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2013 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

MSUE Conditional Method Predictive Power, Milia Basin, Tuscany, Italy

verfasst von : Marco Capitani, Paolo Roberto Federici

Erschienen in: Landslide Science and Practice

Verlag: Springer Berlin Heidelberg

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Abstract

An attempt to assess the predictive power of the MSUE Conditional Method was made in landslide susceptibility zonation of the Milia Basin, Tuscany, Italy. A detailed geomorphological mapping, combined with aerial photographs analysis, enabled us to build two landslide inventories using a time scale. The landslides related to a period before 1975 were used to create the models, while those related to a period after 1975 were used to validate the models predictive power. Five time invariant factors maps were also developed in a GIS environment. Finally, the inventory landslides maps and the five landslide-related factor maps were processed using a model in a GIS environment. The procedure was applied separately to the most frequent landslides typologies and for each different combination of the five factors. The comparison between the distribution of landslides after 1975 and the predicted distribution derived from susceptibility models established the predictive power of each model.

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Metadaten
Titel
MSUE Conditional Method Predictive Power, Milia Basin, Tuscany, Italy
verfasst von
Marco Capitani
Paolo Roberto Federici
Copyright-Jahr
2013
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-31325-7_67