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2023 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

The Water Credit Risk Tool and Corporate Sensitivity to the Shadow Price of Water

verfasst von : Dieter Gramlich, Henrik Ohlsen

Erschienen in: Water Risk Modeling

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

Due to the rising demand for water and conflicting interests among stakeholders, the price of water will increase in the future. Higher costs and limited availability of water affect the profitability and liquidity of companies. The Water Credit Risk tool developed by the German Society for International Cooperation (GIZ), Natural Capital Declaration (NCD), and German Association for Environmental Management and Sustainability in Financial Institutions (VfU) assesses the shadow price of water (SPW) as the potential future cost of water and models its impact on a company’s income and cash flow. Examining the SPW and its implications for operational and capital expenses provides indications of the companies’ vulnerability to water risk. The effects on financial ratios highlight the need for companies to develop mitigation strategies, and they alert financial investors about opportunities and threats associated with water-related investments.
The chapter addresses the SPW-related sensitivity of three selected companies from various industries with respect to changes in their operational structure across time, changes in the SPW between two different points in time, and projections of the SPW into the future. Depending on the company-specific calculation of the SPW and the firms’ business model, the results provide individual sensitivities to water challenges as well as individual potentials to respond.

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Fußnoten
1
The 2030 Water Resources Group has calculated that global water demand by 2030 could be 40% higher than current available water supplies (WRG, 2021).
 
2
The SPW used in the initial calculation for the year 2013 is derived from the WRI ‘s estimations of water stress for the year 2010. As we focus on the year 2013 as a baseline, we refer to the SPW similarly as SPW 2013.
 
3
EBITDA as the earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
 
4
Following GIZ et al. (2015), we refer to the 20 largest mining sites in the case of Glencore.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
The Water Credit Risk Tool and Corporate Sensitivity to the Shadow Price of Water
verfasst von
Dieter Gramlich
Henrik Ohlsen
Copyright-Jahr
2023
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-23811-6_12

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