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2021 | Buch

Numbers and Narratives in Bangladesh's Economic Development

verfasst von: Prof. Rashed Al Mahmud Titumir

Verlag: Springer Singapore

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This book focuses on socio-economic developments of Bangladesh by challenging the dominant international narrative of the case being termed as “development surprise”, “development paradox” or “development conundrum,” given the absence of good governance. In doing so, the book examines the political economic dynamics and offers valuable insights into the current state of the Bangladeshi economy in light of stability, transformability and sustainability.
Pointing to the ‘high’ rate of growth in gross domestic product (GDP) in Bangladesh, there is wide belief that economic growth can be obtained even without functioning institutions, and is more important than an inclusive political system. Advocates go on to argue that authoritarianism may be condoned as long as a steady course of development is perused. However, the inadequacy of comparative analysis in to the state of the economy of Bangladesh vis-à-vis other relevant economies makes such claims myopic and parochial.
This book thus investigates the numbers and narratives to ascertain the validity of such assertions and lamentations by looking at the necessary and sufficient conditions of development. The necessary conditions imply an incisive inquiry into the factors of economic growth— land, labour, capital and technology while sufficient conditions warrant a penetrating incisive inquiry into the factors of economic growth— land, labour, capital and technology. As such, the book explores development by drawing variables of politics and economics to find out a causal relationship, and interjects these variables have on themes such as growth, agriculture, manufacturing industry, financial sector, health, education, poverty and inequality.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Frontmatter
Chapter 1. Economic Growth in Bangladesh
Abstract
This chapter explores the growth scenario of Bangladesh economy. This chapter attempts to examine the current state of economic growth of Bangladesh in terms of stability and analyse the conditions for transformability by looking at power, political settlement and institutions. It further scrutinises the conditions for environmentally sustainable growth that ascertains good quality of life of both humans and nature. It also inquires whether the claimed high rate of growth commensurate with the statistics on components of national income—consumption, savings, investment, expenditure and trade volumes—provided by the official sources such as Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics and other government agencies. Current economic growth of the country has been fuelled by RMG and remittance sector, both now showing negative growth rate. The Covid-19 pandemic has only exacerbated the current scenario. Political settlement has been used as a tool to demonstrate the clientelism that exists in the economy. Since there is global discussion on sustainable development goals (SDGs), this chapter also aims at assessing the progress of Bangladesh economy towards attaining SDGs. The chapter too draws on cross country analyses to show how the economic growth in Bangladesh has progressed compared to other countries.
Rashed Al Mahmud Titumir
Chapter 2. Agriculture in Bangladesh
Abstract
The chapter demonstrates the declining trend of productivity in agriculture. It is observed that the post-green revolution period has experienced little technological advancement. On the other hand, the poor and marginal peasants and tenants comprising the majority of total farm population cannot afford the high cost of inputs and technologies. In addition, the declining trend in the availability of arable land causes the growth in agricultural sector to fall, despite higher cropping intensity. Moreover, the crop production has concentrated in only cereal products and the lack of variations in the output basket keeps food autarky at bay. Moreover, the use of technology in agriculture is yet to reach all steps and phases of the process of production. Most importantly, the so-called green revolution has been negatively impacting the sustainability of environment and nature at large. It is further argued that the sector is exhibiting gradual reduced contribution to the GDP, though having the highest number of people dependent on agriculture for employment, indicating a high rate of under-employment and inadequate labour absorption capacities of manufacturing and service sectors, highlighting a fragile structural transformation and concentration of poverty in rural areas.
Rashed Al Mahmud Titumir
Chapter 3. Manufacturing Industry of Bangladesh
Abstract
