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2021 | Buch

Post-COVID Economic Revival, Volume I

Sectors, Institutions, and Policy

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Über dieses Buch

This two-volume book examines the most important global problem—the recovery of the social-economic crises due to the COVID-19 pandemic. This economic crisis has its own basis and differs from others by the lockdown of most businesses on the decision of authorities. The uncertainty of the future economic revival obliges scientists around the world to unite in search of effective solutions that will become the basis for prosperity and human wellbeing.

The death of millions of people around the world, several waves of coronavirus, and a global pandemic have forced most states to seek extraordinary measures to save people and revive economic activity. The world economy experienced a global shock, probably never experienced before due to lockdowns. The disruptions and gaps in the value chains were primarily caused by the lockdowns of enterprises. The change in the essence of the economic crisis has raised the question of how to overcome it and revive economic activity. The crisis caused a sharp decline in incomes of the population around the world, which led to social upheavals. Post-COVID economic revival in a globalized world has become the most important problem of our time. This book offers contributions of authors from different countries and explores problem solving in the fields of public administration (Volume I, Part I), financial services (Volume I, Part II), different branches (Volume II, Part III) and the social sector (Volume II, Part IV).

The first volume discusses governmentality, public, and corporate management. The second part of the volume reveals the trends in the development of the financial sector in the post-COVID period. Despite the fact that the book is divided into two volumes and four parts, a holistic and systematic perception of the new reality of the post-COVID age can be obtained by reading the entire book.

This book will be of interest to academics and practitioners in public administration and economics, particularly those who are interested in Post-COVID economic revival.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Frontmatter
Chapter 1. Main Threats of the Post-COVID Economy and Statehood
Abstract
“Main Threats of the Post-COVID Economy and Statehood” is introduction chapter into Volume I of the book. There are some tendencies and threats of the post-COVID age, and lessons from pandemics of the past. We described three scenarios (pessimistic, optimistic and realistic) of post-COVID economic revival, society, and state development. The main conclusion of the chapter and the project as whole is that the humanity must understand its place and dependence on cooperation and integration of all people for fighting the pandemic of COVID-19 and future others. The Global pandemic of the COVID-19 can be the last signal to humanity to stop aggressive policy to the Nature, the Earth, and to Civilization.
Vladimir S. Osipov

