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Water Resources Management

Erschienen in:

01.09.2015

Spatial Distribution and Temporal Trends in Precipitation Concentration Indices for the Southwest China

verfasst von: Peng Shi, Miao Wu, Simin Qu, Peng Jiang, Xueyuan Qiao, Xi Chen, Mi Zhou, Zhicai Zhang

Erschienen in: Water Resources Management | Ausgabe 11/2015

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Abstract

Changes in the spatiotemporal patterns of precipitation have great impacts on drought/flood risk and utilization of water resources. In this study, we presented the results of a comparative analysis of spatial-temporal variability of precipitation in the Southwest China. The analysis investigated the trends of annual precipitation and explored the changes of two indices: the precipitation concentration index (PCI) and the concentration index (CI) which are designed for measuring seasonality and daily heterogeneity, respectively. The trends of annual precipitation and CI were tested by the Mann-Kendall method. The results show a significant seasonality of the rainfall distribution and very inhomogeneous temporal distribution of the daily rainfall in the study area. Positive trends in the CI were found at most stations, although most of them were not statistically significant. To detect the futures trends of precipitation in the study area, Hurst’s rescaled range (R/S) analysis was introduced and the corresponding Hurst Exponent was estimated. The results suggested that some drought hazards will happen in the intersection of Sichuan, Guizhou and Yunnan, and the west part of Sichuan, the north part of Chongqing and the middle part of Yunnan are under the risk of flood in the future.

Vorheriger Artikel The Determination of Reference Evapotranspiration for Spatial Distribution Mapping Using Geostatistics

Nächster Artikel Multivariate Analysis of Groundwater-Quality Time-Series Using Self-organizing Maps and Sammon’s Mapping

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Titel: Spatial Distribution and Temporal Trends in Precipitation Concentration Indices for the Southwest China
verfasst von: Peng Shi
Miao Wu
Simin Qu
Peng Jiang
Xueyuan Qiao
Xi Chen
Mi Zhou
Zhicai Zhang
Publikationsdatum: 01.09.2015
Verlag: Springer Netherlands
Erschienen in: Water Resources Management / Ausgabe 11/2015
Print ISSN: 0920-4741
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-1650
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-015-1038-3

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