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Erschienen in:
2005 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel
Numerical Forecast of Air Pollution — Advances and Problems
verfasst von : Adolf Ebel, Hermann J. Jakobs, Michael Memmesheimer, Hendrik Elbern, Hendrik Feldmann
Erschienen in: Advances in Air Pollution Modeling for Environmental Security
Verlag: Springer Netherlands
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Application of tropospheric chemical transport models (CTMs) to chemical weather forecast on the global and regional scale is growing. In this paper advances and problems of numerical forecasts with Eulerian regional models are treated. After reviewing the progress of computer performance since the appearance of first complex CTMs, selected models are briefly introduced in order to demonstrate the spectrum of forecast activities. Ozone and particulate matter are chosen as examples of air quality forecasts on continental (European) and smaller spatial scales. The question of forecast and model evaluation is discussed and the potential of chemical data assimilation for the upcoming fourth generation of air quality forecast models emphasized.