Post-COVID Economy: Public and Private Aims

Frontmatter
Chapter 2. Public Administration in a Post-COVID Economy
Abstract
“Public Administration in Post-COVID Economy” is revealed through two fundamental aspects. The first is the evolutionary aspect, defined here as a concept of “the co-evolution of technological progress and public administration’s historical modes”. The second aspect is the dialectic one. The post-COVID period defined the clashes of the future, which cannot be addressed within the framework of traditional mind-sets – budget increases, costs cuts, or free-market theory. After the hype and hope for the might of corporates and their innovative power, we finally learned the practical lesson that constant disruptiveness does not serve as the best solution for sustainability – the quality the world needs most now. Therefore, the strategic priorities of public administrations matter again, and will determine the vector of strategies in private and non-profit sectors throughout the twenty-first century.
Sergei G. Kamolov
Chapter 3. Digitalization of the Post-COVID Economy
Abstract
“Digitalization of Post-COVID economy” evaluates new dimension of digitalization of the economy in Post- COVID era. Digitalization of economy is an objective process based on the technological progress. Digitization of the economy served as a survival tool during the COVID pandemic and demonstrated a considerable dynamics in all aspects from online customer service to remote work, as well supply chain reinvention and growing use of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning to improve operations. The main goal of the research is to investigate whether these new tendencies will remain and further develop in the post-COVID times, as well to define paths of the further digitalization of the economy. The findings show that digitalization of economy has direct and indirect impact, changing economic agents, our perception of the world around us and our way of interacting with it.
Natalia Yu. Konina, Victor S. Efremov, Irina G. Vladimirova
Chapter 4. Impact of Regional Culture on Overcoming the Coronavirus Pandemic
Abstract
“Impact of Regional Culture on Overcoming the Coronavirus Pandemic” consists of generalization and author's development of approaches to the trends in the transformation of national organizational cultures arisen in the course of the development of the COVID-19 pandemic. The concept of differentiation of organizational cultures in different countries in crisis conditions is taken as a basis and developed. Positions related to power distance, uncertainty avoidance, long-term orientation, collectivism vs. individualism. COVID-19 has had a significant impact on the mental health of society due to a number of social changes that different countries have never experienced before, such as quarantine, lockdown and social distancing, wearing masks and personal hygiene. An important aspect for the authors was the need to determine why the main Coronavirus fighting methods fail to work or work inefficiently. The authors paid special attention to the problem of working with an approach to overcoming citizens' disinformation in the fight against a pandemic as the development of such a characteristic of organizational culture as uncertainty avoidance. The authors partially managed to identify those new phenomena that are associated with mutual borrowing in the cultures of different countries of foreign experience, despite political differences.
Lydia S. Leontieva, Saltanat E. Orynbassarova, Aleksandr S. Voronov, Zeynep A. Orynbassarova
Chapter 5. Legal Fundamentals for Institutional Changes to Revive the Economy After the Pandemic
Abstract
“Legal Fundamentals for Institutional Changes to Revive the Economy after the Pandemic”. Issues related to changes in the Russian legal and tax system are thoroughly studied, specifically: the actual cancellation of flat scale of taxation, payment of taxes on fixed profits of controlled foreign companies, the abolition of preferential rates for withholding tax provided for by a number of treaties etc. These aspects are examined through the prism to, on the one hand, support the people and businesses and, on the other hand, get maximum taxes for the budget, since fulfillment of social obligations during a pandemic requires significant financial resources. While preparing the work, not only has the legal framework been analyzed, but also scientific papers, materials of international organizations, government bodies, expert comments, etc. As a result of the study, the authors come to the following conclusions: (1) to support and restore the economy, many areas of law including bankruptcy legislation, labor and tax laws, legislation on legal liability etc. have been substantially modified; (2) the tax sphere, in which there have been trends towards strengthening the regulatory function of taxes, tightening tax control over super-wealthy individuals, promoting further deoffshorization of the Russian economy, providing tax benefits to taxpayers in order to prevent their massive bankruptcy, has undergone the most significant institutional changes.
Aleksei A. Malinovsky, Dina M. Osina, Elena N. Trikoz
Chapter 6. Interaction of the State and Business at the Post-COVID Period
Abstract
“Interaction of the State and Business at the Post-COVID Period” examines scenarios of private investors financial losses and arising from public-private partnership projects during the COVID-19 pandemic, and also analyzes the effectiveness of state support measures at the post-COVID period. The author analyses scenarios of possible losses of private partners depending on the possible measures aimed at combating coronavirus infection, the timing of restrictive measures, as well as coverage on a territorial basis. The chapter assesses the effectiveness of measures already taken to support the state both in relation to participants in infrastructure projects and in relation to socially significant sectors of the economy. The relevance of the topic of interaction between the state and business in the post-COVID period in the Russian Federation is due only to economic realities, but also to the fact that COVID-19 revealed “deep-embedded vulnerabilities” in infrastructure not only in the public health system, but also in other infrastructure areas of the economy.
Julia M. Belyakova
Chapter 7. Digital Economy Issues and International Legal Protection of the Environment in Relation to COVID-19
Abstract
This chapter attempts to show that new types of economy, such as the digital economy and the closed-loop economy, have significant environmental components within their legal regulation. Sustainable development is actually development related to the preservation of the biosphere and natural capital. However, in real life, these aspects are often overlooked. The sustainable development concept has spawn novel types of economics. The 2008–2009 crises gave growth to the green economy that was followed by digital and circular economics in the fourth industrial revolution. All of them contain ecological aspects and those of resource use. The introduction of business services models in which the use of and selling function of goods instead of goods themselves was viewed as a possible factor of circular economics. The circular economy paradigm attracts more attention by scientists and practitioners as a means to enhance sustainability.
