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Erschienen in: Journal of Quantitative Economics 1/2018

09.02.2017 | Original Article

Evolving Efficiency of Dually-Listed Indian Stocks: A Nonlinear Perspective

verfasst von: Vinodh Madhavan, Partha Ray

Erschienen in: Journal of Quantitative Economics | Ausgabe 1/2018

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Abstract

This paper examines the degree of efficiency of Indian ADRs and their underlying stocks trading in NSE/BSE from an adaptive markets hypothesis (AMH) perspective that is theoretically grounded in nonlinear serial dependence. For this purpose, the authors employ the windowed as well as the rolling hinich bicorrelation test procedures on ADRs and the underlying stocks issued by Indian firms such as, and limited to, Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Infosys, Wipro, Tata Motors, and Sterlite Industries. The study’s findings indicate that the degree of market efficiency witnessed at the level of individual scrips (ADRs or underlying domestic stocks) differs considerably from the degree of efficiency of the broader stock market in which such scrips trade. Further, the degree of efficiency witnessed amidst all US and Indian scrips considered for this study was found to be heterogeneous in nature and in-turn warrants a ranking approach. Lastly, the degree of efficiency witnessed in certain (not all) dually-listed Indian scrips was found to be homogenous across trading locations. However, this does not happen to be the case for all other dually-listed scrips considered for this study. The study’s findings bring to light the need for disaggregated, firm level market efficiency studies aimed at examining firm-level market efficiency at different trading locations and in-turn identifying the antecedents behind homogeneity (or lack-thereof) in firm-level market efficiency across multiple trading locations.

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Fußnoten
1
In the interest of brevity, the line plots of the different time series considered for this study, and the descriptive statistics for the same are not made available. Interested readers may obtain the same from the authors.
 
2
For an overview of prior studies grounded in AMH and the attendant methodological approaches employed by them so as to ascertain evolving efficiency of asset prices, please see Madhavan and Arrawatia (2016).
 
3
For a mathematical exposition of windowed as well as rolling versions of the hinich bicorrelation test, the readers may refer to the Appendix 1.
 
4
The optimum number of lags for the AR filter was arrived at, based on Akaike information criterion (AIC).
 
5
In order to garner a better idea of the rolling transformed H statistics depicted in Appendix 2, the readers may refer to Appendix 3. Each date on the horizontal axes in Appendix 3 correspond to the last day of a 35-day rolling window. Should the transformed H statistics pertaining to a specific 35-day window be greater than 0.95, it is depicted as a spike (value = 1) that is referenced to the last day of the 35-day window in Appendix 3. On the other hand should the transformed H statistics pertaining to a specific 35-day window is less than 0.95, then the last day of the 35-day window is assigned a value of zero. For instance, in the case of S&P500, the earliest evidence of episodic nonlinear behaviour is indicated by a spike referenced to \(22{\mathrm{nd}}\) November 2002. This spike pertains to 35-day window that lasts from \(7{\mathrm{th}}\) October 2002 to \(22{\mathrm{nd}}\) November 2002.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Evolving Efficiency of Dually-Listed Indian Stocks: A Nonlinear Perspective
verfasst von
Vinodh Madhavan
Partha Ray
Publikationsdatum
09.02.2017
Verlag
Springer India
Erschienen in
Journal of Quantitative Economics / Ausgabe 1/2018
Print ISSN: 0971-1554
Elektronische ISSN: 2364-1045
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s40953-017-0076-5

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