nach oben

Current Sustainable/Renewable Energy Reports

Erschienen in:

04.12.2023 | Review

Geophysical Constraints on Decarbonized Systems—Building Spatio-Temporal Uncertainties into Future Electricity Grid Planning

verfasst von: AFM Kamal Chowdhury, Thomas Wild, Ranjit Deshmukh, Gokul Iyer, Stefano Galelli

Erschienen in: Current Sustainable/Renewable Energy Reports | Ausgabe 4/2023

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config

KI-gestützte Suche

Aus

Abstract

Purpose of Review

Future electricity grids will be characterized by the high penetration of renewables to support the decarbonization process. Yet, this transition will further expose grids to a broad spectrum of geophysical forces, such as weather and climate or the availability of land and minerals. Here, we synthesize the current body of knowledge on the relationship between geophysical constraints and electricity grid planning.

Recent Findings

We show that there have been promising advances in the data, methods, and modelling tools needed to incorporate the effect of geophysical constraints on demand, resource availability, and grid operations. However, current research efforts are typically focused on the effect of a single constraint, thereby lacking a broader view of the problem.

Summary

More system-specific and finer-scale analyses are necessary to better understand how spatio-temporal variability in geophysical forces affects grid planning. Moreover, we need a broader focus on the multi-sectoral implications of decarbonization efforts, including the societal consequences of grid management decisions. Importantly, all these efforts are challenged by the computational requirements of existing power system models, which often limit our ability to characterize uncertainty and scale analyses across larger domains.

Vorheriger Artikel Improving the Representation of Climate Risks in Long-Term Electricity Systems Planning: a Critical Review

Nächster Artikel Observations of an Evolving Grid: Resilience and Equity Performance Metrics

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 102.000 Bücher
über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 67.000 Bücher
über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Jetzt informieren

Castillo VZ, Boer H-Sd, Muñoz RM, Gernaat DEHJ, Benders R, Vuuren D. Future global electricity demand load curves. Energy. 2022;258:124741. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.124741. Accessed 21 Aug 2023

Xu G, Yang H, Schwarz P. A strengthened relationship between electricity and economic growth in China: an empirical study with a structural equation model. Energy. 2022;241:122905. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.122905. Accessed 21 Aug 2023.

Binsted M. An electrified road to climate goals. Nat Energy. 2022;7(1):9–10. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-021-00974-8. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 22 Aug 2023.

Li X, Lepour D, Heymann F, Maréchal F. Electrification and digitalization effects on sectoral energy demand and consumption: a prospective study towards 2050. Energy. 2023;279:127992. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2023.127992. Accessed 21 Aug 2023.

Wu GC, Leslie E, Sawyerr O, Cameron DR, Brand E, Cohen B, Allen D, Ochoa M, Olson A. Low-impact land use pathways to deep decarbonization of electricity. Environ Res Lett. 2020;15(7):074044. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab87d1. Publisher: IOP Publishing. Accessed 14 July 2023.

Wu GC, Jones RA, Leslie E, Williams JH, Pascale A, Brand E, Parker SS, Cohen BS, Fargione JE, Souder J, Batres M, Gleason MG, Schindel MH, Stanley CK. Minimizing habitat conflicts in meeting net-zero energy targets in the western United States. Proc Natl Acad Sci. 2023;120(4):2204098120. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2204098120. Publisher: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Accessed 14 July 2023.

Best J. Anthropogenic stresses on the world’s big rivers. Nat Geosci. 2019;12(1):7–21. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0262-x. Accessed 16 April 2023.

Su G, Logez M, Xu J, Tao S, Villéger S, Brosse S. Human impacts on global freshwater fish biodiversity. Science. 2021;371(6531):835–8. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abd3369. Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science. Accessed 14 April 2023.

IEA: Net Zero by 2050 - a roadmap for the global energy sector. Technical report, International Energy Agency (IEA): Paris; 2021. https://www.iea.org/reports/net-zero-by-2050. Accessed 17 April 2023

10.

