Skip to main content

2017 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

Predicting Student Performance in Distance Higher Education Using Active Learning

verfasst von : Georgios Kostopoulos, Anastasia-Dimitra Lipitakis, Sotiris Kotsiantis, George Gravvanis

Erschienen in: Engineering Applications of Neural Networks

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Students’ performance prediction in higher education has been identified as one of the most important research problems in machine learning. Educational data mining constitutes an important branch of machine learning trying to effectively analyze students’ academic behavior and predict their performance. Over recent years, several machine learning methods have been effectively used in the educational field with remarkable results, and especially supervised classification methods. The early identification of in case fail students is of utmost importance for the academic staff and the universities. In this paper, we investigate the effectiveness of active learning methodologies in predicting students’ performance in distance higher education. As far as we are aware of there exists no study dealing with the implementation of active learning methodologies in the educational field. Several experiments take place in our research comparing the accuracy measures of familiar active learners and demonstrating their efficiency by the exploitation of a small labeled dataset together with a large pool of unlabeled data.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
1.
Zurück zum Zitat Cohen, W.W.: Fast effective rule induction. In: Proceedings of the Twelfth International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 115–123 (1995) Cohen, W.W.: Fast effective rule induction. In: Proceedings of the Twelfth International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 115–123 (1995)
3.
Zurück zum Zitat Gardner, M.W., Dorling, S.R.: Artificial neural networks (the multilayer perceptron)-a review of applications in the atmospheric sciences. Atmos. Environ. 32(14), 2627–2636 (1998)CrossRef Gardner, M.W., Dorling, S.R.: Artificial neural networks (the multilayer perceptron)-a review of applications in the atmospheric sciences. Atmos. Environ. 32(14), 2627–2636 (1998)CrossRef
4.
Zurück zum Zitat Hodges, J.L., Lehmann, E.L.: Rank methods for combination of independent experiments in analysis of variance. Ann. Math. Stat. 33(2), 482–497 (1962)MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Hodges, J.L., Lehmann, E.L.: Rank methods for combination of independent experiments in analysis of variance. Ann. Math. Stat. 33(2), 482–497 (1962)MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
5.
Zurück zum Zitat Hornik, K., Stinchcombe, M., White, H.: Multilayer feedforward networks are universal approximators. Neural Netw. 2(5), 359–366 (1989)CrossRef Hornik, K., Stinchcombe, M., White, H.: Multilayer feedforward networks are universal approximators. Neural Netw. 2(5), 359–366 (1989)CrossRef
6.
Zurück zum Zitat Huang, S., Fang, N.: Predicting student academic performance in an engineering dynamics course: a comparison of four types of predictive mathematical models. Comput. Educ. 61, 133–145 (2013)CrossRef Huang, S., Fang, N.: Predicting student academic performance in an engineering dynamics course: a comparison of four types of predictive mathematical models. Comput. Educ. 61, 133–145 (2013)CrossRef
7.
Zurück zum Zitat Huang, S.J., Jin, R., Zhou, Z.H.: Active learning by querying informative and representative examples. In: Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, pp. 892–900 (2010) Huang, S.J., Jin, R., Zhou, Z.H.: Active learning by querying informative and representative examples. In: Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, pp. 892–900 (2010)
8.
Zurück zum Zitat John, G.H., Langley, P.: Estimating continuous distributions in Bayesian classifiers. In: Proceedings of the Eleventh Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, pp. 338–345. Morgan Kaufmann Publishers Inc. (1995) John, G.H., Langley, P.: Estimating continuous distributions in Bayesian classifiers. In: Proceedings of the Eleventh Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, pp. 338–345. Morgan Kaufmann Publishers Inc. (1995)
9.
