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2014 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

13. Reforms, Exchange Rate Pass-Through and India’s Export Prices

verfasst von : Saikat Sinha Roy, Pradyut Kumar Pyne

Erschienen in: Trade, Globalization and Development

Verlag: Springer India

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Abstract

Using a Demand–Supply model of export determination along the lines of an imperfect substitutes model, exchange rate pass-through is estimated in this study. This is done using a time comparable panel dataset and the panel data econometric technique. The results show incomplete and low exchange rate pass-through to India’s aggregate export prices. However, the extent of exchange rate pass-through varies across product groups. The findings on exchange rate pass-through have implications for exchange rate being used as a policy instrument for export promotion and growth during reforms on the one hand, and in narrowing the current account deficit, on the other hand.

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Fußnoten
1
Goldstein and Khan (1985) provide evidence on the Marshall-Lerner condition across countries.
 
2
See, for instance, Marston (1990); Gagnon and Knetter (1995); Feenstra et al. (1996); Athukorala and Menon (1994, 1995); Gross and Schmitt (2000); Banik and Biswas (2007; Mallick and Marques (2010). Evidence show incomplete pass-through against the widely held view of a full ERPT over a long run.
 
3
Gagnon and Knetter (1995) show that in the presence of adjustment costs, export prices might show short run adjustments essentially in terms of error correction mechanism. A large number of studies including Athukorala (1991); Athukorala and Menon (1995); Banik and Biswas (2007); Feenstra et al. (1996); Gagnon and Knetter (1995); Gross and Schmitt (1996, 2000) and Yang (1998) have estimated both long run and short run pass-through coefficients, while Gil-Pareja (2001); Knetter (1994); Mann (1986); Marston (1990) and Yang (1997) have estimated the short run pass-through coefficient only.
 
4
See Panagariya (2005) and Sinha Roy (2005) for the purpose.
 
5
The adoption of the Second Amendment of the Articles of the IMF allowed nations to opt for exchange rate regimes of their choice.
 
6
The dual exchange rate system with 60 % of the current receipts being converted at a market-determined rate replaced Exim Scrips in 1992. This partial convertibility of the rupee is often viewed as surrogate devaluation (Pradhan 1993).
 
7
Sen (2003) is of the view that the episodes of intermittent currency appreciation during the 1990s followed large capital inflows.
 
8
Dholakia and Saradhi (2000) also estimate exchange rate pass-through using structural simultaneous equations model.
 
9
This result is similar to that of Athukorala (1991) and Athukorala and Menon (1994). The literature often indicates asymmetric response in events of appreciation and depreciation. (see, for instance, Mann (1986), Marston (1990), Goldberg (1995), Gil-Pareja (2000) and Pollard and Coughlin (2004). In the existing literature, incomplete pass-through is evident mostly in situations of currency appreciation, when exporters pass-through the entire depreciation in home country currency.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Reforms, Exchange Rate Pass-Through and India’s Export Prices
verfasst von
Saikat Sinha Roy
Pradyut Kumar Pyne
Copyright-Jahr
2014
Verlag
Springer India
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-81-322-1151-8_13

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