Ou Y, Iyer G, Clarke L, Edmonds J, Fawcett AA, Hultman N, McFarland JR, Binsted M, Cui R, Fyson C, Geiges A, Gonzales-Zuñiga S, Gidden MJ, Höhne N, Jeffery L, Kuramochi T, Lewis J, Meinshausen M, Nicholls Z, Patel P, Ragnauth S, Rogelj J, Waldhoff S, Yu S, McJeon H. Can updated climate pledges limit warming well below 2\(^\circ \)C? Science. 2021;374(6568):693–5. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abl8976. Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science. Accessed 13 July 2023.

11.

Bistline J, Abhyankar N, Blanford G, Clarke L, Fakhry R, McJeon H, Reilly J, Roney C, Wilson T, Yuan M, Zhao A. Actions for reducing US emissions at least 50% by 2030. Science. 2022;376(6596):922–4. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abn0661. Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science. Accessed 13 July 2023.

12.

Yalew SG, Vliet MTH, Gernaat DEHJ, Ludwig F, Miara A, Park C, Byers E, De Cian E, Piontek F, Iyer G, Mouratiadou I, Glynn J, Hejazi M, Dessens O, Rochedo P, Pietzcker R, Schaeffer R, Fujimori S, Dasgupta S, Mima S, Silva SRS, Chaturvedi V, Vautard R, Vuuren DP. Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios. Nat Energy. 2020;5(10):794–802. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-020-0664-z. Number: 10 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 13 Mar 2023.

13.

Gupta A, Davis M, Kumar A. An integrated assessment framework for the decarbonization of the electricity generation sector. Appl Energy. 2021;288: 116634. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.116634. Accessed 19 Mar 2023.

14.

Fodstad M, Granado P, Hellemo L, Knudsen BR, Pisciella P, Silvast A, Bordin C, Schmidt S, Straus J. Next frontiers in energy system modelling: a review on challenges and the state of the art. Renew Sustain Energy Rev. 2022;160:112246. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2022.112246. Accessed 14 July 2023.

15.

Guzović Z, Duic N, Piacentino A, Markovska N, Mathiesen BV, Lund H. Recent advances in methods, policies and technologies at sustainable energy systems development. Energy. 2022;245: 123276. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.123276. Accessed 14 July 2023.

16.

Moglen R, Chawla KP, Levi P, Sun Y, Phillips O, Leibowicz BD, Jenkins JD, Grubert EA. The state of macro-energy systems research: common critiques, current progress, and research priorities. iScience. 2023;26(4):106325. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2023.106325. Accessed 14 July 2023

17.

Kriegler E, Luderer G, Bauer N, Baumstark L, Fujimori S, Popp A, Rogelj J, Strefler J, Vuuren DP. Pathways limiting warming to 1.5\(^\circ \)C: a tale of turning around in no time? Phil Trans R Soc A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2018;376(2119):20160457. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2016.0457. Publisher: Royal Society. Accessed 14 July 2023

18.

Rogelj J, Popp A, Calvin KV, Luderer G, Emmerling J, Gernaat D, Fujimori S, Strefler J, Hasegawa T, Marangoni G, Krey V, Kriegler E, Riahi K, Vuuren DP, Doelman J, Drouet L, Edmonds J, Fricko O, Harmsen M, Havlík P, Humpenöder F, Stehfest E, Tavoni M. Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5\(^\circ \)C. Nat Clim Chang. 2018;8(4):325–332. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0091-3. Number: 4 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 14 July 2023

19.

Marvel K, Kravitz B, Caldeira K. Geophysical limits to global wind power. Nat Clim Chang. 2013;3(2):118–21. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1683. Number: 2 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 13 Mar 2023.

20.

Adeh EH, Good SP, Calaf M, Higgins CW. Solar PV power potential is greatest over croplands. Sci Rep. 2019;9(1):11442. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-47803-3. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 13 Mar 2023

21.

Shaner MR, Davis SJ, Lewis NS, Caldeira K. Geophysical constraints on the reliability of solar and wind power in the United States. Energy Environ Sci. 2018;11(4):914–25. https://doi.org/10.1039/C7EE03029K. Publisher: Royal Society of Chemistry. Accessed 13 Mar 2023.

22.