The chapter reveals that the number of productive sectors is not increasing, resulting in to a heavy dependence on a single sector—ready-made garment (RMG), making the economy susceptible to shocks due to non-diversification. In addition, the wage in RMG sector is low and the workers cannot exercise their rights, enshrined in global charters. The fundamental reasons for failing to enlarge job-creating productive capacities and transformation to formal sectors from excessive dependence on informal ones include the uncertain political environment, fragility of institutions, lack of business confidence and massive capital flight. The productive expansion and the diversification of the economy, therefore, remain constricted, resulting in little creation of job opportunities and decent living for median populace.
Rashed Al Mahmud Titumir
Chapter 4. Financial Sector of Bangladesh
Abstract
This chapter presents different indices to measure the health of the financial sector of the economy and underscores that the increasing non-performing loans and toxic assets in banking sector and the frequent scams in capital market exhibit a vicious cycle. Instead of enforcing legal remedies against the defaulters, the government is offering plethora of facilities in favour of the politically patronised resource dependent clienteles. Besides, the excessive borrowing by the government from domestic sources to finance the so-called mega-projects and repay the loans, in the backdrop of a very low tax-GDP ratio, has pushed the banking sector to a crisis of liquidity. The prevalent politically directed regulatory lax and discrepancies have caused malediction of volatility in the financial sector. The chapter also endeavours a comparative analysis with other developed and developing economies.
Rashed Al Mahmud Titumir
Chapter 5. Education in Bangladesh
Abstract
This chapter explores the state of education of Bangladesh in comparison with other countries. It finds that education system has failed to achieve desired results in terms of creating skilled workforce, fostering innovation and building citizenships despite an increase in rates of enrolment and literacy. It also reveals that public spending in education has remained meagre compared to neighbouring and other countries, which is also failing a significant majority of the population, who are poverty-stricken and marginalised. The analysis dissects the education expenditure in different stages of education in the country and its inefficacy in producing skilled workers.
Rashed Al Mahmud Titumir
Chapter 6. Health in Bangladesh
Abstract
The chapter analyses the state of healthcare, where private expenditure in the form of out of pocket expenditure (OOP) in healthcare has been increasing recklessly, yet the quality of the services fails to meet internationally agreed standards. The public spending is inadequate to offset the low private consumption of the poor and the marginalised, creating an unequal health outcome amongst the population. The poor quality of health and education is reflected in low skills and productivity of the labour force. The analysis points out crucial indicators of access to healthcare which includes availability, affordability and accountability, and the sufficient conditions required to achieve universal health care, innovation and skill formation.
Rashed Al Mahmud Titumir
Chapter 7. Poverty and Inequality in Bangladesh
Abstract
The chapter examines the state of poverty and inequality. The rate of poverty reduction exhibits a slowing down trend, which is not compatible with the story of ‘high’ rate of growth of GDP. At the same time, inequality is mounting with a fast pace. Resources are being concentrated in the pockets of a few at the expense of many. This chapter points out that widespread primitive accumulation of capital through using the monopoly power of the state results in to centralization of resources to clientelist networks. This chapter also extends the discussion of rights-based inequality in the context of Bangladesh by focusing on access to justice and how it is manifested with respect to inequality.
Rashed Al Mahmud Titumir
Chapter 8. Conclusions: Institutions, Political Settlement and Economic Outcome
Abstract
Final section attempts to establish a causal relationship amongst economic outcomes, institutions and political settlement. It evinces that the distribution of power and associated nature of political settlement, rooted in formal and informal institutions acts as the sufficient conditions for a stable, transformed and sustained economic outcome. This book, therefore, suggests that an accountable system of governance can advance the aspiration of people, ascribed through three core principles of the war of independence of Bangladesh—equality, human dignity and social justice. All of these lead to the idea of establishing a new public order between the citizens and the state through a new social contract. It further reasons that Bangladesh’s hope sits on pluralism and an inclusive political system can infuse actualization of her unlimited potentials.
Rashed Al Mahmud Titumir
Backmatter
Metadaten
Titel
Numbers and Narratives in Bangladesh's Economic Development
verfasst von
Prof. Rashed Al Mahmud Titumir
Copyright-Jahr
2021
Verlag
Springer Singapore
Electronic ISBN
978-981-16-0658-8
Print ISBN
978-981-16-0657-1
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-0658-8

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