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Erschienen in: Asia-Pacific Financial Markets 2/2022

03.09.2021 | Original Research

Optimal Pair–Trade Execution with Generalized Cross–Impact

verfasst von: Masamitsu Ohnishi, Makoto Shimoshimizu

Erschienen in: Asia-Pacific Financial Markets | Ausgabe 2/2022

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Abstract

We examine a discrete–time optimal pair–trade execution problem with generalized cross–impact. This research is an extension of Fukasawa et al. (2020b), which considers the price impact of aggregate random orders posed by small traders with a Markovian dependence. We focus on how a risk–averse large trader optimally executes two correlated assets to maximize his/her expected utility from the terminal wealth over a finite horizon. A Markov decision process modeling constitutes the basis for the formulation of the optimal pair–trade execution problem. Then, under some regularity conditions, the backward induction method of dynamic programming enables us to derive the optimal pair–trade execution strategy and its associated optimal value function. The trading orders of each risky asset posed by small traders do affect the optimal execution volume of both risky assets. Moreover, numerical results with simulation experiments show that the cross–impact affects the optimal execution strategy and a round–trip trade exists for the large trader to utilize a ‘statistical’ arbitrage and to increase his/her expected utility under our model setting of cross–impact.

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Fußnoten
1
The positive \(q_{t}^{i}\) for \(t \in \{ { 1, \ldots , T } \}\) stand for the acquisition and negative \(q_{t}^{i}\) the liquidation of the risky asset \(i \in \{ { 1, 2 } \}\). This setting allows us to establish a similar setup for a selling problem of a large trader.
 
2
This assumption would be inconsistent with the situation observed in a real market. Cartea and Jaimungal (2016a) and Cartea and Jaimungal (2016b) conduct a linear regression of price changes on net order–flow using trading data obtained from Nasdaq to estimate the permanent and temporary price impact. Then they reveal that assuming linear price impact is compatible with the real stock market and that the price impact caused by both buy and sell trades are deemed as the same from a statistical analysis point of view.
 
3
In the rest of this paper, we suppose that the two stochastic processes, \(\pmb {\omega }_{t}\) and \(\pmb {\varepsilon }_{t}\) for \(t \in \{ { 1, \ldots , T } \}\) are mutually independent for simplicity.
 
4
We also draw the boxplot in the figures. The bold line in the center of the boxplot shows the median of the data. The top end of the box represents the third quartile, and the bottom end of the box represents the first quartile. The upper and lower whiskers are the largest and smallest data points in the range of (1st quartile − 1.5 \(\times \) (3rd quartile − 1.5 \(\times \) (3rd quartile − 1st quartile)) and above (3rd quartile \(+\) 1.5 \(\times \) (3rd quartile − 1st quartile)) and below, respectively. Circles represent data points that are larger or smaller than the whiskers, i.e., outliers.
 
5
The feature of the optimal execution volume at maturity is also explained by the same reason in the rest.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Optimal Pair–Trade Execution with Generalized Cross–Impact
verfasst von
Masamitsu Ohnishi
Makoto Shimoshimizu
Publikationsdatum
03.09.2021
Verlag
Springer Japan
Erschienen in
Asia-Pacific Financial Markets / Ausgabe 2/2022
Print ISSN: 1387-2834
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-6946
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10690-021-09349-1

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