Tong D, Farnham DJ, Duan L, Zhang Q, Lewis NS, Caldeira K, Davis SJ. Geophysical constraints on the reliability of solar and wind power worldwide. Nat Commun. 2021;12(1):6146. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-26355-z. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 13 Mar 2023.

23.

Gernaat DEHJ, Boer HS, Daioglou V, Yalew SG, Müller C, Vuuren DP. Climate change impacts on renewable energy supply. Nat Clim Chang. 2021;11(2):119–25. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00949-9. Number: 2 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 13 Mar 2023.

24.

Zhou Y, Hejazi M, Smith S, Edmonds J, Li H, Clarke L, Calvin K, Thomson A. A comprehensive view of global potential for hydro-generated electricity. Energy Environ Sci. 2015;8(9):2622–33. https://doi.org/10.1039/C5EE00888C. Accessed 14 Jan 2023.

25.

Bogdanov D, Farfan J, Sadovskaia K, Aghahosseini A, Child M, Gulagi A, Oyewo AS, Souza Noel Simas Barbosa L, Breyer C. Radical transformation pathway towards sustainable electricity via evolutionary steps. Nat Commun. 2019;10(1):1077. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-08855-1. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group

26.

Larson E, Greig C, Jenkins JD, Mayfield E, Pascale A, Zhang C, Drossman J. Net-zero America: potential pathways, infrastructure, and impacts. Technical report, Princeton, NJ, Princeton University; 2021.

27.

Wang H, Feng K, Wang P, Yang Y, Sun L, Yang F, Chen W-Q, Zhang Y, Li J. China’s electric vehicle and climate ambitions jeopardized by surging critical material prices. Nat Commun. 2023;14(1):1246. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-36957-4. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 14 Mar 2023

28.

Moerenhout T, Lee LY, Glynn J. Critical mineral supply constraints and their impact on energy system models. Technical report, center on global energy policy at Columbia University: New York; 2023

29.

IEA: Critical Minerals Market Review 2023. Technical report, international energy agency (IEA): Paris; 2023

30.

Fu R, Peng K, Wang P, Zhong H, Chen B, Zhang P, Zhang Y, Chen D, Liu X, Feng K, Li J. Tracing metal footprints via global renewable power value chains. Nat Commun. 2023;14(1):3703. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-39356-x. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 14 July 2023.

31.

Wang S, Hausfather Z, Davis S, Lloyd J, Olson EB, Liebermann L, Núñez-Mujica GD, McBride J. Future demand for electricity generation materials under different climate mitigation scenarios. Joule. 2023;7(2):309–32. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2023.01.001. Publisher: Elsevier. Accessed 21 Aug 2023.

32.

Fricko O, Parkinson SC, Johnson N, Strubegger M, Vliet MTv, Riahi K. Energy sector water use implications of a 2 \(^\circ \)C climate policy. Environ Res Lett. 2016;11(3):034011. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034011. Publisher: IOP Publishing. Accessed 27 Mar 2023

33.

Lohrmann A, Farfan J, Caldera U, Lohrmann C, Breyer C. Global scenarios for significant water use reduction in thermal power plants based on cooling water demand estimation using satellite imagery. Nature Energy. 2019;4(12):1040–8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-019-0501-4. Number: 12 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 19 Mar 2023

34.

Byers EA, Coxon G, Freer J, Hall JW. Drought and climate change impacts on cooling water shortages and electricity prices in Great Britain. Nat Commun. 2020;11(1):2239. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-16012-2. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 17 Mar 2023.

35.

Chowdhury AFMK, Dang TD, Nguyen HTT, Koh R, Galelli S. The Greater Mekong’s climate-water-energy nexus: how ENSO-triggered regional droughts affect power supply and CO2 emissions. Earth’s Future. 2021;9(3):2020–001814. _eprint: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2020EF001814

36.

Badr L, Boardman G, Bigger J. Review of water use in U.S. Thermoelectric power plants. J Energy Eng. 2012;138(4):246–57. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)EY.1943-7897.0000076 . Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers. Accessed 22 Aug 2023

37.

