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Erschienen in:
Are a Million Species at Risk? Kapitel lesen Erstes Kapitel lesen

2012 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

5. The Use and Misuse of Species-Area Relationships in Predicting Climate-Driven Extinction

verfasst von : John Harte, Justin Kitzes

Erschienen in: Saving a Million Species

Verlag: Island Press/Center for Resource Economics

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Abstract

Thomas et al. (2004) pioneered the estimate of extinction risk due to climate change by coupling species range-loss simulations from species distribution models with species-loss estimates from the species-area relationships (SARs). Unfortunately, numerous conceptual and practical problems permeate this seemingly solid and straightforward approach. Chapter 4 explored developments in climate envelope modeling. Here we focus on the challenges associated with applying a SAR approach to climate-driven extinction estimates and propose a novel application of recent Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) theory in ecology that may help to address some of them.

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Vorheriges Kapitel Refining Risk Estimates Using Models
Nächstes Kapitel First Extinctions on Land
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Metadaten
Titel
The Use and Misuse of Species-Area Relationships in Predicting Climate-Driven Extinction
verfasst von
John Harte
Justin Kitzes
Copyright-Jahr
2012
Verlag
Island Press/Center for Resource Economics
Buch
Saving a Million Species

Electronic ISBN: 978-1-61091-182-5

Copyright-Jahr: 2012

DOI
https://doi.org/10.5822/978-1-61091-182-5_5