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Erschienen in: Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting 1/2020

31.01.2019 | Original Research

Stock mergers and acquirers’ subsequent stock price crash risk

verfasst von: Surendranath Jory, Thanh Ngo, Jurica Susnjara

Erschienen in: Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting | Ausgabe 1/2020

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Abstract

We examine the changes in acquirers’ stock price crash risk following mergers and acquisitions (M&As). We employ the three measures of crash risk most commonly used in the literature: the negative conditional skewness of acquirer-specific stock returns, a down-to-up volatility measure, and the excess of extreme negative stock returns over extreme positive returns. We find that stock acquirers experience significantly higher stock price crash risk as compared to cash acquirers. The change in risk is positively correlated with the percent of stock used as a payment method. The findings are confined to acquirers with overvalued stock, lower profitability and more financial constraints, as well as to acquisitions of public targets. We confirm that stock market crises do not drive our findings. Furthermore, our results are robust to endogeneity concerns, controlling for non-acquirers and post-merger acquirer changes.

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Fußnoten
1
See also Shih and Hsu (2009) for how different combinations of payment methods and acquirer valuation suggest different motives behind acquisitions.
 
2
Jovanovic and Rousseau (2002) posit a slightly different motivation through the reallocation of capital.
 
3
In the context of incentives that go beyond shareholder wealth maximization, Lee and Wang (2017) find that having politically connected directors increases crash risk.
 
5
Managers of underperforming acquirers may act as if being long an out-of-the-money call option; depending on their compensation packages, that may literally be the case.
 
6
Vega of an option is highest if it is “at-the-money”.
 
7
Note that we are explicitly denoting only the period 2007-2009 as a financial crisis. Events of lesser magnitude (Savings and Loan crisis, Long Term Capital Management, bursting of the Dot-Com Bubble, etc.) are classified as non-crisis periods.
 
9
Since 50% of our sample include acquisitions of privately-held targets, the data on target’s ROA are not readily available. Thus, we include this variable in one regression specification to make sure our results still hold, and leave it out of subsequent models.
 
10
See, for example, Nejadmalayeri et al. (2017) and Kahn and Liñares-Zegarra (2016) for use of orthogonalization in empirical finance research.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Stock mergers and acquirers’ subsequent stock price crash risk
verfasst von
Surendranath Jory
Thanh Ngo
Jurica Susnjara
Publikationsdatum
31.01.2019
Verlag
Springer US
Erschienen in
Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting / Ausgabe 1/2020
Print ISSN: 0924-865X
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-7179
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-019-00792-w

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