Madden N, Lewis A, Davis M. Thermal effluent from the power sector: an analysis of once-through cooling system impacts on surface water temperature. Environ Res Lett. 2013;8(3): 035006. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/035006. Publisher: IOP Publishing. Accessed 22 Aug 2023.

38.

Raptis CE, Vliet MTHv, Pfister S. Global thermal pollution of rivers from thermoelectric power plants. Environ Res Lett. 2016;11(10):104011. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/10/104011. Publisher: IOP Publishing. Accessed 22 Aug 2023

39.

Penmetsa V, Holbert KE. Climate change effects on thermal power generation and projected losses in generation and income in the U.S. for the period 2020-2050. In: 2020 52nd North American power symposium (NAPS). IEEE, Tempe, AZ: USA;2021. pp. 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1109/NAPS50074.2021.9449688. https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9449688/. Accessed 22 Aug 2023

40.

Amell AA, Cadavid FJ. Influence of the relative humidity on the air cooling thermal load in gas turbine power plant. Appl Therm Eng. 2002;22(13):1529–33. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1359-4311(02)00063-7. Accessed 22 Aug 2023.

41.

Jin Y, Behrens P, Tukker A, Scherer L. Water use of electricity technologies: a global meta-analysis. Renew Sust Energ Rev. 2019;115: 109391. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2019.109391. Accessed 22 Aug 2023.

42.

Jin Y, Hu S, Ziegler AD, Gibson L, Campbell JE, Xu R, Chen D, Zhu K, Zheng Y, Ye B, Ye F, Zeng Z. Energy production and water savings from floating solar photovoltaics on global reservoirs. Nat Sustain. 2023;1–10. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-023-01089-6. Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 17 Mar 2023

43.

Alipour P, Mukherjee S, Nateghi R. Assessing climate sensitivity of peak electricity load for resilient power systems planning and operation: a study applied to the Texas region. Energy. 2019;185:1143–53. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2019.07.074. Accessed 12 Aug 2023.

44.

Doss-Gollin J, Amonkar Y, Schmeltzer K, Cohan D. Improving the representation of climate risks in long-term electricity systems planning: a critical review. Curr Sustain/Renew Energy Rep. 2023. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40518-023-00224-3. Accessed 23 Aug 2023.

45.

Auffhammer M, Baylis P, Hausman CH. Climate change is projected to have severe impacts on the frequency and intensity of peak electricity demand across the United States. Proc Natl Acad Sci. 2017;114(8):1886–91. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1613193114. Publisher: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Accessed 12 Aug 2023.

46.

Romitti Y, Sue Wing I. Heterogeneous climate change impacts on electricity demand in world cities circa mid-century. Sci Rep. 2022;12(1):4280. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-07922-w. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 12 Aug 2023.

47.

Pfenninger S, DeCarolis J, Hirth L, Quoilin S, Staffell I. The importance of open data and software: is energy research lagging behind? Energy Policy. 2017;101:211–5. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2016.11.046. Accessed 26 Aug 2023.

48.

Manfren M, Nastasi B, Groppi D, Astiaso Garcia D. Open data and energy analytics - an analysis of essential information for energy system planning, design and operation. Energy. 2020;213: 118803. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2020.118803. Accessed 26 Aug 2023.

49.

Kazmi H, Munne-Collado I, Mehmood F, Syed TA, Driesen J. Towards data-driven energy communities: a review of open-source datasets, models and tools. Renew Sust Energ Rev. 2021;148: 111290. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2021.111290. Accessed 26 Aug 2023.

50.

Maia-Silva D, Kumar R, Nateghi R. The critical role of humidity in modeling summer electricity demand across the United States. Nat Commun. 2020;11(1):1686. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-15393-8. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 12 Aug 2023.

51.

Shaffer B, Quintero D, Rhodes J. Changing sensitivity to cold weather in Texas power demand. iScience. 2022;25(4). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2022.104173. Publisher: Elsevier. Accessed 13 Aug 2023

52.

