Skip to main content

2021 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

On the Quality of Compositional Prediction for Prospective Analytics on Graphs

verfasst von : Gauthier Lyan, David Gross Amblard, Jean-Marc Jezequel

Erschienen in: Database and Expert Systems Applications - DEXA 2021 Workshops

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Recently, micro-learning has been successfully applied to various scenarios, such as graph optimization (e.g. power grid management). In these approaches, ad-hoc models of local data are built instead of one large model on the overall data set. Micro-learning is typically useful for incremental, what-if/prospective scenarios, where one has to perform step-by-step decisions based on local properties. A common feature of these applications is that the predicted properties (such as speed of a bus line) are compositions of smaller parts (e.g. the speed on each bus inter-stations along the line). But little is known about the quality of such predictions when generalized at a larger scale.
In this paper we propose a generic technique that embeds machine-learning for graph-based compositional prediction, that allows 1) the prediction of the behaviour of composite objects, based on the predictions of their sub-parts and appropriate composition rules, and 2) the production of rich prospective analytics scenarios, where new objects never observed before can be predicted based on their simpler parts. We show that the quality of such predictions compete with macro-learning ones, while enabling prospective scenarios. We assess our work on a real size, operational bus network data set.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Fußnoten
2
Rennes transportation network: https://​data.​rennesmetropole.​fr.
 
