Skip to main content

2016 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

2. Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis

verfasst von : Katsuhisa Uchiyama

Erschienen in: Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis and Carbon Dioxide Emissions

Verlag: Springer Japan

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

This chapter deals with the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis, as one hypothesis that speaks to the possibility of sustainable development; this chapter also provides a brief overview and current research trends. The EKC hypothesis implies there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between environment degradation and economic development. The concept of the EKC originally began with data observation, and has attracted considerable attention from many researchers concerning the existence of the EKC—since it is very naive—and the thinking that relates to it. This chapter also surveys the main EKC research, which has been undertaken from both empirical and theoretical perspectives. As for the empirical perspective, the author compares previous studies that focus on the income level inherent in the EKC turning point. From the theoretical perspective, the author briefly introduces the Stokey (International Economic Review, 39, 1–31, [43]) model, which addresses stock pollutants. Finally, the author takes up criticisms and problems inherent in previous empirical and theoretical studies of the EKC.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Fußnoten
1
For instance, see Environment and Development Economics, Vol. 2, Part 4, 1997, and Ecological Economics, Vol. 25, No. 2, 1998.
 
2
As mentioned in Sect. 2.5, many problems have been pointed out with regard to the EKC.
 
3
Some empirical studies employ per-income CO\(_2\) emissions as a dependent variable. However, this is an index of energy efficiency, and so it may be inappropriate as an index of environmental degradation level.
 
4
Grossman and Krueger [22] and Vincent [45] each employed a cubic polynomial model while assuming an N-shaped EKC; each obtained statistically significant results. As shown in Fig. 2.3, the Japanese CO\(_2\) data seem to illustrate an N-shaped curve.
 
5
Previous empirical studies investigated only CO\(_2\) emissions; to the best of the author’s knowledge, no research has been undertaken that considers the source of CO\(_2\) absorption.
 
6
Other classifications commonly seen are macroeconomic versus microeconomic, long-term versus short-term, and deterministic versus stochastic, among others [25].
 
7
Stokey [43] adopts the AK model with an environmental constraint to models (a) and (b). According to these models, the economy converges to the steady state, in which the growth rates of all the variables are zero as a result. This is because, as shown later, the marginal productivity of capital (\(\partial Y(t) / \partial K(t) = \partial (AK(t)z(t)) / \partial K(t) = Az(t)\)) monotonically decreases as z(t) monotonically decreases over time. This means that the long-term growth rate of the economy becomes zero and sustainable development becomes infeasible. To modify this, exogenous technological progress is introduced to models (c) and (d). The exogenous technological progress brings about increased productivity, and compensates for the fall in z(t); hence, the growth rate becomes positive in the steady state.
 
8
If \(\eta =1\), this refers to the specific case of flow-type pollution, since the pollution stock will be removed during this term.
 
9
As is obvious from Eqs. (2.13) and (2.14), \(\eta \) is not included in either the long-run growth rate or the change rate of pollutant emissions. That is, whether the pollution type is flow or stock does not matter with respect to the long-run growth rate or the change rate of pollutant emissions. In addition, the depreciation rate, \(\delta \), has no impact on them, either.
 
10
Arrow et al. [4], p. 520.
 
11
See Selden and Song [36] and Holtz-Eakin and Selden [23].
 
12
Even if the EKC of CO\(_2\) were to exist, there are many criticisms that it merely reflects energy-saving after the oil crisis, rather than emissions-reduction efforts.
 
13
Suri and Chapman [44] and Cole [7, 8] each add a trade indicator to their explanatory variables. Richmond and Kaufmann [34] employ an energy consumption variable. Neumayer [30] considers natural factors such as temperature.
 
14
Coondoo and Dinda [10] adopt a Granger causality test for income and CO\(_2\) emissions, using 1960–1990 data. They report no causality, or causality from income to CO\(_2\) emissions, in developing countries, as well as causality from CO\(_2\) emissions to income in advanced countries.
 