Lee J, Dessler AE. The impact of neglecting climate change and variability on ERCOTA’s forecasts of electricity demand in Texas. Weather Clim Soc. 2022;14(2):499–505. https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-21-0140.1. Publisher: American Meteorological Society Section: Weather, Climate, and Society. Accessed 13 Aug 2023

53.

Merrick JH. On representation of temporal variability in electricity capacity planning models. Energy Econ. 2016;59:261–74. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2016.08.001. Accessed 13 Aug 2023.

54.

Liu Y, Sioshansi R, Conejo AJ. Hierarchical clustering to find representative operating periods for capacity-expansion modeling. IEEE Trans Power Syst. 2018;33(3):3029–39. https://doi.org/10.1109/TPWRS.2017.2746379. Conference Name: IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

55.

Santamouris M, Cartalis C, Synnefa A, Kolokotsa D. On the impact of urban heat island and global warming on the power demand and electricity consumption of buildings-a review. Energy Build. 2015;98:119–24. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2014.09.052. Accessed 22 Aug 2023.

56.

Li X, Zhou Y, Yu S, Jia G, Li H, Li W. Urban heat island impacts on building energy consumption: a review of approaches and findings. Energy. 2019;174:407–19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2019.02.183. Accessed 22 Aug 2023.

57.

Reichenberg L, Hedenus F. The error induced by using representative periods in capacity expansion models: system cost, total capacity mix and regional capacity mix. Energy Syst. 2022. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12667-022-00533-4. Accessed 13 Aug 2023.

58.

Kuepper LE, Teichgraeber H, Baumgärtner N, Bardow A, Brandt AR. Wind data introduce error in time-series reduction for capacity expansion modelling. Energy. 2022;256: 124467. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.124467. Accessed 13 Aug 2023.

59.

Turner SWD, Voisin N, Fazio J, Hua D, Jourabchi M. Compound climate events transform electrical power shortfall risk in the Pacific Northwest. Nat Commun. 2019;10(1):8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-07894-4. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 17 Mar 2023.

60.

Levin T, Botterud A, Mann WN, Kwon J, Zhou Z. Extreme weather and electricity markets: key lessons from the February 2021 Texas crisis. Joule. 2022;6(1):1–7. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2021.12.015. Accessed 22 Aug 2023.

61.

Bataille C, Waisman H, Briand Y, Svensson J, Vogt-Schilb A, Jaramillo M, Delgado R, Arguello R, Clarke L, Wild T, Lallana F, Bravo G, Nadal G, Le Treut G, Godinez G, Quiros-Tortos J, Pereira E, Howells M, Buira D, Tovilla J, Farbes J, Ryan J, De La Torre Ugarte D, Collado M, Requejo F, Gomez X, Soria R, Villamar D, Rochedo P, Imperio M. Net-zero deep decarbonization pathways in Latin America: challenges and opportunities. Energy Strategy Rev. 2020;30:100510. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2020.100510.CrossRef

62.

Binsted M, Iyer G, Edmonds J, Vogt-Schilb A, Arguello R, Cadena A, Delgado R, Feijoo F, Lucena AFP, McJeon H, Miralles-Wilhelm F, Sharma A. Stranded asset implications of the Paris Agreement in Latin America and the Caribbean. Environ Res Lett. 2020;15(4):044026. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab506d. Publisher: IOP Publishing

63.

Silva SR, Hejazi MI, Iyer G, Wild TB, Binsted M, Miralles-Wilhelm F, Patel P, Snyder AC, Vernon CR. Power sector investment implications of climate impacts on renewable resources in Latin America and the Caribbean. Nat Commun. 2021;12(1):1276. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-21502-y. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group.

64.

Chowdhury AFMK, Deshmukh R, Wu GC, Uppal A, Mileva A, Curry T, Armstrong L, Galelli S, Ndhlukula K. Enabling a low-carbon electricity system for Southern Africa. Joule. 2022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2022.06.030.

65.

Deshmukh R, Phadke A, Callaway DS. Least-cost targets and avoided fossil fuel capacity in India’s pursuit of renewable energy. Proc Natl Acad Sci. 2021;118(13):2008128118. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2008128118. Publisher: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Accessed 02 Mar 2023.

66.