3
Data and more material is available at https://​gitlab.​inria.​fr/​glyan/​compred.
 
4
More material about the bus lines is available in the README of the repository.
 
5
More information about training data in the repository.
 
6
More material is available in the public deposit.
 
Literatur
1.
Zurück zum Zitat Altinkaya, M., Zontul, M.: Urban bus arrival time prediction: a review of computational models. IJRTE 2, 164–169 (2013) Altinkaya, M., Zontul, M.: Urban bus arrival time prediction: a review of computational models. IJRTE 2, 164–169 (2013)
2.
Zurück zum Zitat Amirat, H., Lagraa, N., Fournier-Viger, P., Ouinten, Y.: MyRoute: a graph-dependency based model for real-time route prediction. JCM 12, 668 (2017)CrossRef Amirat, H., Lagraa, N., Fournier-Viger, P., Ouinten, Y.: MyRoute: a graph-dependency based model for real-time route prediction. JCM 12, 668 (2017)CrossRef
3.
Zurück zum Zitat Barceló, J., Casas, J., García, D., Perarnau, J.: Methodological Notes on Combining Macro, Meso and Micro Simulation Models for Transportation Analysis. In: Workshop on Modeling and Simulation. Sedona, AZ (2005) Barceló, J., Casas, J., García, D., Perarnau, J.: Methodological Notes on Combining Macro, Meso and Micro Simulation Models for Transportation Analysis. In: Workshop on Modeling and Simulation. Sedona, AZ (2005)
5.
Zurück zum Zitat Burghout, W., Koutsopoulos, H., Andréasson, I.: Hybrid mesoscopic-microscopic traffic simulation. Transp. Res. Rec. J. Transp. Res. Board 1934, 218–25 (2005)CrossRef Burghout, W., Koutsopoulos, H., Andréasson, I.: Hybrid mesoscopic-microscopic traffic simulation. Transp. Res. Rec. J. Transp. Res. Board 1934, 218–25 (2005)CrossRef
8.
Zurück zum Zitat Courtois, X., Dobruszkes, F.: L’(in)efficacité des trams et bus á Bruxelles, une analyse désagrégée. Brussels Studies. La revue scientifique électronique pour les recherches sur Bruxelles / Het elektronisch wetenschappelijk tijdschrift voor onderzoek over Brussel / The e-journal for academic research on Brussels (2008). https://doi.org/10.4000/brussels.603 Courtois, X., Dobruszkes, F.: L’(in)efficacité des trams et bus á Bruxelles, une analyse désagrégée. Brussels Studies. La revue scientifique électronique pour les recherches sur Bruxelles / Het elektronisch wetenschappelijk tijdschrift voor onderzoek over Brussel / The e-journal for academic research on Brussels (2008). https://​doi.​org/​10.​4000/​brussels.​603
9.
Zurück zum Zitat Fernandez, R., Valenzuela, E.: A model to predict bus commercial speed. Traffic Eng. Control 44(2) (2003) Fernandez, R., Valenzuela, E.: A model to predict bus commercial speed. Traffic Eng. Control 44(2) (2003)
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Kumar, S., Spezzano, F., Subrahmanian, V.S., Faloutsos, C.: Edge weight prediction in weighted signed networks. In: 2016 IEEE 16th International Conference on Data Mining (ICDM), Barcelona, Spain, pp. 221–230. IEEE, December 2016. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICDM.2016.0033 Kumar, S., Spezzano, F., Subrahmanian, V.S., Faloutsos, C.: Edge weight prediction in weighted signed networks. In: 2016 IEEE 16th International Conference on Data Mining (ICDM), Barcelona, Spain, pp. 221–230. IEEE, December 2016. https://​doi.​org/​10.​1109/​ICDM.​2016.​0033
13.
Zurück zum Zitat Ma, X., Chen, X.: Public transportation big data mining and analysis. In: Data-Driven Solutions to Transportation Problems. Elsevier (2019) Ma, X., Chen, X.: Public transportation big data mining and analysis. In: Data-Driven Solutions to Transportation Problems. Elsevier (2019)
16.
Zurück zum Zitat Petersen, N.C., Rodrigues, F., Pereira, F.C.: Multi-output bus travel time prediction with convolutional LSTM neural network. Expert Syst. Appl. 120, 426–435 (2019)CrossRef Petersen, N.C., Rodrigues, F., Pereira, F.C.: Multi-output bus travel time prediction with convolutional LSTM neural network. Expert Syst. Appl. 120, 426–435 (2019)CrossRef
19.
Zurück zum Zitat Hartmann, T., Moawad, A., Fouquet, F., Le Traon, Y.: The next evolution of MDE: a seamless integration of machine learning into domain modeling. SoSyM 18, 1285–1304 (2017) Hartmann, T., Moawad, A., Fouquet, F., Le Traon, Y.: The next evolution of MDE: a seamless integration of machine learning into domain modeling. SoSyM 18, 1285–1304 (2017)
20.
Zurück zum Zitat Taskar, B., Wong, M.F., Abbeel, P., Koller, D.: Link prediction in relational data. Adv. Neural Inf. Process. Syst. 16, 659–666 (2003) Taskar, B., Wong, M.F., Abbeel, P., Koller, D.: Link prediction in relational data. Adv. Neural Inf. Process. Syst. 16, 659–666 (2003)
21.
Zurück zum Zitat Thomas, H., Fouquet, F., Moawad, A., Rouvoy, R., Traon, Y.L.: GreyCat: efficient what-if analytics for data in motion at scale. IS 83, 101–117 (2019) Thomas, H., Fouquet, F., Moawad, A., Rouvoy, R., Traon, Y.L.: GreyCat: efficient what-if analytics for data in motion at scale. IS 83, 101–117 (2019)
22.
Zurück zum Zitat Treethidtaphat, W., Pattara-Atikom, W., Khaimook, S.: Bus arrival time prediction at any distance of bus route using deep neural network model. In: International Conference On Intelligent Transportation (2017) Treethidtaphat, W., Pattara-Atikom, W., Khaimook, S.: Bus arrival time prediction at any distance of bus route using deep neural network model. In: International Conference On Intelligent Transportation (2017)
23.
Zurück zum Zitat Zaki, M., Ashour, I., Zorkany, M., Hesham, B.: Online bus arrival time prediction using hybrid neural network and Kalman filter techniques. IJMER 3, 2035–2041 (2013) Zaki, M., Ashour, I., Zorkany, M., Hesham, B.: Online bus arrival time prediction using hybrid neural network and Kalman filter techniques. IJMER 3, 2035–2041 (2013)
24.
Zurück zum Zitat Zhang, H., Liang, S., Han, Y., Ma, M., Leng, R.: A prediction model for bus arrival time at bus stop considering signal control and surrounding traffic flow. IEEE Access 8, 127672–127681 (2020)CrossRef Zhang, H., Liang, S., Han, Y., Ma, M., Leng, R.: A prediction model for bus arrival time at bus stop considering signal control and surrounding traffic flow. IEEE Access 8, 127672–127681 (2020)CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
On the Quality of Compositional Prediction for Prospective Analytics on Graphs
verfasst von
Gauthier Lyan
David Gross Amblard
Jean-Marc Jezequel
Copyright-Jahr
2021
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-87101-7_10

Premium Partner