Skip to main content
Erschienen in: Lifetime Data Analysis 1/2023

16.09.2022

A general class of promotion time cure rate models with a new biological interpretation

verfasst von: Yolanda M. Gómez, Diego I. Gallardo, Marcelo Bourguignon, Eduardo Bertolli, Vinicius F. Calsavara

Erschienen in: Lifetime Data Analysis | Ausgabe 1/2023

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Over the last decades, the challenges in survival models have been changing considerably and full probabilistic modeling is crucial in many medical applications. Motivated from a new biological interpretation of cancer metastasis, we introduce a general method for obtaining more flexible cure rate models. The proposal model extended the promotion time cure rate model. Furthermore, it includes several well-known models as special cases and defines many new special models. We derive several properties of the hazard function for the proposed model and establish mathematical relationships with the promotion time cure rate model. We consider a frequentist approach to perform inferences, and the maximum likelihood method is employed to estimate the model parameters. Simulation studies are conducted to evaluate its performance with a discussion of the obtained results. A real dataset from population-based study of incident cases of melanoma diagnosed in the state of São Paulo, Brazil, is discussed in detail.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Berrino E et al (2021) High BRAF variant allele frequencies are associated with distinct pathological features and responsiveness to target therapy in melanoma patients. ESMO Open 6:100133CrossRef Berrino E et al (2021) High BRAF variant allele frequencies are associated with distinct pathological features and responsiveness to target therapy in melanoma patients. ESMO Open 6:100133CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Calsavara VF, Milani EA, Bertolli E, Tomazella V (2020) Long-term frailty modeling using a non-proportional hazards model: application with a melanoma dataset. Stat Methods Med Res 29:2100–2118CrossRef Calsavara VF, Milani EA, Bertolli E, Tomazella V (2020) Long-term frailty modeling using a non-proportional hazards model: application with a melanoma dataset. Stat Methods Med Res 29:2100–2118CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Chen T, Du P (2018) Promotion time cure rate model with nonparametric form of covariate effects. Stat Med 37:1625–1635CrossRef Chen T, Du P (2018) Promotion time cure rate model with nonparametric form of covariate effects. Stat Med 37:1625–1635CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Chen M-H, Ibrahim JG, Sinha D (1999) A new Bayesian model for survival data with a surviving fraction. J Am Stat Assoc 94:909–919CrossRefMATH Chen M-H, Ibrahim JG, Sinha D (1999) A new Bayesian model for survival data with a surviving fraction. J Am Stat Assoc 94:909–919CrossRefMATH
Zurück zum Zitat Cooner F, Banerjee S, Carlin BP, Sinha D (2007) Flexible cure rate modeling under latent activation schemes. J Am Stat Assoc 102:560–572CrossRefMATH Cooner F, Banerjee S, Carlin BP, Sinha D (2007) Flexible cure rate modeling under latent activation schemes. J Am Stat Assoc 102:560–572CrossRefMATH
Zurück zum Zitat de Andrade CT, Magedanz AMPCB, Escobosa DM, Tomaz WM, Santinho CS, Lopes TO, Lombardo V (2012) The importance of a database in the management of healthcare services. Einstein (São Paulo) 10:360–365CrossRef de Andrade CT, Magedanz AMPCB, Escobosa DM, Tomaz WM, Santinho CS, Lopes TO, Lombardo V (2012) The importance of a database in the management of healthcare services. Einstein (São Paulo) 10:360–365CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat De Castro M, Cancho VG, Rodrigues J (2009) A Bayesian long-term survival model parametrized in the cured fraction. Biom J 51:443–455CrossRefMATH De Castro M, Cancho VG, Rodrigues J (2009) A Bayesian long-term survival model parametrized in the cured fraction. Biom J 51:443–455CrossRefMATH
Zurück zum Zitat Dunn P, Smyth G (1996) Randomized quantile residuals. J Comput Graph Stat 5:236–244 Dunn P, Smyth G (1996) Randomized quantile residuals. J Comput Graph Stat 5:236–244
