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Erschienen in:
A Conceptual Frame of Nuclear Proliferation in South Africa and the British Nexus Kapitel lesen Erstes Kapitel lesen

2016 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

10. Model Explanations of a Nuclear Powered South Africa

verfasst von : Lucky E. Asuelime, Raquel A. Adekoye

Erschienen in: Nuclear Proliferation in South Africa

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

This chapter is devoted to the analysis and constructs of nuclear proliferation in South Africa. The analysis highlights the rationale for nuclear proliferation. It provides model explanations for South Africa’s nuclear weapons development and determines the nature of the political environment that conditioned decisions and outcomes. This chapter seeks to determine whether or not certain patterns of similarity or difference exist among the nations and to identify the significant factors influencing a nation’s nuclear options. Based on this comparison, this chapter also provides an overall evaluation of nuclear weapons programs in the case study countries.

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Vorheriges Kapitel An Analysis of the Failed Technology Denial Strategy of Britain Towards South Africa
Nächstes Kapitel Conclusion: Controlling Nuclear Weapons in the Global South
Fußnoten
1
By 1981, South Africa had formal diplomatic relations with only 15 states.
 
2
The term “laager” means a defensive formation of wagons and comes from the Afrikaners’ treks into South Africa. It is used to describe a defensive attitude towards the world.
 
3
Some suggest that US intervention in the 1973 Yom Kippur war on Israel’s side encouraged South Africans to believe in catalytic deterrence.
 
4
Interestingly, Pik Botha, the South African Prime Minister, described the nuclear weapon as a diplomatic weapon to defend South Africa. Other possible uses of the weapon listed by Betts were dissuading neighboring African states from harboring insurgents and compelling them to engage in greater economic and diplomatic interaction with South Africa, thus reducing its isolation. These seem even more implausible.
 
5
Angola, Botswana, Lesotho, Mozambique, Namibia, Swaziland, and Zimbabwe have borders with South Africa. These “frontline states” were accused of providing shelter to antiapartheid fighters and to Communists.
 
6
But failed to mention Britain as a collaborator in its advancement in nuclear strategy and capability.
 
7
South African engineers had extensive experience with deep-level mining, so it is unclear why they would make the preparations above ground, permitting detection by satellites. It is also suggested that the country had not produced enough HEU for a test in 1977.
 
8
“Rogue states” is a term usually attributed to states other than the five recognized nuclear states (the USA, Soviet Union, Britain, France, and China) that chose to build nuclear weapons against the dictates of international treaties banning such. In the 1990s, Iraq was regarded as one. South Africa was fairly quietly regarded as rogue state in the 1980s.
 
Literatur
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Metadaten
Titel
Model Explanations of a Nuclear Powered South Africa
verfasst von
Lucky E. Asuelime
Raquel A. Adekoye
Copyright-Jahr
2016
Buch
Nuclear Proliferation in South Africa

Print ISBN: 978-3-319-33372-4

Electronic ISBN: 978-3-319-33373-1

Copyright-Jahr: 2016

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-33373-1_10

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