Skip to main content
Erschienen in: Neural Computing and Applications 1/2017

18.04.2016 | Original Article

Predicting river daily flow using wavelet-artificial neural networks based on regression analyses in comparison with artificial neural networks and support vector machine models

verfasst von: Maryam Shafaei, Ozgur Kisi

Erschienen in: Neural Computing and Applications | Sonderheft 1/2017

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

This study investigates the ability of wavelet-artificial neural networks (WANN) for the prediction of short-term daily river flow. The WANN model is improved by conjunction of two methods, discrete wavelet transform and artificial neural networks (ANN) based on regression analyses, respectively. The proposed WANN models are applied to the daily flow data of Vanyar station, on the Ajichai River in the northwest region of Iran, and compared with the ANN and support vector machine (SVM) techniques. Mean square error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and correlation coefficient (R) statistics are used for evaluating precision of the WANN, ANN and SVM models. Comparison results demonstrate that the WANN model performs better than the ANN and SVM models in short-term (1-, 2- and 3-day ahead) daily river flow prediction.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
1.
Zurück zum Zitat Adamowski J, Sun K (2010) Development of a coupled wavelet transform and neural network method for flow forecasting of non-perennial rivers in semi-arid watersheds. J Hydrol 390:85–91CrossRef Adamowski J, Sun K (2010) Development of a coupled wavelet transform and neural network method for flow forecasting of non-perennial rivers in semi-arid watersheds. J Hydrol 390:85–91CrossRef
2.
Zurück zum Zitat Beale MH, Hagan MT, Demuth MH (2010) Neural network toolbox 7 user’s guide. Math Works Inc, Natick Beale MH, Hagan MT, Demuth MH (2010) Neural network toolbox 7 user’s guide. Math Works Inc, Natick
3.
Zurück zum Zitat Belayneh A, Adamowski J (2012) Standard precipitation index drought forecasting using neural networks, wavelet neural networks, and support vector regression. Appl Comput Intell Soft Comput. doi:10.1155/2012/794061 Belayneh A, Adamowski J (2012) Standard precipitation index drought forecasting using neural networks, wavelet neural networks, and support vector regression. Appl Comput Intell Soft Comput. doi:10.​1155/​2012/​794061
4.
Zurück zum Zitat Chou CM, Wang RY (2002) On-line estimation of unit hydrographs using the wavelet-based LMS algorithm. Hydrol Sci J 47(5):721–738CrossRef Chou CM, Wang RY (2002) On-line estimation of unit hydrographs using the wavelet-based LMS algorithm. Hydrol Sci J 47(5):721–738CrossRef
5.
Zurück zum Zitat Cimen M (2008) Estimation of daily suspended sediments using support vector machines. Hydrol Sci J 53(3):656–666CrossRef Cimen M (2008) Estimation of daily suspended sediments using support vector machines. Hydrol Sci J 53(3):656–666CrossRef
6.
Zurück zum Zitat Cimen M, Kisi O (2009) Comparison of two different data-driven techniques in modeling lake level fluctuations in Turkey. J Hydrol 378:253–262CrossRef Cimen M, Kisi O (2009) Comparison of two different data-driven techniques in modeling lake level fluctuations in Turkey. J Hydrol 378:253–262CrossRef
7.
Zurück zum Zitat Dawson CW, Wilby RL (2001) Hydrological modelling using artificial neural networks. Prog Phys Geogr 25(1):80–108CrossRef Dawson CW, Wilby RL (2001) Hydrological modelling using artificial neural networks. Prog Phys Geogr 25(1):80–108CrossRef
8.
Zurück zum Zitat Deswal S, Pal M (2008) Artificial neural network based modeling of evaporation losses in reservoirs. World Acad Sci Eng Technol 39:279–283 Deswal S, Pal M (2008) Artificial neural network based modeling of evaporation losses in reservoirs. World Acad Sci Eng Technol 39:279–283