Renat A. Perelet, Anna V. Kukushkina, Valeriy I. Salygin, Araz O. Mursaliev, Emin A. Abdullayev
Chapter 8. Comparative Analysis of Transformation in Structure of Post-Soviet Country’s Post-COVID Economy
Abstract
“Comparative Analysis of Transformation in Structure of Post-Soviet Country’s Post-COVID Economy” includes the post-Soviet countries economic analysis during the transition years. It has repeatedly experienced stresses under the influence of financial crises, some of them being echoes of global crises, others of an internal nature. But at the end of 2019 a crisis emerged that the global economy had not yet faced, as it was caused by biological factors. Consequently, the economic systems of the countries of the world were not prepared for the confrontation, whose consequence was lockdowns, the closure of service enterprises and restrictions on the movement of the population. Another important factor aggravating the consequences of the coronavirus crisis is that the world community is in the process of transition towards a digital economy, meaning that significant resources were diverted to digitization, did not allowing us to respond quickly to the challenges of the pandemic. In relation to the above, we believe that the study of the magnitude of the transformation of the economy of the post-Soviet countries under the influence of the COVID-19 is an urgent task. Hence the aim of the study, which is to quantify the negative and positive impacts of the COVID-19 on the transformation of the economic structure of post-Soviet countries. Within the framework of the selected objective, the specific task of considering the issue of the possible acceleration of the transition to the digital economy under the influence of the coronavirus crisis was resolved. To achieve this goal, general scientific methods such as comparison, historical analysis, and synthesis were used. The main results of this research include the formulation of methodological approaches for the statistical study of the impact of the COVID-19 on changes in the proportions between types of economic activity in the economies of post-Soviet countries, as well as a quantitative evaluation of the “depth” of the recession under the influence of the coronavirus crisis in some of the above-mentioned countries. As a direction for further research, it is possible to point out the identification and study of the country-specific features of the way out of the COVID-19 crisis in the area of post-Soviet countries.
Aleksandr P. Tsypin, Margarita Rohr, Vladimir S. Osipov
Chapter 9. Post-COVID Period in Slovakia: Measures and Results
Abstract
This chapter describes the situation of post-COVID situation in Slovakian economy. Slovak economy belongs to small economies with a dangerously high degree of openness. This means that economic growth is highly dependent on external factors. On the one hand, this fact can have a positive effect when the demand in the markets of the most important trading partners begins to increase. However, it is highly vulnerable in the event of negative changes. The Slovak Republic, as a member state of the European Union, enjoys all its advantages. In connection with the recovery of the economies of the Member States of the European Union, it will use funds under the Recovery Plan. The government of the Slovak Republic wants to use the post-COVID era to eliminate many structural deficiencies, the sharpness of which manifested itself especially in 2020 and 2021, during the pandemic. The Slovak Republic wants to use the funds it receives from the European Union within the framework of five priorities, namely for the development of the green economy, digital society, health care development, support for education, science and innovation and public administration reform, justice, and the fight against corruption.
Katarina Brockova, Ludmila Lipkova
Chapter 10. “Political Risks of Post-COVID World and Their Economic Consequences”
Abstract
“COVID crisis as an accelerator for the penetration of digital technologies in the economy” examines the process of penetration of digital technologies into the economy. This process has greatly accelerated due to the coronavirus pandemic and the need to establish remote interaction between consumers and suppliers of goods and services. Changes in the architecture of many markets under the influence of digital technologies were expected, but the pandemic has dramatically accelerated this process, in connection with which we can talk about the positive side of the coronacrisis from the standpoint of the structure of the economy.
Agafya A. Antipova
Chapter 11. ESG Risks and Opportunities in the Post-COVID Period
Abstract
This chapter describes the key factors of investment decision process during the last decade—the increased attention to ESG factors by companies and investors. The authors note that economic disruption caused by the pandemic may have intensified the progress in working toward UN Sustainable Development Goals by international organizations, companies, and many other environment activists. In this paper, authors investigate the consequences of COVID-19 pandemic on UN Sustainable Development Goals and aspects of future ESG application by companies and investors. Recent studies demonstrate that ESG investment strategy has seen better than the market performance in good times and also provided more stability to the portfolio during times of economy disruption. The increased focus on ESG by regulators, companies, and investors is supporting the development of ESG reporting framework. The authors have come to the conclusion that COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated ESG agenda for economies and societies, suggested ESG trends and developed recommendations for boards and companies to keep up with them.
Alexander S. Yukhno, Natalia V. Sevalneva
Chapter 12. Trust Issues and Value Co-Creation in the Post-COVID Period
Abstract
This chapter is about a trust as a factor influencing financial markets during a pandemic. The aim of the study is to assess the relationship between the trust and transformation of traditional financial institutions during a pandemic and post-COVID period. The physical breakdown of social communications has led to a new Human-Centered Design (HCD) value co-creation format and a shift toward more customized products, as evidenced by the rise in popularity of robo-advising.
Aleksandr E. Bukharov, Nina Yu. Makukhina, Yulia A. Malygina, Alexandr V. Chernov

