Skip to main content
Erschienen in: Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting 1/2008

01.01.2008 | Original Paper

Option volume, strike distribution, and foreign exchange rate movements

verfasst von: Mark Cassano, Bing Han

Erschienen in: Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting | Ausgabe 1/2008

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Using Deutschmark currency option data from the Philadelphia Stock Exchange and British pound option data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, this article examines the signaling quality of option volume measures on movements in the underlying spot exchange rates. The concept of a volume-weighted strike distribution is proposed. It is demonstrated that measures using the strike distribution are inherently better predictors of both direction and volatility of the exchange rate movements as compared to their more traditional counterparts used in practice, such as the put-call ratio.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Anhänge
Nur mit Berechtigung zugänglich
Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Anthony J (1988) The interrelation of stock and options market trading-volume data. J Finance 43:949–964CrossRef Anthony J (1988) The interrelation of stock and options market trading-volume data. J Finance 43:949–964CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Billingsley R, Chance D (1988) Put-call ratios and market timing effectiveness. J Portf Manage 15:25–28CrossRef Billingsley R, Chance D (1988) Put-call ratios and market timing effectiveness. J Portf Manage 15:25–28CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Carr P, Madan D (2001) Optimal positioning in derivative securities. Quan Finance 1:19–37 Carr P, Madan D (2001) Optimal positioning in derivative securities. Quan Finance 1:19–37
Zurück zum Zitat Cassano M (2002) Disagreement and equilibrium option trading volume. Rev Deriv Res 5:153–179CrossRef Cassano M (2002) Disagreement and equilibrium option trading volume. Rev Deriv Res 5:153–179CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Chan K, Chung Y, Fong W (2002) The informational role of stock and option volume. Rev Financ Stud 15:1049–1075CrossRef Chan K, Chung Y, Fong W (2002) The informational role of stock and option volume. Rev Financ Stud 15:1049–1075CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Chance D (1990) Option volume and stock market performance. J Portf Manage 16:42–51 Chance D (1990) Option volume and stock market performance. J Portf Manage 16:42–51
Zurück zum Zitat Cheung YW, Wong CY- P (1997) The performance of trading rules on four Asian currency exchange rates. Multinatl Finance J 1:1–22 Cheung YW, Wong CY- P (1997) The performance of trading rules on four Asian currency exchange rates. Multinatl Finance J 1:1–22
Zurück zum Zitat Easley D, O’Hara M, Srinivas P (1998) Option volume and stock prices: evidence on where informed traders trade. J Finance 53:431–465CrossRef Easley D, O’Hara M, Srinivas P (1998) Option volume and stock prices: evidence on where informed traders trade. J Finance 53:431–465CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Evans M, Lyons R (2002) Order flow and exchange rate dynamics. J Polit Econ 110:170–180CrossRef Evans M, Lyons R (2002) Order flow and exchange rate dynamics. J Polit Econ 110:170–180CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Franke G, Stapleton R, Subrahmanyam M (1998) Who buys and who sells options: the role of options in an economy with background risk. J Econ Theor 82:89–109CrossRef Franke G, Stapleton R, Subrahmanyam M (1998) Who buys and who sells options: the role of options in an economy with background risk. J Econ Theor 82:89–109CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Lee CF, Rui OM (2000) Does trading volume contain information to predict stock returns? Evidence from China’s Stock Markets. Rev Quant Finance Account 14:341–360CrossRef Lee CF, Rui OM (2000) Does trading volume contain information to predict stock returns? Evidence from China’s Stock Markets. Rev Quant Finance Account 14:341–360CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Sarwar G (2005) The informational role of option trading volume in equity index options markets. Rev Quant Finance Account 24:159–176CrossRef Sarwar G (2005) The informational role of option trading volume in equity index options markets. Rev Quant Finance Account 24:159–176CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Simon D, Wiggins R (2001) S&P Futures returns and contrary sentiment indicators. J Futures Mark 21:447–462CrossRef Simon D, Wiggins R (2001) S&P Futures returns and contrary sentiment indicators. J Futures Mark 21:447–462CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Stephan J, Whaley R (1990) Intraday price change and trading volume relations in the stock and stock option markets. J Finance 45:191–220CrossRef Stephan J, Whaley R (1990) Intraday price change and trading volume relations in the stock and stock option markets. J Finance 45:191–220CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Trippi R, Harriff R (1993) Trading volume, heterogeneity of expectations, and the dispersion of volatilities implied by option prices. Rev Quant Finance Account 3:339–351CrossRef Trippi R, Harriff R (1993) Trading volume, heterogeneity of expectations, and the dispersion of volatilities implied by option prices. Rev Quant Finance Account 3:339–351CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Vijh A (1990) Liquidity of the CBOE equity options. J Finance 45:1157–1179CrossRef Vijh A (1990) Liquidity of the CBOE equity options. J Finance 45:1157–1179CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Wu C, Xu X (2000) Return volatility, trading imbalance and the information content of volume. Rev Quant Finance Account 14:131–153CrossRef Wu C, Xu X (2000) Return volatility, trading imbalance and the information content of volume. Rev Quant Finance Account 14:131–153CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
Option volume, strike distribution, and foreign exchange rate movements
verfasst von
Mark Cassano
Bing Han
Publikationsdatum
01.01.2008
Verlag
Springer US
Erschienen in
Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting / Ausgabe 1/2008
Print ISSN: 0924-865X
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-7179
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-007-0041-z

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 1/2008

Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting 1/2008 Zur Ausgabe