9.
Zurück zum Zitat Dolling OR, Varas EA (2002) Artificial neural networks for streamflow prediction. J Hydraul Res 40(5):547–554CrossRef Dolling OR, Varas EA (2002) Artificial neural networks for streamflow prediction. J Hydraul Res 40(5):547–554CrossRef
10.
Zurück zum Zitat Kalteh AM (2013) Monthly river flow forecasting using artificial neural network and support vector regression models coupled with wavelet transform. Comput Geosci 54:1–8CrossRef Kalteh AM (2013) Monthly river flow forecasting using artificial neural network and support vector regression models coupled with wavelet transform. Comput Geosci 54:1–8CrossRef
11.
Zurück zum Zitat Kim TW, Valdes JB (2003) Nonlinear model for drought forecasting based on a conjunction of wavelet transforms and neural networks. J Hydrol Eng 8(6):319–328CrossRef Kim TW, Valdes JB (2003) Nonlinear model for drought forecasting based on a conjunction of wavelet transforms and neural networks. J Hydrol Eng 8(6):319–328CrossRef
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Kisi O (2008) Stream flow forecasting using neuro-wavelet technique. Hydrol Process 22(20):4142–4152CrossRef Kisi O (2008) Stream flow forecasting using neuro-wavelet technique. Hydrol Process 22(20):4142–4152CrossRef
13.
Zurück zum Zitat Kisi O, Cimen M (2009) Evapotranspiration modelling using support vector machines. Hydrol Sci J 54(5):918–928CrossRef Kisi O, Cimen M (2009) Evapotranspiration modelling using support vector machines. Hydrol Sci J 54(5):918–928CrossRef
14.
Zurück zum Zitat Kisi O, Cimen MA (2011) Wavelet-support vector machine conjunction model for monthly streamflow forecasting. J Hydrol 399:132–140CrossRef Kisi O, Cimen MA (2011) Wavelet-support vector machine conjunction model for monthly streamflow forecasting. J Hydrol 399:132–140CrossRef
15.
16.
Zurück zum Zitat Kuchment LS, Demidov VN, Naden PS, Cooper DM, Broadhurst P (1996) Rainfall–runoff modelling of the Ouse basin, North Yorkshire: an application of a physically based distributed model. J Hydrol 181(1–4):323–342CrossRef Kuchment LS, Demidov VN, Naden PS, Cooper DM, Broadhurst P (1996) Rainfall–runoff modelling of the Ouse basin, North Yorkshire: an application of a physically based distributed model. J Hydrol 181(1–4):323–342CrossRef
17.
Zurück zum Zitat MacKay DJC (1992) A practical Bayesian framework for back propagation networks. Neural Comput 4:448–472CrossRef MacKay DJC (1992) A practical Bayesian framework for back propagation networks. Neural Comput 4:448–472CrossRef
18.
Zurück zum Zitat Maier HR, Dandy GC (2000) Neural networks for the prediction and forecasting of water resources variables: are view of modeling issues and applications. Environ Model Softw 15:101–124CrossRef Maier HR, Dandy GC (2000) Neural networks for the prediction and forecasting of water resources variables: are view of modeling issues and applications. Environ Model Softw 15:101–124CrossRef
19.
Zurück zum Zitat Maier HR, Jain A, Dandy DC, Sudheer KP (2010) Methods used for the development of neural networks for the prediction of water resource variables in rivers system: current status and future directions. Environ Model Softw 25:891–909CrossRef Maier HR, Jain A, Dandy DC, Sudheer KP (2010) Methods used for the development of neural networks for the prediction of water resource variables in rivers system: current status and future directions. Environ Model Softw 25:891–909CrossRef
20.
Zurück zum Zitat Mallat SG (1989) A theory for multi resolution signal decomposition: the wavelet representation. IEEE Trans Pattern Anal 11(7):674–693CrossRefMATH Mallat SG (1989) A theory for multi resolution signal decomposition: the wavelet representation. IEEE Trans Pattern Anal 11(7):674–693CrossRefMATH