Financial and Insurance Sector at Post-COVID Age

Frontmatter
Chapter 13. Post-COVID Economic Revival: Financial Aspects of Reform
Abstract
This chapter 13, “Post-COVID Economic Revival: Financial Aspects of Reform” is devoted to the supportive fiscal and monetary measures for economies during the period of the COVID-19 pandemic. The purpose of the article is to consider the system of a policy for effective support for economic growth. The chapter indicates that the main stages of the COVID-19 pandemic should be clearly correlated with support measures, which may differ for the real economy and for the financial sector. As a result, all the structural elements of economic policy should be coordinated, and financial injections should be targeted.
Natalia A. Nevskaya
Chapter 14. U.S. Insurance Market in Response to COVID-19
Abstract
This chapter, “U.S. Insurance Market in Response to COVID-19,” explores the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the U.S. insurance sector and offers a critical review of the responsive measures suggested by the market players and regulation authorities in order to establish well-balanced insurance systems that could protect businesses from future pandemics and restore confidence in the stability of the American economy. The study is focused on business interruption and cyber insurance segments bearing significant losses due to the nationwide economic shutdown of millions of businesses simultaneously and the prodigious increase in remote working. On conducting quantitative and quantitative analyses and applying web search volume data, it is revealed that private underwriters do not have the infrastructure and capacity to withstand the volume of the incurred and potential insurance losses and demand for proper government support. In-depth studies of the initiatives elaborated by insurers, legislators, and supervision authorities illustrate that the probability of adopting federal-backed insurance programs highly depends on the cost-effectiveness of the project for the government as well as enough political pressure to move the issue to the forefront of public consciousness.
Elena V. Nebolsina
Chapter 15. New Technologies in the Financial Market After the End of the Pandemic: Extrapolation or Innovation?
Abstract
This chapter “New technologies in the financial market after the end of the pandemic: extrapolation or innovation?” describes the author’s automated algorithm for the formation of mental maps is presented in relation to financial markets, so as to identify the main directions that the financial industry’s innovative developments will take as a whole. The use of this algorithm made it possible to describe the properties of the content-thematic component of the innovative development of the financial industry, the clustering of which made it possible to quantify the parameter of the selected properties’ severity in the array of natural digital information. The formation of this, on the basis of the indicated quantification parameter of the time series, made it possible to study the properties of its relationship with a set of financial variables by means of regression analysis. This study’s significance will be felt by its generation of an automated algorithm for the formation of mental maps, as well as of a method for the quantitative interpretation of the presence of identified properties in an array of natural digital information; the significance is both practical and theoretical in nature. The relationship between the severity of the topic of the financial industry’s innovative development across an array of natural digital information and a set of certain financial variables is described using a whole set of regression models.
Svetlana Yu. Yanova, Tatiana A. Fedorova, Evgeny A. Konnikov, Elena N. Klochkova
Chapter 16. European Investments Opportunities After COVID-19
Abstract
This chapter “European Investments Opportunities after COVID-19” is devoted to the features of the competitive struggle for investments (FDI) of European industry enterprises in the terms of rapid technology and production changes, market transformations after COVID-19. The purpose of the article is to consider the trends in the leadership European production developed and attractiveness of investments by European production units.
Natalia A. Nevskaya
Chapter 17. Analysis and Suggestions on Financial Crisis Management Behavior During COVID-19 Pandemic
Abstract
This chapter offers the sight of Chinese scientists on COVID-19 pandemic and the government, which bends its efforts for preventing the spread of the disease, eliminating the impact of the epidemic as soon as possible and restoring social normality. Specific measures are concentrated in the areas such as patients treatment, road control, and material deployment, all of which are directed toward immediate containment of the epidemic. With the development of the epidemic, secondary risks rise in economy, finance, education, and human resources, and they tend to cause adverse impact on social and economic life. Authors note that the financial industry should actively adopt management measures and commit crisis governance to prevent the finance from destruction. Through actively discharging its social responsibility, the financial crisis management can serve to minimize the impact of the epidemic on real economy and capital markets.
