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Erschienen in:
2015 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel
Where’s the Proof?
verfasst von : Teresa Carla Oliveira
Erschienen in: Rethinking Interviewing and Personnel Selection
Verlag: Palgrave Macmillan UK
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Normative selection theory is enamoured by predictors. As with economics, these give it the claim to be a science rather than an art. By contrast, Keynes (1936) warned that the mathematical basis for prediction does not exist either in economics or politics or in personal life. Pareto (1909), an engineer, sociologist and economist, gave the same warning, though many economists citing him have displaced this (Oliveira & Holland, 2012). Hume (1739, 1740) stressed that prediction is hazardous and claimed that proof of cause and effect is impossible. Popper (1957, 1959) argued that one can only falsify, not verify.