21.
Zurück zum Zitat Mallows CL (1973) Some comments on C p. Technometrics 15(4):661–675MATH Mallows CL (1973) Some comments on C p. Technometrics 15(4):661–675MATH
22.
Zurück zum Zitat Nourani V, Alami MT, Aminfar MH (2009) A combined neural-wavelet model for prediction of Ligvanchai watershed precipitation. Eng Appl Artif Intell 22(3):466–472CrossRef Nourani V, Alami MT, Aminfar MH (2009) A combined neural-wavelet model for prediction of Ligvanchai watershed precipitation. Eng Appl Artif Intell 22(3):466–472CrossRef
23.
Zurück zum Zitat Nourani V, Kisi O, Komasi M (2011) Two hybrid artificial intelligence approaches for modeling rainfall–runoff process. J Hydrol 402:41–59CrossRef Nourani V, Kisi O, Komasi M (2011) Two hybrid artificial intelligence approaches for modeling rainfall–runoff process. J Hydrol 402:41–59CrossRef
24.
Zurück zum Zitat Nourani V, Hosseini Baghanam A, Adamowski J, Gebremichael M (2013) Using self-organizing maps and wavelet transforms for space–time pre-processing of satellite precipitation and runoff data in neural network based rainfall–runoff modeling. J Hydrol 476:228–243CrossRef Nourani V, Hosseini Baghanam A, Adamowski J, Gebremichael M (2013) Using self-organizing maps and wavelet transforms for space–time pre-processing of satellite precipitation and runoff data in neural network based rainfall–runoff modeling. J Hydrol 476:228–243CrossRef
25.
Zurück zum Zitat Nourani N, Hosseini Baghanam A, Adamowski A, Kisi O (2014) Applications of hybrid wavelet–artificial intelligence models in hydrology: a review. J Hydrol 514:358–377CrossRef Nourani N, Hosseini Baghanam A, Adamowski A, Kisi O (2014) Applications of hybrid wavelet–artificial intelligence models in hydrology: a review. J Hydrol 514:358–377CrossRef
26.
Zurück zum Zitat Okkan U, Serbes ZA (2013) The combined use of wavelet transform and black box models in reservoir inflow modeling. J Hydrol Hydromech 61(2):112–119CrossRef Okkan U, Serbes ZA (2013) The combined use of wavelet transform and black box models in reservoir inflow modeling. J Hydrol Hydromech 61(2):112–119CrossRef
27.
Zurück zum Zitat Platt JC (1999) Fast training of support vector machines using sequential minimal optimization. In: Schölkopf B, Burges CJC, Smolar AJ (eds) Advances in kernel methods—support vector learning. MIT Press, Cambridge Platt JC (1999) Fast training of support vector machines using sequential minimal optimization. In: Schölkopf B, Burges CJC, Smolar AJ (eds) Advances in kernel methods—support vector learning. MIT Press, Cambridge
28.
Zurück zum Zitat Radhika Y, Shashi M (2009) Atmospheric temperature prediction using support vector machines. Int J Comput Theory Eng 1(1):55–58CrossRef Radhika Y, Shashi M (2009) Atmospheric temperature prediction using support vector machines. Int J Comput Theory Eng 1(1):55–58CrossRef
29.
Zurück zum Zitat Rajaee T, Nourani V, Mohammad ZK, Kisi O (2011) River suspended sediment load prediction: application of ANN and wavelet conjunction model. J Hydrol Eng 16(8):613–627CrossRef Rajaee T, Nourani V, Mohammad ZK, Kisi O (2011) River suspended sediment load prediction: application of ANN and wavelet conjunction model. J Hydrol Eng 16(8):613–627CrossRef
30.
Zurück zum Zitat Rumelhart DE, McClelland JL, The PDP Research Group (1986) Parallel distributed processing: explorations in the micro structure of cognition. MIT Press, Cambridge Rumelhart DE, McClelland JL, The PDP Research Group (1986) Parallel distributed processing: explorations in the micro structure of cognition. MIT Press, Cambridge
31.
Zurück zum Zitat Seo Y, Kim S, Kisi O, Singh VP (2014) Daily water level forecasting using wavelet decomposition and artificial intelligence techniques. J Hydrol 520:224–243CrossRef Seo Y, Kim S, Kisi O, Singh VP (2014) Daily water level forecasting using wavelet decomposition and artificial intelligence techniques. J Hydrol 520:224–243CrossRef