Guanghua Chen, Jiang Li
Chapter 18. Financial Crisis 2020: Problems and Elements of Forecasting
Abstract
This chapter offers the unique sight on financial market’ development at post-COVID period. In this case there is a problematic situation associated with the uncertainty of predicting the growth of global financial markets. In the framework of this chapter, the task is to conduct a financial analysis of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the world economy predicting different scenarios for the formation of the global financial market growth of financial indicators, depending on external indicators. The primary goal is to control the pandemic by mitigating the economic damage to populations, organizations and states. Thus, in the political arena, too, the consequences of a pandemic must already be predicted.
Elena E. Matveeva
Chapter 19. FinTech in the Post-COVID Period
Abstract
This chapter deals with problems of financial technologies and its using at the Post-COVID Age. Technological innovations that take into account signals about consumer needs are opening up new opportunities for the financial market. This study showed that the COVID-19 pandemic has had a positive impact on the development of FinTech companies. However, their adaptation to post-COVID conditions may face certain difficulties due to a lack of understanding of the timing of economic recovery from the shock, regulatory uncertainty, financing problems, and, as a consequence, the ability to develop and provide new products and services.
Within the framework of this work, the following hypothesis was formulated—the success of FinTech before and in the context of the pandemic determines the viability of this direction. The different levels of “economic immunity” financial institutions have to crisis phenomena will determine the speed of transformation from the modern global economy into a digital one.
This study concludes that the new reality businesses are experiencing regarding technological cooperation, in the context of COVID-19, is likely to accelerate the development of interactions for the provision of financial services, with the potential to expand access to markets, the range of products/services offered, and convenience for consumers. Thus, FinTech has great development prospects in the post-COVID world, provided that the above aspects are addressed.
Natalia G. Adamchuk
Chapter 20. Changes in Demand in the Insurance Market in the Post-COVID Period
Abstract
This chapter substantiates the insurance market development, the insurance products needed by the population and insurance corporate programs, changes in demand in the Russian insurance market are analysed depending on the quality of the market and types of insurance under pandemic, as well as taking into account the social programs and support measures; the need to maintain a stable demand for insurance on the part of insurers and insurance supervisory authorities is proved; proposals are formulated on promising areas for the development of insurance products.
Nadezda V. Kirillova
Chapter 21. The Modernization of a Company’s Internal Control System During the Pandemic
Abstract
This chapter presents an option for improving the internal control system by introducing legally significant electronic document management. The main focus is on the topic of informatization of the work of the internal control system, and, as a consequence, of the accountant. The emerging digital environment for information exchange is gradually turning not only into a large “living” reference book, but also into a strategic management tool. This diagram structures the current activities of the ICS, and also contains the proposed changes and necessary modules. This makes the schema more versatile and less time-reliant. The purpose of this article is to consider a set of issues related to the development of the theory and methods of internal control of business processes at Russian Railways enterprises, as well as to develop additions to the methodological tools that ensure the continuous and systematic work of the ICS.
Artem I. Krivtsov, Tatiana M. Tarasova
Chapter 22. Legal Regulation of Crypto-Asset Markets in the EU in the Post-COVID Period
Abstract
This chapter examines the theoretical understanding and legal regulation of the European crypto-asset market in the post-COVID period, including compatibility of the proposed draft unified legal framework for the crypto-assets circulation with the legal order of the EU member states (Germany, Malta), as well as the competition between the EU legal order and the legislation of the advanced European countries (Switzerland, Liechtenstein) in the field of legalizing crypto-assets. The traced evolution of legal regulation in the field of crypto-assets circulation allows us to conclude that the EU institutions are working quite effectively and consistently to give a “pan-European response” to the challenges of digitalization, but there are some difficulties in synchronizing the created European legal framework with the interests of the EU member states and their often more advanced regulation. The results of the study of the problems of regulating crypto-assets in the European Union contribute to the development of the Russian scientific doctrine in the field of crypto-assets circulation allowing us to adjust the digital assets and digital currencies legalization model in Russia, also laying the foundation for forming supranational legal foundations that will let crypto-assets circulate in the Eurasian Economic Union.
