Skip to main content
Erschienen in: Finance and Stochastics 2/2018

20.02.2018

Approximation of forward curve models in commodity markets with arbitrage-free finite-dimensional models

verfasst von: Fred Espen Benth, Paul Krühner

Erschienen in: Finance and Stochastics | Ausgabe 2/2018

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

In this paper, we show how to approximate Heath–Jarrow–Morton dynamics for the forward prices in commodity markets with arbitrage-free models which have a finite-dimensional state space. Moreover, we recover a closed-form representation of the forward price dynamics in the approximation models and derive the rate of convergence to the true dynamics uniformly over an interval of time to maturity under certain additional smoothness conditions. In the Markovian case, we can strengthen the convergence to be uniform over time as well. Our results are based on the construction of a convenient Riesz basis on the state space of the term structure dynamics.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Fußnoten
1
This is a very useful consequence of the Szőkefalvi-Nagy dilation theorem [32, Theorem I.8.1].
 
Literatur
1.
Zurück zum Zitat Albeverio, S., Ferrario, B.: Some methods of infinite dimensional analysis in hydrodynamics: an introduction. In: da Prato, G., Röckner, M. (eds.) SPDE in Hydrodynamics: Recent Progress and Prospects. Lecture Notes in Math., vol. 1942, pp. 1–50. Springer, Berlin (2005) Albeverio, S., Ferrario, B.: Some methods of infinite dimensional analysis in hydrodynamics: an introduction. In: da Prato, G., Röckner, M. (eds.) SPDE in Hydrodynamics: Recent Progress and Prospects. Lecture Notes in Math., vol. 1942, pp. 1–50. Springer, Berlin (2005)
2.
Zurück zum Zitat Barth, A.: A finite element method for martingale-driven stochastic partial differential equations. Commun. Stoch. Anal. 4, 355–373 (2010) MathSciNetMATH Barth, A.: A finite element method for martingale-driven stochastic partial differential equations. Commun. Stoch. Anal. 4, 355–373 (2010) MathSciNetMATH
3.
Zurück zum Zitat Benth, F.E., Kallsen, J., Meyer-Brandis, T.: A non-Gaussian Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process for electricity spot price modeling and derivatives pricing. Appl. Math. Finance 14, 153–169 (2007) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Benth, F.E., Kallsen, J., Meyer-Brandis, T.: A non-Gaussian Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process for electricity spot price modeling and derivatives pricing. Appl. Math. Finance 14, 153–169 (2007) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
4.
Zurück zum Zitat Benth, F.E., Krühner, P.: Representation of infinite-dimensional forward price models in commodity markets. Commun. Math. Stat. 2, 47–106 (2014) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Benth, F.E., Krühner, P.: Representation of infinite-dimensional forward price models in commodity markets. Commun. Math. Stat. 2, 47–106 (2014) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
6.
Zurück zum Zitat Benth, F.E., Krühner, P.: Derivatives pricing in energy markets: an infinite-dimensional approach. SIAM J. Financ. Math. 6, 825–869 (2015) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Benth, F.E., Krühner, P.: Derivatives pricing in energy markets: an infinite-dimensional approach. SIAM J. Financ. Math. 6, 825–869 (2015) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
8.
Zurück zum Zitat Benth, F.E., Šaltytė Benth, J.: Modeling and Pricing in Financial Markets for Weather Derivatives. World Scientific, Singapore (2013) MATH Benth, F.E., Šaltytė Benth, J.: Modeling and Pricing in Financial Markets for Weather Derivatives. World Scientific, Singapore (2013) MATH
9.
Zurück zum Zitat Benth, F.E., Šaltytė Benth, J., Koekebakker, S.: Stochastic Modelling of Electricity and Related Markets. World Scientific, Singapore (2008) CrossRefMATH Benth, F.E., Šaltytė Benth, J., Koekebakker, S.: Stochastic Modelling of Electricity and Related Markets. World Scientific, Singapore (2008) CrossRefMATH
10.
Zurück zum Zitat Björk, T.: On the existence of finite-dimensional realizations for nonlinear forward rate models. Math. Finance 11, 205–243 (2001) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Björk, T.: On the existence of finite-dimensional realizations for nonlinear forward rate models. Math. Finance 11, 205–243 (2001) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
11.
