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Erschienen in: Review of Accounting Studies 3/2013

01.09.2013

Financial statement comparability and credit risk

verfasst von: Seil Kim, Pepa Kraft, Stephen G. Ryan

Erschienen in: Review of Accounting Studies | Ausgabe 3/2013

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Abstract

Prior research shows that firms’ financial statement comparability improves the accuracy of market participants’ valuation judgments and thus may reduce firms’ costs of capital. Distinct from prior research focusing on the equity market, we develop measures of comparability relevant to debt market participants based on the within-industry variability of Moody’s adjustments to reported accounting numbers for the purposes of credit rating. We examine two sets of adjustments: (1) to the interest coverage ratio and (2) to non-recurring income items. We validate these comparability measures by providing evidence that greater comparability is associated with lower frequency and magnitude of split ratings by credit rating agencies. We predict and find that greater comparability is associated with (1) lower estimated bid-ask spreads for traded bonds, (2) lower credit spreads for both bonds and five-year credit default swaps, and (3) a steeper one- to five-year credit default swap term structure. Our results are consistent with financial statement comparability reducing debt market participants’ uncertainty about and pricing of firms’ credit risk.

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Fußnoten
1
For example, it is not particularly difficult for market participants to capitalize minimum lease payment disclosures for each of the first five years of operating leases required by FAS 13. Hence, if the calculated variability of Moody’s adjustments results solely from some firms having more operating leases with minimum lease payments in the first five year terms than others, then this variability will not indicate meaningful lack of comparability. However, it is more difficult to capitalize the disclosed lump sum of minimum lease payments beyond five years required by FAS 13. It is more difficult still to deal with lease contractual features that yield payments that are highly likely to occur but not deemed to be minimum lease payments, such as contingent lease payments and payments associated with the exercise of most renewal options, for which FAS 13 requires only descriptive, nonquantitative disclosures. Non-lease examples involving highly judgmental adjustments include securitizations with significant but not complete risk transfer and transitory income items with operating characteristics or that are in the same direction period after period.
 
2
These papers are related to a large prior stream of literature that uses the strength of the contemporaneous relation between stock returns and accounting numbers or the magnitude or variability of valuation multiples as proxies for relative financial reporting quality, for example, of different accounting systems internationally (Joos and Lang 1994; Land and Lang 2002), or to identify peer firms (Bhojraj and Lee 2002).
 
3
Prior research suggests that credit spreads in CDS markets are less affected by illiquidity than credit spreads in bond markets (Jorion and Zhang 2007; Longstaff et al. 2005).
 
4
We conduct a robustness test where we drop days with positive covariances.
 
5
In untabulated analyses, we control alternatively for Herfindahl indices that measure how well Moody’s industries map into Fama and French 30 and 48 industry classifications; these indices are strongly positively correlated with hhi_naics3 and yield similar results.
 
6
Because we use Eq. (6) for construct validation purpose only, we omit compacctind because it is a competing comparability measure and bsmprob because average_rating_bond is a more relevant default measure for credit rating agencies.
 
7
We conduct robustness tests where we recalculate the estimated bid-ask spread without any days with positive covariances and find that results are robust to this specification.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Financial statement comparability and credit risk
verfasst von
Seil Kim
Pepa Kraft
Stephen G. Ryan
Publikationsdatum
01.09.2013
Verlag
Springer US
Erschienen in
Review of Accounting Studies / Ausgabe 3/2013
Print ISSN: 1380-6653
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-7136
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11142-013-9233-z

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