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2017 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

2. Structural Transformation and Alternative Pathways to the Lewis Turning Point

verfasst von : Rizwanul Islam

Erschienen in: Rural Labour Mobility in Times of Structural Transformation

Verlag: Springer Singapore

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Abstract

This chapter examines the nature of economic development in Asian economics within the framework of the “Lewis turning point” and the related theoretical explanations of structural transformation. While the evidence shows that some of the Southeast and East Asian economics have passed through or are moving toward the “Lewis turning point”, the South Asian experience, analyzed with particular reference to Bangladesh, seems to be somewhat different. On the one hand, manufacturing industries have not acted as the engine of growth and employment in the same way as in Southeast and East Asian countries. On the other hand, growth of the service sector has not been associated with healthy growth in employment. Moreover, increase in the share of rural non-farm employment and growing rural-urban migration have not yet emerged as major sources of absorbing surplus labor so as to be considered as drivers of alternative pathways to structural transformation.

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Fußnoten
1
See Islam (2008) for analysis of the experience of Asian countries with regard to attaining the Lewis turning point.
 
2
In the context of India, Dasgupta and Singh (2005) explore this possibility.
 
3
These figures are from Papola (2006).
 
4
These figures have been calculated from data presented in Islam (2014).
 
5
These figures have been calculated by using data from the World Bank: World Development Indicators (various years).
 
6
The indices are based on real wages of unskilled workers in various sectors.
 
7
Another point to note in this regard is that the difference between industrial and agricultural wage has not increased over time. On this, see Rahman (2012), Table 7.9.3, p. 161.
 
8
The observed figures may reflect differences in inclusion and exclusion from the labor force. In 2005–06, many more rural women who work for short periods (especially as unpaid workers) may have been included in members of the labor force and that may have pushed female underemployment rate to a very high level. In 2010, the opposite may have happened. The manner in which responses regarding female employment are recorded in the questionnaires can have implications for the results.
 
9
Islam and Islam (2015) review and assess a few illustrations of economic activities outside the conventional manufacturing sector that are playing an important role in the structural transformation of the respective countries.
 
10
For interesting anecdotal accounts of such development, see Hossain and Bayes (2015).
 
11
In the labor force surveys, wage data are collected for the reference week although the questionnaire does ask whether wages are paid on a daily, weekly, or monthly basis.
 
12
The labor force surveys contain a question on monthly income of the self-employed. So the figures seem to represent the incomes stated by the respondents.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Structural Transformation and Alternative Pathways to the Lewis Turning Point
verfasst von
Rizwanul Islam
Copyright-Jahr
2017
Verlag
Springer Singapore
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-5628-4_2

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