Zurück zum Zitat Ervik M, Lam F, Ferlay J, Mery L, Soerjomataram I, Bray F et al (2016) Cancer today Lyon, France: international agency for research on cancer. 2016. Cancer today. https://www.gco.iarc.fr/today. Accessed 01/02/2019 Ervik M, Lam F, Ferlay J, Mery L, Soerjomataram I, Bray F et al (2016) Cancer today Lyon, France: international agency for research on cancer. 2016. Cancer today. https://​www.​gco.​iarc.​fr/​today. Accessed 01/02/2019
Zurück zum Zitat Gershenwald JE, Scolyer RA, Hess KR, Sondak VK, Long GV, Ross MI, Lazar AJ, Faries MB, Kirkwood JM, McArthur GA et al (2017) Melanoma staging: evidence-based changes in the American Joint Committee on Cancer eighth edition cancer staging manual. CA Cancer J Clin 67:472–492CrossRef Gershenwald JE, Scolyer RA, Hess KR, Sondak VK, Long GV, Ross MI, Lazar AJ, Faries MB, Kirkwood JM, McArthur GA et al (2017) Melanoma staging: evidence-based changes in the American Joint Committee on Cancer eighth edition cancer staging manual. CA Cancer J Clin 67:472–492CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gómez YM, Gallardo DI, Leão J, Calsavara VF (2021) On a new piecewise regression model with cure rate: diagnostics and application to medical data. Stat Med 40(29):6723–6742CrossRef Gómez YM, Gallardo DI, Leão J, Calsavara VF (2021) On a new piecewise regression model with cure rate: diagnostics and application to medical data. Stat Med 40(29):6723–6742CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gupta RC, Gupta PL, Gupta RD (1998) Modeling failure time data by Lehman alternatives. Commun Stat Theory Methods 27:887–904CrossRefMATH Gupta RC, Gupta PL, Gupta RD (1998) Modeling failure time data by Lehman alternatives. Commun Stat Theory Methods 27:887–904CrossRefMATH
Zurück zum Zitat Hanin L, Huang L (2014) Identifiability of cure models revisited. J Multivar Anal 130(1):261–274CrossRefMATH Hanin L, Huang L (2014) Identifiability of cure models revisited. J Multivar Anal 130(1):261–274CrossRefMATH
Zurück zum Zitat Kalbfleisch JD, Prentice RL (2002) The statistical analysis of failure time data, 2nd edn. Wiley, New YorkCrossRefMATH Kalbfleisch JD, Prentice RL (2002) The statistical analysis of failure time data, 2nd edn. Wiley, New YorkCrossRefMATH
Zurück zum Zitat Kim S, Chen MH, Dey DK (2011) A new threshold regression model for survival data with a cure fraction. Lifetime Data Anal 17:101–122CrossRefMATH Kim S, Chen MH, Dey DK (2011) A new threshold regression model for survival data with a cure fraction. Lifetime Data Anal 17:101–122CrossRefMATH
Zurück zum Zitat Leão J, Bourguignon M, Saulo H, Santos-Neto M, Calsavara V (2021) The negative binomial beta prime regression model with cure rate: application with a melanoma dataset. J Stat Theory Pract 15(3):1–21CrossRefMATH Leão J, Bourguignon M, Saulo H, Santos-Neto M, Calsavara V (2021) The negative binomial beta prime regression model with cure rate: application with a melanoma dataset. J Stat Theory Pract 15(3):1–21CrossRefMATH
Zurück zum Zitat Li CS, Taylor JM, Sy JP (2001) Identifiability of cure models. Stat Probab Lett 54(4):389–395CrossRefMATH Li CS, Taylor JM, Sy JP (2001) Identifiability of cure models. Stat Probab Lett 54(4):389–395CrossRefMATH
Zurück zum Zitat Molina KC, Calsavara VF, Tomazella VD, Milani EA (2021) Survival models induced by zero-modified power series discrete frailty: application with a melanoma data set. Stat Methods Med Res 29(8):2100–2118 Molina KC, Calsavara VF, Tomazella VD, Milani EA (2021) Survival models induced by zero-modified power series discrete frailty: application with a melanoma data set. Stat Methods Med Res 29(8):2100–2118
Zurück zum Zitat Puglisi R et al (2021) Biomarkers for diagnosis, prognosis and response to immunotherapy in melanoma. Cancers (Basel) 13:2875CrossRef Puglisi R et al (2021) Biomarkers for diagnosis, prognosis and response to immunotherapy in melanoma. Cancers (Basel) 13:2875CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Rigby RA, Stasinopoulos DM (2005) Generalized additive models for location, scale and shape, (with discussion). Appl Stat 54(3):507–554MATH Rigby RA, Stasinopoulos DM (2005) Generalized additive models for location, scale and shape, (with discussion). Appl Stat 54(3):507–554MATH