Maxim I. Inozemtsev
Chapter 23. System of Legal Means of Ensuring the Financial Security of the Russian Federation at Post-COVID Period
Abstract
This chapter, “System of Legal Means of Ensuring the Financial Security of the Russian Federation at Post-COVID Period” is devoted to financial security as one of the most important components of an effective government mechanism. Financial security is based on a system of legal norms, which at various levels of legal regulation must ensure the stability of the financial system. In the course of ensuring financial security, the entire complex of means should be used, and not only the financial and legal means themselves. This should include both administrative and legal means, and criminal law means, as well as a number of other sectoral means. This is determined by the fact that only the entire arsenal of legal means will reliably ensure financial security. The financial security of the state acquires particular importance in the post-COVID period, since many financial procedures have significantly transformed. Accordingly, new legal means are required to ensure the financial stability of the state and society.
Elena N. Kondrat
Chapter 24. Opportunities of Use of Option Agreements in the Post-COVID Economy: Comparative Legal Study from Russian Law and English and American Law Prospective
Abstract
This chapter, “Opportunities Of Use Of Option Agreements in the Post-COVID Economy: Comparative Legal Study From Russian Law And English And American Law Prospective” is devoted to different opportunities of use of option agreements in post-COVID economy and to the principal issues which may arise in connection with structuring share deals in joint-stock companies and limited liability companies, including merger and acquisitions (M&A), joint ventures (JV) deals and strategic partnership agreements as well as other transactions in relation to real property when entering into option agreements. The author analyzes the relevant legislation, jurisprudence and doctrinal materials on the relevant issues. Answers are consistently provided to the questions which, on the author’s opinion, are the most relevant when using options in the above transactions in view of current post - COVID economy in Russia and common law countries (in particular, in the United States of America and the United Kingdom).
Maksim A. Novikov
Chapter 25. Risks of P2P-Lending in Russia in Response to COVID-19
Abstract
This chapter, “Risks of P2P-Lending in Russia in Response to COVID-19,” covers the risks arising in the sphere of crowdlending relations, where the person attracting investments and the investor are individuals (also known as relations on mutual lending between individuals, consumer p2p lending), that is some individuals lend to other individuals through special Internet sites, where persons attracting investments (borrowers) place their applications for obtaining financing from investors (lenders) for a specific period and at a specific interest rate. The theme of risks in the sphere of mutual lending is becoming even more relevant in the context of a pandemic situation due to the fact that many people are losing their jobs and are forced to use alternative sources of financing, and there is still no proper regulation.
Anastasia V. Uvarova, Maxim I. Inozemtsev
Chapter 26. Post-COVID Statehood
Abstract
This chapter, “Post-COVID Statehood,” is the concluding part of the first volume. A study offers the dedicatedly changing role of the state and the very phenomenon of statehood during periods of a pandemic in the history of mankind. The author examines the problem of state participation in the fight against pandemics in historical terms. The conclusion is that a strong state and its active role during periods of a pandemic allows quickly cope with the virus and save lives, while liberal states with minimal state participation experience more negative consequences of the pandemic. Quarantine measures are most effective in saving lives of citizens, even when their rights to movement, free assembly, freedom of speech, etc. are violated. The inherently dire conclusion is faced with an even more dire consequences of the pandemic in the form of more deaths.
Vladimir S. Osipov
Backmatter
Metadaten
Titel
Post-COVID Economic Revival, Volume I
herausgegeben von
Prof. Vladimir S. Osipov
Copyright-Jahr
2021
Electronic ISBN
978-3-030-83561-3
Print ISBN
978-3-030-83560-6
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-83561-3

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