Zurück zum Zitat Björk, T., Landén, C.: On the construction of finite dimensional realizations for nonlinear forward rate models. Finance Stoch. 6, 303–331 (2002) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Björk, T., Landén, C.: On the construction of finite dimensional realizations for nonlinear forward rate models. Finance Stoch. 6, 303–331 (2002) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Björk, T., Svensson, L.: On the existence of finite-dimensional realizations for nonlinear forward rate models. Math. Finance 11, 205–243 (2001) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Björk, T., Svensson, L.: On the existence of finite-dimensional realizations for nonlinear forward rate models. Math. Finance 11, 205–243 (2001) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
13.
Zurück zum Zitat Carmona, R., Tehranchi, M.: Interest Rate Models: An Infinite Dimensional Stochastic Analysis Perspective. Springer, Berlin (2006) MATH Carmona, R., Tehranchi, M.: Interest Rate Models: An Infinite Dimensional Stochastic Analysis Perspective. Springer, Berlin (2006) MATH
14.
Zurück zum Zitat Clewlow, L., Strickland, C.: Energy Derivatives: Pricing and Risk Management. Lacima Publications, London (2000) Clewlow, L., Strickland, C.: Energy Derivatives: Pricing and Risk Management. Lacima Publications, London (2000)
15.
Zurück zum Zitat Cuchiero, C., Klein, I., Teichmann, J.: A new perspective on the fundamental theorem of asset pricing for large financial markets. Theory Probab. Appl. 60, 561–579 (2016) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Cuchiero, C., Klein, I., Teichmann, J.: A new perspective on the fundamental theorem of asset pricing for large financial markets. Theory Probab. Appl. 60, 561–579 (2016) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
16.
Zurück zum Zitat Delbaen, F., Schachermayer, W.: The fundamental theorem of asset pricing for unbounded stochastic processes. Math. Ann. 312, 215–250 (1998) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Delbaen, F., Schachermayer, W.: The fundamental theorem of asset pricing for unbounded stochastic processes. Math. Ann. 312, 215–250 (1998) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
17.
Zurück zum Zitat Dinculeanu, N.: Vector Integration and Stochastic Integration in Banach Spaces. Wiley, New York (2000) CrossRefMATH Dinculeanu, N.: Vector Integration and Stochastic Integration in Banach Spaces. Wiley, New York (2000) CrossRefMATH
18.
Zurück zum Zitat Duffie, D., Filipović, D., Schachermayer, W.: Affine processes and applications to finance. Ann. Appl. Probab. 13, 984–1053 (2003) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Duffie, D., Filipović, D., Schachermayer, W.: Affine processes and applications to finance. Ann. Appl. Probab. 13, 984–1053 (2003) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
19.
Zurück zum Zitat Filipović, D.: Invariant manifolds for weak solutions to stochastic equations. Probab. Theory Relat. Fields 118, 323–341 (2000) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Filipović, D.: Invariant manifolds for weak solutions to stochastic equations. Probab. Theory Relat. Fields 118, 323–341 (2000) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
20.
Zurück zum Zitat Filipović, D.: Consistency Problems for Heath–Jarrow–Morton Interest Rate Models. Lecture Notes in Mathematics, vol. 1760. Springer, Berlin (2001) CrossRefMATH Filipović, D.: Consistency Problems for Heath–Jarrow–Morton Interest Rate Models. Lecture Notes in Mathematics, vol. 1760. Springer, Berlin (2001) CrossRefMATH
21.
Zurück zum Zitat Filipović, D., Tappe, S., Teichmann, J.: Jump-diffusions in Hilbert spaces: existence, stability and numerics. Stochastics 82, 475–520 (2010) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Filipović, D., Tappe, S., Teichmann, J.: Jump-diffusions in Hilbert spaces: existence, stability and numerics. Stochastics 82, 475–520 (2010) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
22.
Zurück zum Zitat Filipović, D., Teichmann, J.: Existence of invariant manifolds for stochastic equations in infinite dimension. J. Funct. Anal. 197, 398–432 (2003) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Filipović, D., Teichmann, J.: Existence of invariant manifolds for stochastic equations in infinite dimension. J. Funct. Anal. 197, 398–432 (2003) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
23.
Zurück zum Zitat Grecksch, W., Kloeden, P.E.: Time-discretised Galerkin approximations of parabolic stochastic PDEs. Bull. Aust. Math. Soc. 54, 79–85 (1996) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Grecksch, W., Kloeden, P.E.: Time-discretised Galerkin approximations of parabolic stochastic PDEs. Bull. Aust. Math. Soc. 54, 79–85 (1996) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