Literatur
1.
Zurück zum Zitat Agras, J., & Chapman, D. (1999). A dynamic approach to the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis. Ecological Economics, 28, 267–277.CrossRef Agras, J., & Chapman, D. (1999). A dynamic approach to the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis. Ecological Economics, 28, 267–277.CrossRef
2.
Zurück zum Zitat Al-Mulali, U., Saboori, B., & Ozturk, I. (2015). Investigating the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis in Vietnam. Energy Policy, 76, 123–131.CrossRef Al-Mulali, U., Saboori, B., & Ozturk, I. (2015). Investigating the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis in Vietnam. Energy Policy, 76, 123–131.CrossRef
3.
Zurück zum Zitat Andreoni, J., & Levinson, A. (2001). The simple analytics of the environmental Kuznets curve. Journal of Public Economics, 80, 269–286.CrossRef Andreoni, J., & Levinson, A. (2001). The simple analytics of the environmental Kuznets curve. Journal of Public Economics, 80, 269–286.CrossRef
4.
Zurück zum Zitat Arrow, K. J., Bolin, B., Costanza, R., Dasgupta, P., Folke, C., Holling, C. S., et al. (1995). Economic growth, carrying capacity and the environment. Science, 268, 520–521. Reprinted in Ecological Economics, 15, 91–95, in Environment and Development Economics, 1, 104–110, and in Ecological Applications, 6, 13–15. Arrow, K. J., Bolin, B., Costanza, R., Dasgupta, P., Folke, C., Holling, C. S., et al. (1995). Economic growth, carrying capacity and the environment. Science, 268, 520–521. Reprinted in Ecological Economics, 15, 91–95, in Environment and Development Economics, 1, 104–110, and in Ecological Applications, 6, 13–15.
5.
Zurück zum Zitat Bartz, S., & Kelly, D. L. (2008). Economic growth and the environment: Theory and facts. Resource and Energy Economics, 30, 115–149.CrossRef Bartz, S., & Kelly, D. L. (2008). Economic growth and the environment: Theory and facts. Resource and Energy Economics, 30, 115–149.CrossRef
6.
Zurück zum Zitat Bulte, E. H., & van Soest, D. P. (2001). Environmental degradation in developing countries: Households and the (reverse) environmental Kuznets curve. Journal of Development Economics, 65, 225–235.CrossRef Bulte, E. H., & van Soest, D. P. (2001). Environmental degradation in developing countries: Households and the (reverse) environmental Kuznets curve. Journal of Development Economics, 65, 225–235.CrossRef
7.
Zurück zum Zitat Cole, M. A. (2003). Development, trade, and the environment: How robust is the environmental Kuznets curve? Environment and Development Economics, 8, 557–580.CrossRef Cole, M. A. (2003). Development, trade, and the environment: How robust is the environmental Kuznets curve? Environment and Development Economics, 8, 557–580.CrossRef
8.
Zurück zum Zitat Cole, M. A. (2004). Trade, the pollution haven hypothesis and the environmental Kuznets curve: Examining the linkages. Ecological Economics, 48, 71–81.CrossRef Cole, M. A. (2004). Trade, the pollution haven hypothesis and the environmental Kuznets curve: Examining the linkages. Ecological Economics, 48, 71–81.CrossRef
9.
Zurück zum Zitat Cole, M. A., Rayner, A. J., & Bates, J. M. (1997). The environmental Kuznets curve: An empirical analysis. Environment and Development Economics, 2, 401–416.CrossRef Cole, M. A., Rayner, A. J., & Bates, J. M. (1997). The environmental Kuznets curve: An empirical analysis. Environment and Development Economics, 2, 401–416.CrossRef
10.
Zurück zum Zitat Coondoo, D., & Dinda, S. (2002). Causality between income and emission: A country group-specific econometric analysis. Ecological Economics, 40, 351–367.CrossRef Coondoo, D., & Dinda, S. (2002). Causality between income and emission: A country group-specific econometric analysis. Ecological Economics, 40, 351–367.CrossRef
11.
Zurück zum Zitat Dasgupta, S., Laplante, B., Wang, H., & Wheeler, D. (2002). Confronting the environmental Kuznets curve. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 16, 147–168.CrossRef Dasgupta, S., Laplante, B., Wang, H., & Wheeler, D. (2002). Confronting the environmental Kuznets curve. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 16, 147–168.CrossRef
