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Erschienen in:
1996 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel
Modelling the spread of HIV in prisons
verfasst von : J. Gani
Erschienen in: Athens Conference on Applied Probability and Time Series Analysis
Verlag: Springer New York
Enthalten in: Professional Book Archive
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This paper is concerned with models for the spread of HIV in prisons. We first consider a single prison of size N in which there is homogeneous mixing, and where there is an inflow and outflow of n< N prisoners at times t= 0, 1, 2,... Conditions are derived for the stability of the system. The interaction of such a prison with the outside world is then studied, and stability conditions obtained for this case. Finally, a quarantine policy is examined and its cost analyzed, both in the non-stable and stable cases.