24.
Zurück zum Zitat Heath, D., Jarrow, R., Morton, A.: Bond pricing and the term structure of interest rates: a new methodology for contingent claim valuation. Econometrica 60, 77–105 (1992) CrossRefMATH Heath, D., Jarrow, R., Morton, A.: Bond pricing and the term structure of interest rates: a new methodology for contingent claim valuation. Econometrica 60, 77–105 (1992) CrossRefMATH
26.
Zurück zum Zitat Kruse, R.: Optimal error estimates of Galerkin finite element methods for stochastic partial differential equations with multiplicative noise. IMA J. Numer. Anal. 34, 217–251 (2011) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Kruse, R.: Optimal error estimates of Galerkin finite element methods for stochastic partial differential equations with multiplicative noise. IMA J. Numer. Anal. 34, 217–251 (2011) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
27.
Zurück zum Zitat Kruse, R.: Strong and Weak Approximation of Semilinear Stochastic Evolution Equations. Lecture Notes in Mathematics, vol. 2093. Springer, Berlin (2014) MATH Kruse, R.: Strong and Weak Approximation of Semilinear Stochastic Evolution Equations. Lecture Notes in Mathematics, vol. 2093. Springer, Berlin (2014) MATH
28.
Zurück zum Zitat Mishura, Y., Munchak, E.: Rate of convergence of option prices by using the method of pseudomoments. Theory Probab. Math. Stat. 92, 117–133 (2016) CrossRefMATH Mishura, Y., Munchak, E.: Rate of convergence of option prices by using the method of pseudomoments. Theory Probab. Math. Stat. 92, 117–133 (2016) CrossRefMATH
29.
Zurück zum Zitat Peszat, S., Zabczyk, J.: Stochastic Partial Differential Equations with Lévy Noise. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2007) CrossRefMATH Peszat, S., Zabczyk, J.: Stochastic Partial Differential Equations with Lévy Noise. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (2007) CrossRefMATH
30.
Zurück zum Zitat Platen, E., Bruti-Liberati, N.: Numerical Solution of Stochastic Differential Equations with Jumps in Finance. Springer, Berlin (2010) CrossRefMATH Platen, E., Bruti-Liberati, N.: Numerical Solution of Stochastic Differential Equations with Jumps in Finance. Springer, Berlin (2010) CrossRefMATH
31.
Zurück zum Zitat Prévôt, C., Röckner, M.: A Concise Course on Stochastic Partial Differential Equations. Lecture Notes in Mathematics, vol. 1905. Springer, Berlin (2007) MATH Prévôt, C., Röckner, M.: A Concise Course on Stochastic Partial Differential Equations. Lecture Notes in Mathematics, vol. 1905. Springer, Berlin (2007) MATH
32.
Zurück zum Zitat Szőkefalvi-Nagy, B., Foiaş, C.: Harmonic Analysis of Operators on Hilbert Space. North-Holland, Amsterdam (1970) MATH Szőkefalvi-Nagy, B., Foiaş, C.: Harmonic Analysis of Operators on Hilbert Space. North-Holland, Amsterdam (1970) MATH
33.
Zurück zum Zitat Tappe, S.: An alternative approach on the existence of affine realizations for HJM term structure models. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. Ser. A 466, 3033–3060 (2010) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Tappe, S.: An alternative approach on the existence of affine realizations for HJM term structure models. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. Ser. A 466, 3033–3060 (2010) MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
34.
Zurück zum Zitat Tappe, S.: Some refinements of existence results for SPDEs driven by Wiener processes and Poisson random measures. Int. J. Stoch. Anal. 2012, 236327 (2012) MathSciNetMATH Tappe, S.: Some refinements of existence results for SPDEs driven by Wiener processes and Poisson random measures. Int. J. Stoch. Anal. 2012, 236327 (2012) MathSciNetMATH
35.
Zurück zum Zitat Young, R.: An Introduction to Nonharmonic Fourier Series. Academic Press, London (1980) MATH Young, R.: An Introduction to Nonharmonic Fourier Series. Academic Press, London (1980) MATH
Metadaten
Titel
Approximation of forward curve models in commodity markets with arbitrage-free finite-dimensional models
verfasst von
Fred Espen Benth
Paul Krühner
Publikationsdatum
20.02.2018
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Erschienen in
Finance and Stochastics / Ausgabe 2/2018
Print ISSN: 0949-2984
Elektronische ISSN: 1432-1122
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00780-018-0355-9

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 2/2018

Finance and Stochastics 2/2018 Zur Ausgabe