Zurück zum Zitat Koprinska, I., Stretton, J., Yacef, K.: Students at risk: detection and remediation. In: Educational Data Mining (2015) Koprinska, I., Stretton, J., Yacef, K.: Students at risk: detection and remediation. In: Educational Data Mining (2015)
10.
Zurück zum Zitat Kostopoulos, G., Kotsiantis, S., Pintelas, P.: Predicting student performance in distance higher education using semi-supervised techniques. In: Bellatreche, L., Manolopoulos, Y. (eds.) MEDI 2015. LNCS, vol. 9344, pp. 259–270. Springer, Cham (2015). doi:10.1007/978-3-319-23781-7_21 CrossRef Kostopoulos, G., Kotsiantis, S., Pintelas, P.: Predicting student performance in distance higher education using semi-supervised techniques. In: Bellatreche, L., Manolopoulos, Y. (eds.) MEDI 2015. LNCS, vol. 9344, pp. 259–270. Springer, Cham (2015). doi:10.​1007/​978-3-319-23781-7_​21 CrossRef
11.
Zurück zum Zitat Kotsiantis, S., Patriarcheas, K., Xenos, M.: A combinational incremental ensemble of classifiers as a technique for predicting students’ performance in distance education. Knowl. Syst. 23(6), 529–535 (2010)CrossRef Kotsiantis, S., Patriarcheas, K., Xenos, M.: A combinational incremental ensemble of classifiers as a technique for predicting students’ performance in distance education. Knowl. Syst. 23(6), 529–535 (2010)CrossRef
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Kremer, J., Steenstrup Pedersen, K., Igel, C.: Active learning with support vector machines. Wiley Interdisc. Rev.: Data Min. Knowl. Discov. 4(4), 313–326 (2014) Kremer, J., Steenstrup Pedersen, K., Igel, C.: Active learning with support vector machines. Wiley Interdisc. Rev.: Data Min. Knowl. Discov. 4(4), 313–326 (2014)
13.
Zurück zum Zitat Leng, Y., Xu, X., Qi, G.: Combining active learning and semi-supervised learning to construct SVM classifier. Knowl. Syst. 44, 121–131 (2013)CrossRef Leng, Y., Xu, X., Qi, G.: Combining active learning and semi-supervised learning to construct SVM classifier. Knowl. Syst. 44, 121–131 (2013)CrossRef
14.
Zurück zum Zitat Ling, C.X., Huang, J., Zhang, H.: AUC: a statistically consistent and more discriminating measure than accuracy. IJCAI 3, 519–524 (2003) Ling, C.X., Huang, J., Zhang, H.: AUC: a statistically consistent and more discriminating measure than accuracy. IJCAI 3, 519–524 (2003)
15.
Zurück zum Zitat Luna, J.M., Castro, C., Romero, C.: MDM tool: a data mining framework integrated into Moodle. Comput. Appl. Eng. Educ. 25(1), 90–102 (2017)CrossRef Luna, J.M., Castro, C., Romero, C.: MDM tool: a data mining framework integrated into Moodle. Comput. Appl. Eng. Educ. 25(1), 90–102 (2017)CrossRef
16.
Zurück zum Zitat Ng, A.Y., Jordan, M.I.: On discriminative vs. generative classifiers: a comparison of logistic regression and naive bayes. Adv. Neural. Inf. Process. Syst. 2, 841–848 (2002) Ng, A.Y., Jordan, M.I.: On discriminative vs. generative classifiers: a comparison of logistic regression and naive bayes. Adv. Neural. Inf. Process. Syst. 2, 841–848 (2002)
17.
Zurück zum Zitat Noaman, A.Y., Luna, J.M., Ragab, A.H., Ventura, S.: Recommending degree studies according to students’ attitudes in high school by means of subgroup discovery. Int. J. Comput. Intell. Syst. 9(6), 1101–1117 (2016)CrossRef Noaman, A.Y., Luna, J.M., Ragab, A.H., Ventura, S.: Recommending degree studies according to students’ attitudes in high school by means of subgroup discovery. Int. J. Comput. Intell. Syst. 9(6), 1101–1117 (2016)CrossRef
18.
Zurück zum Zitat Platt, J.: Sequential minimal optimization: a fast algorithm for training support vector machines, Microsoft Research. Technical report MSR-TR-98-14 (1998) Platt, J.: Sequential minimal optimization: a fast algorithm for training support vector machines, Microsoft Research. Technical report MSR-TR-98-14 (1998)
19.
Zurück zum Zitat Quinlan, J.R.: C4.5: Programs for Machine Learning. Elsevier, Amsterdam (1993) Quinlan, J.R.: C4.5: Programs for Machine Learning. Elsevier, Amsterdam (1993)
20.
Zurück zum Zitat Ramirez-Loaiza, M.E., Sharma, M., Kumar, G., Bilgic, M.: Active learning: an empirical study of common baselines. Data Min. Knowl. Discov. 31, 1–27 (2016)MathSciNet Ramirez-Loaiza, M.E., Sharma, M., Kumar, G., Bilgic, M.: Active learning: an empirical study of common baselines. Data Min. Knowl. Discov. 31, 1–27 (2016)MathSciNet
21.