12.
Zurück zum Zitat de Bruyn, S. M., & Heintz, R. J. (2002). The environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis. In J. C. J. M. van den Bergh (Ed.), Handbook of environmental and resource economics (pp. 656–677). Oxford: Edward Elgar. de Bruyn, S. M., & Heintz, R. J. (2002). The environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis. In J. C. J. M. van den Bergh (Ed.), Handbook of environmental and resource economics (pp. 656–677). Oxford: Edward Elgar.
13.
Zurück zum Zitat Dijkgraaf, E., & Vollebergh, H. R. J. (2005). A test for parameter homogeneity in CO\(_2\) panel EKC estimations. Environmental and Resource Economics, 32, 229–239.CrossRef Dijkgraaf, E., & Vollebergh, H. R. J. (2005). A test for parameter homogeneity in CO\(_2\) panel EKC estimations. Environmental and Resource Economics, 32, 229–239.CrossRef
14.
Zurück zum Zitat Dinda, S. (2004). Environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis: A survey. Ecological Economics, 49, 431–455.CrossRef Dinda, S. (2004). Environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis: A survey. Ecological Economics, 49, 431–455.CrossRef
15.
Zurück zum Zitat Dinda, S. (2005). A theoretical basis for the environmental Kuznets curve. Ecological Economics, 53, 403–413.CrossRef Dinda, S. (2005). A theoretical basis for the environmental Kuznets curve. Ecological Economics, 53, 403–413.CrossRef
16.
Zurück zum Zitat Dinda, S., & Coondoo, D. (2006). Income and emission: A panel data-based cointegration analysis. Ecological Economics, 57, 167–181.CrossRef Dinda, S., & Coondoo, D. (2006). Income and emission: A panel data-based cointegration analysis. Ecological Economics, 57, 167–181.CrossRef
17.
Zurück zum Zitat Egli, H., & Steger, T. M. (2007). A dynamic model of the environmental Kuznets curve: Turning point and public policy. Environmental and Resource Economics, 36, 15–34.CrossRef Egli, H., & Steger, T. M. (2007). A dynamic model of the environmental Kuznets curve: Turning point and public policy. Environmental and Resource Economics, 36, 15–34.CrossRef
18.
Zurück zum Zitat Forster, B. A. (1973). Optimal capital accumulation in a polluted environment. Southern Economic Journal, 39, 544–547.CrossRef Forster, B. A. (1973). Optimal capital accumulation in a polluted environment. Southern Economic Journal, 39, 544–547.CrossRef
19.
Zurück zum Zitat Galeotti, M., & Lanza, A. (1999). Richer and cleaner? A study on carbon dioxide emissions in developing countries. Energy Policy, 27, 565–573.CrossRef Galeotti, M., & Lanza, A. (1999). Richer and cleaner? A study on carbon dioxide emissions in developing countries. Energy Policy, 27, 565–573.CrossRef
20.
Zurück zum Zitat Galeotti, M., Lanza, A., & Pauli, F. (2006). Reassessing the environmental Kuznets curve for CO\(_2\) emissions: A robustness exercise. Ecological Economics, 57, 152–163.CrossRef Galeotti, M., Lanza, A., & Pauli, F. (2006). Reassessing the environmental Kuznets curve for CO\(_2\) emissions: A robustness exercise. Ecological Economics, 57, 152–163.CrossRef
21.
Zurück zum Zitat Grossman, G. M., & Krueger, A. B. (1991). Environmental impacts of a North American free trade agreement, NBER Working Paper No. 3914, NBER. Grossman, G. M., & Krueger, A. B. (1991). Environmental impacts of a North American free trade agreement, NBER Working Paper No. 3914, NBER.
22.
Zurück zum Zitat Grossman, G. M., & Krueger, A. B. (1995). Economic growth and the environment. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110, 353–377.CrossRef Grossman, G. M., & Krueger, A. B. (1995). Economic growth and the environment. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110, 353–377.CrossRef
23.
Zurück zum Zitat Holtz-Eakin, D., & Selden, T. M. (1995). Stoking the fires? CO\(_2\) emissions and economic growth. Journal of Public Economics, 57, 85–101.CrossRef Holtz-Eakin, D., & Selden, T. M. (1995). Stoking the fires? CO\(_2\) emissions and economic growth. Journal of Public Economics, 57, 85–101.CrossRef
