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Erschienen in: Environmental Earth Sciences 2/2016

01.01.2016 | Original Article

Temporal differentiation of rainfall thresholds for debris flows in Wenchuan earthquake-affected areas

verfasst von: Xiaojun Guo, Peng Cui, Yong Li, Jianglin Fan, Yan Yan, Yonggang Ge

Erschienen in: Environmental Earth Sciences | Ausgabe 2/2016

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Abstract

The Ms 8.0 Wenchuan earthquake greatly altered the threshold for rainfall-triggered debris flows in the affected areas. It is of both scientific and practical significance to determine the rainfall thresholds. This study examines one of the regions most prone to debris flows to analyze the characteristics of rainfall that caused debris flows, and to explore local rainfall thresholds. We applied the relation between rainfall intensity and duration, peak intensity and event amount, and other single factor approaches. Comparison of effectiveness and accuracy indicates that the event rainfall is the most sensitive factor for forecasting. Analysis of the annual rainfall thresholds showed that the rainfall conditions required for debris flows have increased on the continent during the past 6 years. Besides the rainfall fluctuations over the past few years, material changes were the primary reason for threshold variability. Recovery of vegetation plays an important role in reducing potential loose material that supplies volume for debris flows. Natural solidification, decrease of the potential erosion depth, and surface coarsening make it more difficult to initiate a debris flow, and ultimately increased rainfall conditions required. The change in rainfall thresholds can be predicted and verified for the entire earthquake-affected region.

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Metadaten
Titel
Temporal differentiation of rainfall thresholds for debris flows in Wenchuan earthquake-affected areas
verfasst von
Xiaojun Guo
Peng Cui
Yong Li
Jianglin Fan
Yan Yan
Yonggang Ge
Publikationsdatum
01.01.2016
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Erschienen in
Environmental Earth Sciences / Ausgabe 2/2016
Print ISSN: 1866-6280
Elektronische ISSN: 1866-6299
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-015-5031-1

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