X18808085 (2018)
19.
Zurück zum Zitat Levitin, G., Lisnianski, A.: Importance and sensitivity analysis of multi-state systems using the universal generating function method. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 65(3), 271–282 (1999)CrossRef Levitin, G., Lisnianski, A.: Importance and sensitivity analysis of multi-state systems using the universal generating function method. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 65(3), 271–282 (1999)CrossRef
20.
Zurück zum Zitat Modarres, M.: What Every Engineer Should Know About Reliability and Risk Analysis, vol. 30. CRC Press, Boca Raton (1992) Modarres, M.: What Every Engineer Should Know About Reliability and Risk Analysis, vol. 30. CRC Press, Boca Raton (1992)
21.
Zurück zum Zitat Modarres, M.: Risk Analysis in Engineering: Techniques, Tools, and Trends. CRC Press, Boca Raton (2006)MATH Modarres, M.: Risk Analysis in Engineering: Techniques, Tools, and Trends. CRC Press, Boca Raton (2006)MATH
22.
Zurück zum Zitat Patelli, E., Feng, G., Coolen, F.P., Coolen-Maturi, T.: Simulation methods for system reliability using the survival signature. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 167, 327–337 (2017)CrossRef Patelli, E., Feng, G., Coolen, F.P., Coolen-Maturi, T.: Simulation methods for system reliability using the survival signature. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 167, 327–337 (2017)CrossRef
23.
Zurück zum Zitat Pham, H.: Handbook of Reliability Engineering. Springer Science & Business Media, Berlin (2006) Pham, H.: Handbook of Reliability Engineering. Springer Science & Business Media, Berlin (2006)
24.
Zurück zum Zitat Reed, S.: An efficient algorithm for exact computation of system and survival signatures using binary decision diagrams. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 165, 257–267 (2017)CrossRef Reed, S.: An efficient algorithm for exact computation of system and survival signatures using binary decision diagrams. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 165, 257–267 (2017)CrossRef
25.
Zurück zum Zitat Samaniego, F.J.: System Signatures and Their Applications in Engineering Reliability, vol. 110. Springer Science & Business Media, Berlin (2007)CrossRefMATH Samaniego, F.J.: System Signatures and Their Applications in Engineering Reliability, vol. 110. Springer Science & Business Media, Berlin (2007)CrossRefMATH
26.
Zurück zum Zitat Song, K.Y., Chang, I.H., Pham, H.: A three-parameter fault-detection software reliability model with the uncertainty of operating environments. J. Syst. Sci. Syst. Eng. 26(1), 121–132 (2017)CrossRef Song, K.Y., Chang, I.H., Pham, H.: A three-parameter fault-detection software reliability model with the uncertainty of operating environments. J. Syst. Sci. Syst. Eng. 26(1), 121–132 (2017)CrossRef
27.
Zurück zum Zitat Vesely, W.: A time-dependent methodology for fault tree evaluation. Nucl. Eng. Des. 13(2), 337–360 (1970)CrossRef Vesely, W.: A time-dependent methodology for fault tree evaluation. Nucl. Eng. Des. 13(2), 337–360 (1970)CrossRef
28.
Zurück zum Zitat Wang, W., Loman, J., Vassiliou, P.: Reliability importance of components in a complex system. In: Reliability and Maintainability, 2004 Annual Symposium-RAMS, pp. 6–11. IEEE, Piscataway (2004) Wang, W., Loman, J., Vassiliou, P.: Reliability importance of components in a complex system. In: Reliability and Maintainability, 2004 Annual Symposium-RAMS, pp. 6–11. IEEE, Piscataway (2004)
29.
Zurück zum Zitat Zio, E., Baraldi, P., Patelli, E.: Assessment of the availability of an offshore installation by monte carlo simulation. Int. J. Press. Vessel. Pip. 83(4), 312–320 (2006)CrossRef Zio, E., Baraldi, P., Patelli, E.: Assessment of the availability of an offshore installation by monte carlo simulation. Int. J. Press. Vessel. Pip. 83(4), 312–320 (2006)CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
Importance and Sensitivity Analysis on Complex Repairable Systems and Imprecise System Reliability
verfasst von
Geng Feng
Copyright-Jahr
2023
Verlag
Springer London
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-7503-2_21

    Marktübersichten

    Die im Laufe eines Jahres in der „adhäsion“ veröffentlichten Marktübersichten helfen Anwendern verschiedenster Branchen, sich einen gezielten Überblick über Lieferantenangebote zu verschaffen.