32.
Zurück zum Zitat Seo Y, Kim S, Singh VP (2015) Multistep-ahead flood forecasting using wavelet and data-driven methods. KSCE J Civil Eng 19(2):401–417CrossRef Seo Y, Kim S, Singh VP (2015) Multistep-ahead flood forecasting using wavelet and data-driven methods. KSCE J Civil Eng 19(2):401–417CrossRef
34.
Zurück zum Zitat Shiri J, Kisi O, Yoon H, Lee K, Nazemi AH (2013) Predicting ground water level fluctuations with meteorological effect implications—a comparative study among soft computing techniques. Comput Geosci 56:32–44CrossRef Shiri J, Kisi O, Yoon H, Lee K, Nazemi AH (2013) Predicting ground water level fluctuations with meteorological effect implications—a comparative study among soft computing techniques. Comput Geosci 56:32–44CrossRef
35.
Zurück zum Zitat Singh KK, Pal M, Singh VP (2010) Estimation of mean annual flood in Indian catchments using back propagation neural network and M5 model tree. Water Resour Manag 24:2007–2019CrossRef Singh KK, Pal M, Singh VP (2010) Estimation of mean annual flood in Indian catchments using back propagation neural network and M5 model tree. Water Resour Manag 24:2007–2019CrossRef
36.
Zurück zum Zitat VapnikV N (1995) The nature of statistical learning theory. Springer, New YorkCrossRef VapnikV N (1995) The nature of statistical learning theory. Springer, New YorkCrossRef
37.
Zurück zum Zitat Vapnik VN (1998) Statistical learning theory. Wiley, New YorkMATH Vapnik VN (1998) Statistical learning theory. Wiley, New YorkMATH
38.
Zurück zum Zitat Wang W, Ding J (2003) Wavelet network model and its application to the prediction of hydrology. Nat Sci 1(1):67–71 Wang W, Ding J (2003) Wavelet network model and its application to the prediction of hydrology. Nat Sci 1(1):67–71
39.
Zurück zum Zitat Wang W, Van Gelder PHAJM, Vrijling JK, Ma J (2006) Forecasting daily stream flow using hybrid ANN models. J Hydrol 32:383–399CrossRef Wang W, Van Gelder PHAJM, Vrijling JK, Ma J (2006) Forecasting daily stream flow using hybrid ANN models. J Hydrol 32:383–399CrossRef
40.
Zurück zum Zitat Wang W, Jin J, Li Y (2009) Prediction of inflow at three Gorges Dam in Yangtze River with wavelet network model. Water Resour Manag 23:2791–2803CrossRef Wang W, Jin J, Li Y (2009) Prediction of inflow at three Gorges Dam in Yangtze River with wavelet network model. Water Resour Manag 23:2791–2803CrossRef
41.
Zurück zum Zitat Wei S, Song J, Khan NI (2012) Simulating and predicting river discharge time series using a wavelet-neural network hybrid modelling approach. Hydrol Process 26(2):281–296CrossRef Wei S, Song J, Khan NI (2012) Simulating and predicting river discharge time series using a wavelet-neural network hybrid modelling approach. Hydrol Process 26(2):281–296CrossRef
42.
Zurück zum Zitat Zhou HC, Peng Y, Liang GH (2008) The research of monthly discharge predictor corrector model based on wavelet decomposition. Water Resour Manage 22:217–227CrossRef Zhou HC, Peng Y, Liang GH (2008) The research of monthly discharge predictor corrector model based on wavelet decomposition. Water Resour Manage 22:217–227CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
Predicting river daily flow using wavelet-artificial neural networks based on regression analyses in comparison with artificial neural networks and support vector machine models
verfasst von
Maryam Shafaei
Ozgur Kisi
Publikationsdatum
18.04.2016
Verlag
Springer London
Erschienen in
Neural Computing and Applications / Ausgabe Sonderheft 1/2017
Print ISSN: 0941-0643
Elektronische ISSN: 1433-3058
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-016-2293-9

Weitere Artikel der Sonderheft 1/2017

Neural Computing and Applications 1/2017 Zur Ausgabe