24.
Zurück zum Zitat John, A., & Pecchenino, R. (1994). An overlapping generations model of growth and the environment. Economic Journal, 104, 1393–1410.CrossRef John, A., & Pecchenino, R. (1994). An overlapping generations model of growth and the environment. Economic Journal, 104, 1393–1410.CrossRef
25.
Zurück zum Zitat Kijima, M., Nishide, K., & Oyama, A. (2010). Economic models for the environmental Kuznets curve: A survey. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 34, 1187–1201.CrossRef Kijima, M., Nishide, K., & Oyama, A. (2010). Economic models for the environmental Kuznets curve: A survey. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 34, 1187–1201.CrossRef
26.
Zurück zum Zitat Kuznets, S. (1955). Economic growth and income inequality. American Economic Review, 45, 1–28. Kuznets, S. (1955). Economic growth and income inequality. American Economic Review, 45, 1–28.
27.
Zurück zum Zitat Lieb, C. M. (2002). The environmental Kuznets curve and satiation: A simple static model. Environment and Development Economics, 7, 429–448.CrossRef Lieb, C. M. (2002). The environmental Kuznets curve and satiation: A simple static model. Environment and Development Economics, 7, 429–448.CrossRef
28.
Zurück zum Zitat López, R. (1994). The environment as a factor of production: The effects of economic growth and trade liberalization. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 27, 163–184.CrossRef López, R. (1994). The environment as a factor of production: The effects of economic growth and trade liberalization. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 27, 163–184.CrossRef
29.
Zurück zum Zitat McConnell, K. E. (1997). Income and the demand for environmental quality. Environment and Development Economics, 2, 383–399.CrossRef McConnell, K. E. (1997). Income and the demand for environmental quality. Environment and Development Economics, 2, 383–399.CrossRef
30.
Zurück zum Zitat Neumayer, E. (2002). Can natural factors explain any cross-country differences in carbon dioxide emissions? Energy Policy, 30, 7–12.CrossRef Neumayer, E. (2002). Can natural factors explain any cross-country differences in carbon dioxide emissions? Energy Policy, 30, 7–12.CrossRef
31.
Zurück zum Zitat Ordás Criado, C. (2008). Temporal and spatial homogeneity in air pollutants panel EKC estimations: Two nonparametric tests applied to Spanish provinces. Environmental and Resource Economics, 40, 265–283.CrossRef Ordás Criado, C. (2008). Temporal and spatial homogeneity in air pollutants panel EKC estimations: Two nonparametric tests applied to Spanish provinces. Environmental and Resource Economics, 40, 265–283.CrossRef
32.
Zurück zum Zitat Panayotou, T. (2000). Economic growth and the environment, CID Working Paper No. 56. Panayotou, T. (2000). Economic growth and the environment, CID Working Paper No. 56.
33.
Zurück zum Zitat Perman, R., & Stern, D. I. (2003). Evidence from panel unit root and cointegration tests that the environmental Kuznets curve does not exist. Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 47, 325–347.CrossRef Perman, R., & Stern, D. I. (2003). Evidence from panel unit root and cointegration tests that the environmental Kuznets curve does not exist. Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 47, 325–347.CrossRef
34.
Zurück zum Zitat Richmond, A. K., & Kaufmann, R. K. (2006). Is there a turning point in the relationship between income and energy use and/or carbon emissions? Ecological Economics, 56, 176–189.CrossRef Richmond, A. K., & Kaufmann, R. K. (2006). Is there a turning point in the relationship between income and energy use and/or carbon emissions? Ecological Economics, 56, 176–189.CrossRef
35.
Zurück zum Zitat Schmalensee, R., Stoker, T. M., & Judson, R. A. (1998). World carbon dioxide emissions: 1950–2050. Review of Economics and Statistics, 80, 15–27.CrossRef Schmalensee, R., Stoker, T. M., & Judson, R. A. (1998). World carbon dioxide emissions: 1950–2050. Review of Economics and Statistics, 80, 15–27.CrossRef
36.