Zurück zum Zitat Reyes, O., Pérez, E., del Carmen Rodrıguez-Hernández, M., Fardoun, H.M., Ventura, S.: JCLAL: a Java framework for active learning. J. Mach. Learn. Res. 17(95), 1–5 (2016)MathSciNetMATH Reyes, O., Pérez, E., del Carmen Rodrıguez-Hernández, M., Fardoun, H.M., Ventura, S.: JCLAL: a Java framework for active learning. J. Mach. Learn. Res. 17(95), 1–5 (2016)MathSciNetMATH
22.
Zurück zum Zitat Romero, C., López, M.I., Luna, J.M., Ventura, S.: Predicting students’ final performance from participation in on-line discussion forums. Comput. Educ. 68, 458–472 (2013)CrossRef Romero, C., López, M.I., Luna, J.M., Ventura, S.: Predicting students’ final performance from participation in on-line discussion forums. Comput. Educ. 68, 458–472 (2013)CrossRef
23.
Zurück zum Zitat Romero, C., Ventura, S.: Educational data mining a review of the state of the art. IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. Part C (Appl. Rev) 40(6), 601–618 (2010)CrossRef Romero, C., Ventura, S.: Educational data mining a review of the state of the art. IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. Part C (Appl. Rev) 40(6), 601–618 (2010)CrossRef
24.
Zurück zum Zitat Santana, M.A., Costa, E.B., Fonseca, B., Rego, J., de Araújo, F.F.: Evaluating the effectiveness of educational data mining techniques for early prediction of students’ academic failure in introductory programming courses. Comput. Hum. Behav. 73, 247–256 (2017)CrossRef Santana, M.A., Costa, E.B., Fonseca, B., Rego, J., de Araújo, F.F.: Evaluating the effectiveness of educational data mining techniques for early prediction of students’ academic failure in introductory programming courses. Comput. Hum. Behav. 73, 247–256 (2017)CrossRef
25.
Zurück zum Zitat Settles, B.: Active learning literature survey. University of Wisconsin, Madison, vol. 52, pp. 55–66 (2010) 11 p. Settles, B.: Active learning literature survey. University of Wisconsin, Madison, vol. 52, pp. 55–66 (2010) 11 p.
26.
Zurück zum Zitat Shannon, C.E.: A mathematical theory of communication. ACM SIGMOBILE Mob. Comput. Commun. Rev. 5(1), 3–55 (2001)MathSciNetCrossRef Shannon, C.E.: A mathematical theory of communication. ACM SIGMOBILE Mob. Comput. Commun. Rev. 5(1), 3–55 (2001)MathSciNetCrossRef
27.
28.
Zurück zum Zitat Slater, S., Joksimović, S., Kovanovic, V., Baker, R.S., Gasevic, D.: Tools for educational data mining a review. J. Educ. Behav. Stat. 42, 85–106 (2016) Slater, S., Joksimović, S., Kovanovic, V., Baker, R.S., Gasevic, D.: Tools for educational data mining a review. J. Educ. Behav. Stat. 42, 85–106 (2016)
29.
Zurück zum Zitat Smola, A., Vishwanathan, S.V.N.: Introduction to Machine Learning. Press syndicate of the University of Cambridge, Cambridge (2008) Smola, A., Vishwanathan, S.V.N.: Introduction to Machine Learning. Press syndicate of the University of Cambridge, Cambridge (2008)
30.
Zurück zum Zitat Sullare, V.A., Thakur, R.S., Mishra, B.: Analysis of student performance using mining technique: a review. Artif. Intell. Syst. Mach. Learn. 8(3), 94–97 (2016) Sullare, V.A., Thakur, R.S., Mishra, B.: Analysis of student performance using mining technique: a review. Artif. Intell. Syst. Mach. Learn. 8(3), 94–97 (2016)
31.
Zurück zum Zitat Xing, W., Guo, R., Petakovic, E., Goggins, S.: Participation-based student final performance prediction model through interpretable genetic programming: integrating learning analytics, educational data mining and theory. Comput. Hum. Behav. 47, 168–181 (2015)CrossRef Xing, W., Guo, R., Petakovic, E., Goggins, S.: Participation-based student final performance prediction model through interpretable genetic programming: integrating learning analytics, educational data mining and theory. Comput. Hum. Behav. 47, 168–181 (2015)CrossRef
32.
Zurück zum Zitat Wilcoxon, F.: Individual comparisons by ranking methods. Biom. Bull. 1(6), 80–83 (1945)CrossRef Wilcoxon, F.: Individual comparisons by ranking methods. Biom. Bull. 1(6), 80–83 (1945)CrossRef
33.
Zurück zum Zitat Zhang, H.: The optimality of naive bayes. AA 1(2), 3 (2004) Zhang, H.: The optimality of naive bayes. AA 1(2), 3 (2004)
34.
Metadaten
Titel
Predicting Student Performance in Distance Higher Education Using Active Learning
verfasst von
Georgios Kostopoulos
Anastasia-Dimitra Lipitakis
Sotiris Kotsiantis
George Gravvanis
Copyright-Jahr
2017
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65172-9_7

Premium Partner