Gernaat DEHJ, Bogaart PW, Vuuren DPv, Biemans H, Niessink R. High-resolution assessment of global technical and economic hydropower potential. Nat Energy. 2017;2(10):821–8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-017-0006-y. Number: 10 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group

67.

...Xu R, Zeng Z, Pan M, Ziegler AD, Holden J, Spracklen DV, Brown LE, He X, Chen D, Ye B, Xu H, Jerez S, Zheng C, Liu J, Lin P, Yang Y, Zou J, Wang D, Gu M, Yang Z, Li D, Huang J, Lakshmi V, Wood EF. A global-scale framework for hydropower development incorporating strict environmental constraints. Nat Water. 2023;1(1):113–22. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44221-022-00004-1. Accessed 14 Feb 2023

68.

Arias ME, Farinosi F, Lee E, Livino A, Briscoe J, Moorcroft PR. Impacts of climate change and deforestation on hydropower planning in the Brazilian Amazon. Nat Sustain. 2020;3(6):430–6. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-020-0492-y. Number: 6 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 28 Feb 2023.

69.

Wasti A, Ray P, Wi S, Folch C, Ubierna M, Karki P. Climate change and the hydropower sector: a global review. WIREs Clim Chan. 2022;13(2):757. _eprint: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/wcc.757

70.

Zarfl C, Lumsdon AE, Berlekamp J, Tydecks L, Tockner K. A global boom in hydropower dam construction. Aquat Sci. 2015;77(1):161–70. https://doi.org/10.1007/00027-014-0377-0.01267. Accessed 19 Oct 2021.

71.

Zhang AT, Gu VX. Global Dam Tracker: a database of more than 35,000 dams with location, catchment, and attribute information. Sci Data. 2023;10(1):111. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02008-2. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 28 Feb 2023.

72.

Hennig T, Harlan T, Tilt B, Magee D. Hydropower development in South Asia: data challenges, new approaches, and implications for decision-making. WIREs Water. 2023;10(4):654. https://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1654. _eprint: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/wat2.1654. Accessed 13 Aug 2023

73.

Tiwari AD, Pokhrel Y, Kramer D, Akhter T, Tang Q, Liu J, Qi J, Loc HH, Lakshmi V. A synthesis of hydroclimatic, ecological, and socioeconomic data for transdisciplinary research in the Mekong. Sci Data. 2023;10(1):283. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02193-0. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 13 Aug 2023.

74.

Grill G, Lehner B, Thieme M, Geenen B, Tickner D, Antonelli F, Babu S, Borrelli P, Cheng L, Crochetiere H, Ehalt Macedo H, Filgueiras R, Goichot M, Higgins J, Hogan Z, Lip B, McClain ME, Meng J, Mulligan M, Nilsson C, Olden JD, Opperman JJ, Petry P, Reidy Liermann C, Sáenz L, Salinas-Rodríguez S, Schelle P, Schmitt RJP, Snider J, Tan F, Tockner K, Valdujo PH, Soesbergen A, Zarfl C. Mapping the world’s free-flowing rivers. Nature. 2019;569(7755):215–21. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1111-9

75.

Flecker AS, Shi Q, Almeida RM, Angarita H, Gomes-Selman JM, García-Villacorta R, Sethi SA, Thomas SA, Poff NL, Forsberg BR, Heilpern SA, Hamilton SK, Abad JD, Anderson EP, Barros N, Bernal IC, Bernstein R, Cañas CM, Dangles O, Encalada AC, Fleischmann AS, Goulding M, Higgins J, Jézéquel C, Larson EI, McIntyre PB, Melack JM, Montoya M, Oberdorff T, Paiva R, Perez G, Rappazzo BH, Steinschneider S, Torres S, Varese M, Walter MT, Wu X, Xue Y, Zapata-Ríos XE, Gomes CP. Reducing adverse impacts of Amazon hydropower expansion. Science. 2022;375(6582):753–60. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abj4017. Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science.

76.

Barbarossa V, Schmitt RJP, Huijbregts MAJ, Zarfl C, King H, Schipper AM. Impacts of current and future large dams on the geographic range connectivity of freshwater fish worldwide. Proc Natl Acad Sci. 2020;117(7):3648–55. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1912776117. Publisher: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Accessed 15 Feb 2023.

