Introduction
Materials and methods
Study area
Data source
Satellite | Date | Satellite | Date |
---|---|---|---|
Landsat 5 TM | August 31, 2000 | Landsat 5 TM | July 23, 2003 |
Landsat 5 TM | July 31, 2006 | Landsat 5 TM | July 23, 2009 |
Landsat 8 OLI | August 3, 2013 | Landsat 8 OLI | July 24, 2015 |
Landsat 8 OLI | June 14, 2018 | Landsat 8 OLI | August 9, 2021 |
Research method
Trend analysis
Spatial evolution analysis
Results
Vegetation growth and sustainable distribution characteristics
Evolution trend of vegetation growth
Sen + MK | Number of pixels | Area (km2) | Proportion (%) |
---|---|---|---|
Marked improvement (β ≥ 0, |Z|> 1.96) | 465 | 0.42 | 0.79 |
Insignificant improvement (β > 0, |Z|≤ 1.96) | 37,027 | 33.14 | 62.65 |
Significant degradation (β ≤ 0, |Z|> 1.96) | 1190 | 1.07 | 2.01 |
Inconspicuous degradation (β < 0, |Z|≤ 1.96) | 20,367 | 18.23 | 34.46 |
R/S analysis of vegetation growth
Hurst | Number of pixels | Area (km2) | Proportion (%) |
---|---|---|---|
Antisustainability (0.0 < H < 0.5) | 24,961 | 22.34 | 42.24 |
Persistence (0.5 < H < 1.0) | 34,088 | 30.51 | 57.68 |
Future sustainability analysis of vegetation growth
Prediction type | Number of pixels | Area (km2) | Proportion (%) |
---|---|---|---|
Significant improvement in sustainability (β ≥ 0, |Z|> 1.96, 0.0 < H < 0.5) | 111 | 0.10 | 0.19 |
There was no significant improvement in anti-sustainability (β > 0, |Z|≤ 1.96, 0.0 < H < 0.5) | 14,074 | 12.60 | 23.81 |
Sustained significant improvement (β ≥ 0, |Z|> 1.96, 0.5 < H < 1.0) | 354 | 0.32 | 0.60 |
No significant improvement in persistence (β > 0, |Z|≤ 1.96, 0.5 < H < 1.0) | 22,953 | 20.55 | 38.84 |
Significant degradation of discontinuity (β ≤ 0, |Z|> 1.96, 0.0 < H < 0.5) | 552 | 0.49 | 0.93 |
No significant degradation against sustainability (β < 0, |Z|≤ 1.96, 0.0 < H < 0.5) | 10,224 | 9.15 | 17.30 |
Persistent significant degradation (β ≤ 0, |Z|> 1.96, 0.5 < H < 1.0) | 638 | 0.57 | 1.08 |
No significant degradation in persistence (β < 0, |Z|≤ 1.96, 0.5 < H < 1.0) | 10,143 | 9.08 | 17.16 |
Evolution of vegetation spatial distribution pattern and ecological vulnerability
Directional distribution change
Years | Elliptic circumference (m) | Elliptic area (m2) | X-standard distance(m) | Y-standard distance(m) | Roundness | Center of gravity distance(m) | Angle of rotation (°) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2000—best growth | 11,361.85 | 6,085,567.68 | 2609.10 | 742.62 | 71.54 | 1843 | 113.33 |
2021—best growth | 18,102.71 | 23,955,235.38 | 3511.52 | 2171.63 | 38.16 | 83.17 | |
2000—good growth | 13,723.44 | 9,388,969.56 | 3118.99 | 958.46 | 69.27 | 669 | 100.06 |
2021—good growth | 18,787.67 | 25,619,325.36 | 3668.23 | 2223.27 | 39.39 | 86.43 | |
2000—steady growth | 19,977.54 | 29,933,138.47 | 3770.50 | 2527.15 | 32.98 | 771 | 77.88 |
2021—steady growth | 19,826.47 | 29,571,051.25 | 3728.10 | 2524.97 | 32.27 | 66.64 | |
2000—poor growth | 17,614.25 | 23,754,641.89 | 3230.63 | 2340.65 | 27.55 | 2002 | 99.47 |
2021—poor growth | 14,989.09 | 14,320,337.81 | 3168.83 | 1438.64 | 54.60 | 88.63 | |
2000—worst growth | 15,581.28 | 17,855,779.39 | 3004.53 | 1891.83 | 37.03 | 3248 | 83.41 |
2021—worst growth | 10,914.29 | 8,754,653.81 | 2106.16 | 1323.21 | 37.17 | 82.94 |
Nearest neighbor exponential distribution
Mean growth | Observed-mean distance (m) | Expected-mean distance (m) | Nearest neighbor ratio | Z-score | P | Distribution pattern |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best-growth | 763.52 | 244.71 | 3.12 | 10.73 | 0.00 | Discretization |
Good-growth | 144.55 | 236.55 | 0.61 | − 9.53 | 0.00 | Aggregation |
Steady-growth | 153.19 | 268.68 | 0.57 | − 12.85 | 0.00 | Aggregation |
Poor-growth | 151.58 | 229.49 | 0.66 | − 10.95 | 0.00 | Aggregation |
Worst-growth | 157.14 | 292.54 | 0.54 | − 4.60 | 0.000004 | Aggregation |
Getis Ord Gi*
Vulnerability | 2000 (%) | 2003 (%) | 2006 (%) | 2009 (%) | 2013 (%) | 2015 (%) | 2018 (%) | 2021 (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Extreme safe zone | 30.17 | 30.40 | 25.70 | 24.40 | 30.25 | 22.85 | 20.09 | 20.81 |
Very safety zone | 3.66 | 5.41 | 4.17 | 5.99 | 5.32 | 3.83 | 3.01 | 3.21 |
Safe area | 1.99 | 2.44 | 2.05 | 2.98 | 2.60 | 2.32 | 1.64 | 1.83 |
Stable region | 17.59 | 18.18 | 24.50 | 22.83 | 21.98 | 30.80 | 36.41 | 33.46 |
Vulnerable zone | 1.48 | 1.05 | 1.89 | 1.50 | 1.53 | 2.13 | 3.26 | 3.51 |
Very Vulnerable area | 3.41 | 2.13 | 3.24 | 3.26 | 2.78 | 3.87 | 5.50 | 6.55 |
Zone of extreme vulnerability | 41.72 | 40.39 | 38.47 | 39.04 | 35.54 | 34.20 | 30.08 | 30.64 |