Zurück zum Zitat Rodrigues J, de Castro M, Cancho V, Balakrishnan N (2009) COM-Poisson cure rate survival models and an application to a cutaneous melanoma data. J Stat Plan Inference 139:3605–3611CrossRefMATH Rodrigues J, de Castro M, Cancho V, Balakrishnan N (2009) COM-Poisson cure rate survival models and an application to a cutaneous melanoma data. J Stat Plan Inference 139:3605–3611CrossRefMATH
Zurück zum Zitat Rodrigues J, de Castro M, Balakrishnan N (2011) Destructive weighted Poisson cure rate models. Lifetime Data Anal 2011(17):333–346CrossRefMATH Rodrigues J, de Castro M, Balakrishnan N (2011) Destructive weighted Poisson cure rate models. Lifetime Data Anal 2011(17):333–346CrossRefMATH
Zurück zum Zitat Rodrigues J, Cordeiro GM, Cancho VG, Balakrishnan N (2016) Relaxed Poisson cure rate models. Biom J 58:397–415CrossRefMATH Rodrigues J, Cordeiro GM, Cancho VG, Balakrishnan N (2016) Relaxed Poisson cure rate models. Biom J 58:397–415CrossRefMATH
Zurück zum Zitat Rodrigues AS, Calsavara VF, Bertolli E, Peres SV, Tomazella VL (2021) Bayesian long-term survival model including a frailty term: application to melanoma data. Chil J Stat 12(1):53–70 Rodrigues AS, Calsavara VF, Bertolli E, Peres SV, Tomazella VL (2021) Bayesian long-term survival model including a frailty term: application to melanoma data. Chil J Stat 12(1):53–70
Zurück zum Zitat Shain AH, Bastian BC (2016) From melanocytes to melanomas. Nat Rev Cancer 16:345–358CrossRef Shain AH, Bastian BC (2016) From melanocytes to melanomas. Nat Rev Cancer 16:345–358CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Stasinopoulos D, Rigby R (2007) Generalized additive models for location scale and shape (GAMLSS) in R. J Stat Softw 23:1–46CrossRef Stasinopoulos D, Rigby R (2007) Generalized additive models for location scale and shape (GAMLSS) in R. J Stat Softw 23:1–46CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tournoud M, Ecochard R (2007) Application of the promotion time cure model with time-changing exposure to the study of HIV/AIDS and other infectious diseases. Stat Med 26:1008–1021CrossRef Tournoud M, Ecochard R (2007) Application of the promotion time cure model with time-changing exposure to the study of HIV/AIDS and other infectious diseases. Stat Med 26:1008–1021CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tournoud M, Ecochard R (2008) Promotion time models with timechanging exposure and heterogeneity: application to infectious diseases. Biom J 50:395–407CrossRefMATH Tournoud M, Ecochard R (2008) Promotion time models with timechanging exposure and heterogeneity: application to infectious diseases. Biom J 50:395–407CrossRefMATH
Zurück zum Zitat Tucker S, Thames H, Taylor J (1990) How well is the probability of tumor cure after fractionated irradiation described by Poisson statistics? Radiat Res 24:273–282CrossRef Tucker S, Thames H, Taylor J (1990) How well is the probability of tumor cure after fractionated irradiation described by Poisson statistics? Radiat Res 24:273–282CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Wimme G, Altman G (1996) The multiple Poisson distribution, its characteristics and a variety of forms. Biom J 38:995–1011CrossRef Wimme G, Altman G (1996) The multiple Poisson distribution, its characteristics and a variety of forms. Biom J 38:995–1011CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Yakovlev AY, Tsodikov AD (1996) Stochastic model of tumor latency and their biostatistical applications. World Scientific, SingaporeCrossRefMATH Yakovlev AY, Tsodikov AD (1996) Stochastic model of tumor latency and their biostatistical applications. World Scientific, SingaporeCrossRefMATH
Zurück zum Zitat Yin G, Ibrahim J (2005) A general class of Bayesian survival models with zero and nonzero cure fractions. Biometrics 61:403–412CrossRefMATH Yin G, Ibrahim J (2005) A general class of Bayesian survival models with zero and nonzero cure fractions. Biometrics 61:403–412CrossRefMATH
Metadaten
Titel
A general class of promotion time cure rate models with a new biological interpretation
verfasst von
Yolanda M. Gómez
Diego I. Gallardo
Marcelo Bourguignon
Eduardo Bertolli
Vinicius F. Calsavara
Publikationsdatum
16.09.2022
Verlag
Springer US
Erschienen in
Lifetime Data Analysis / Ausgabe 1/2023
Print ISSN: 1380-7870
Elektronische ISSN: 1572-9249
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10985-022-09575-3

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 1/2023

Lifetime Data Analysis 1/2023 Zur Ausgabe