Zurück zum Zitat Selden, T. M., & Song, D. (1994). Environmental quality and development: Is there a Kuznets curve for air pollution emissions? Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 27, 147–162.CrossRef Selden, T. M., & Song, D. (1994). Environmental quality and development: Is there a Kuznets curve for air pollution emissions? Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 27, 147–162.CrossRef
37.
Zurück zum Zitat Selden, T. M., & Song, D. (1995). Neoclassical growth, the J curve for abatement, and the inverted U curve for pollution. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 29, 162–168.CrossRef Selden, T. M., & Song, D. (1995). Neoclassical growth, the J curve for abatement, and the inverted U curve for pollution. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 29, 162–168.CrossRef
38.
Zurück zum Zitat Shafik, N. (1994). Economic development and environmental quality: An econometric analysis. Oxford Economic Papers, 46, 757–773.CrossRef Shafik, N. (1994). Economic development and environmental quality: An econometric analysis. Oxford Economic Papers, 46, 757–773.CrossRef
39.
Zurück zum Zitat Shafik, N., & Bandyopadhyay, S. (1992). Economic growth and environmental quality: Time series and crosscountry evidence, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, WPS 904. Shafik, N., & Bandyopadhyay, S. (1992). Economic growth and environmental quality: Time series and crosscountry evidence, World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, WPS 904.
40.
Zurück zum Zitat Stern, D. I. (1998). Progress on the environmental Kuznets curve? Environment and Development Economics, 3, 173–196.CrossRef Stern, D. I. (1998). Progress on the environmental Kuznets curve? Environment and Development Economics, 3, 173–196.CrossRef
41.
Zurück zum Zitat Stern, D. I. (2004). The rise and fall of the environmental Kuznets curve. World Development, 32, 1419–1439.CrossRef Stern, D. I. (2004). The rise and fall of the environmental Kuznets curve. World Development, 32, 1419–1439.CrossRef
42.
Zurück zum Zitat Stern, D. I., & Common, M. S. (2001). Is there an environmental Kuznets curve for sulfur? Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 41, 162–178.CrossRef Stern, D. I., & Common, M. S. (2001). Is there an environmental Kuznets curve for sulfur? Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 41, 162–178.CrossRef
43.
Zurück zum Zitat Stokey, N. L. (1998). Are there limits to growth? International Economic Review, 39, 1–31.CrossRef Stokey, N. L. (1998). Are there limits to growth? International Economic Review, 39, 1–31.CrossRef
44.
Zurück zum Zitat Suri, V., & Chapman, D. (1998). Economic growth, trade and energy: Implications for the environmental Kuznets curve. Ecological Economics, 25, 195–208.CrossRef Suri, V., & Chapman, D. (1998). Economic growth, trade and energy: Implications for the environmental Kuznets curve. Ecological Economics, 25, 195–208.CrossRef
45.
Zurück zum Zitat Vincent, J. R. (1997). Testing for environmental Kuznets curves within a developing country. Environment and Development Economics, 2, 417–431.CrossRef Vincent, J. R. (1997). Testing for environmental Kuznets curves within a developing country. Environment and Development Economics, 2, 417–431.CrossRef
46.
Zurück zum Zitat Wagner, M. (2008). The carbon Kuznets curve: A cloudy picture emitted by bad econometrics? Resource and Energy Economics, 30, 388–408.CrossRef Wagner, M. (2008). The carbon Kuznets curve: A cloudy picture emitted by bad econometrics? Resource and Energy Economics, 30, 388–408.CrossRef
47.
Zurück zum Zitat World Bank (1992). World development report 1992: Development and the environment. New York: Oxford University Press. World Bank (1992). World development report 1992: Development and the environment. New York: Oxford University Press.
Metadaten
Titel
Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis
verfasst von
Katsuhisa Uchiyama
Copyright-Jahr
2016
Verlag
Springer Japan
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-55921-4_2

Premium Partner