77.

Zarfl C, Berlekamp J, He F, Jähnig SC, Darwall W, Tockner K. Future large hydropower dams impact global freshwater megafauna. Scie Rep. 2019;9(1):18531. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-54980-8. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 14 April 2023.

78.

Fan P, Cho MS, Lin Z, Ouyang Z, Qi J, Chen J, Moran EF. Recently constructed hydropower dams were associated with reduced economic production, population, and greenness in nearby areas. Proc Natl Acad Sci. 2022;119(8):2108038119. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2108038119. Publisher: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Accessed 15 Feb 2023.

79.

Dorber M, Arvesen A, Gernaat D, Verones F. Controlling biodiversity impacts of future global hydropower reservoirs by strategic site selection. Sci Rep. 2020;10(1):21777. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-78444-6. Accessed 14 Jan 2023.

80.

Opperman JJ, Carvallo JP, Kelman R, Schmitt RJP, Almeida R, Chapin E, Flecker A, Goichot M, Grill G, Harou JJ, Hartmann J, Higgins J, Kammen D, Martin E, Martins T, Newsock A, Rogéliz C, Raepple J, Sada R, Thieme ML, Harrison D. Balancing renewable energy and river resources by moving from individual assessments of hydropower projects to energy system planning. Front Environ Sci. 2023;10. Accessed 27 Feb 2023

81.

Galelli S, Dang TD, Ng JY, Chowdhury AFMK, Arias ME. Opportunities to curb hydrological alterations via dam re-operation in the Mekong. Nat Sustain. 2022;5(12):1058–69. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-022-00971-z. Number: 12 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 16 Feb 2023.

82.

Keller PS, Marcé R, Obrador B, Koschorreck M. Global carbon budget of reservoirs is overturned by the quantification of drawdown areas. Nat Geosci. 2021;14(6):402–8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-021-00734-z. Number: 6 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 15 Aug 2023.

83.

Faria FAMd, Jaramillo P, Sawakuchi HO, Richey JE, Barros N. Estimating greenhouse gas emissions from future Amazonian hydroelectric reservoirs. Environ Res Lett. 2015;10(12):124019. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124019. Publisher: IOP Publishing. Accessed 15 Aug 2023

84.

Almeida RM, Shi Q, Gomes-Selman JM, Wu X, Xue Y, Angarita H, Barros N, Forsberg BR, García-Villacorta R, Hamilton SK, Melack JM, Montoya M, Perez G, Sethi SA, Gomes CP, Flecker AS. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions of Amazon hydropower with strategic dam planning. Nat Commun. 2019;10(1):4281. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-12179-5. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 28 Feb 2023

85.

Räsänen TA, Varis O, Scherer L, Kummu M. Greenhouse gas emissions of hydropower in the Mekong River Basin. Environ Res Lett. 2018;13(3): 034030. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaa817. Publisher: IOP Publishing. Accessed 06 Sept 2023.

86.

Zhang Y, Binsted M, Iyer G, Kim S, Wild T, Zhao M. Long-term basin-scale hydropower expansion under alternative scenarios in a global multisector model. Environ Res Lett. 2022;17(11): 114029. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac9ac9. Accessed 14 Jan 2023.

87.

Chowdhury AK, Wild T, Zhang Y, Binsted M, Iyer G, Kim S, Lamontagne J. Future hydropower expansion in eco-sensitive river basins under global energy-economic change. In: Review July 2023. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-3089500/v1. https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-3089500/v1. Accessed 14 Aug 2023

88.

Turner SWD, Voisin N. Simulation of hydropower at subcontinental to global scales: a state-of-the-art review. Environ Res Lett. 2022;17(2): 023002. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac4e38. Publisher: IOP Publishing. Accessed 23 May 2023.

89.

Wild TB, Khan Z, Zhao M, Suriano M, Bereslawski JL, Roberts P, Casado J, Gaviño-Novillo M, Clarke L, Hejazi M, Miralles-Wilhelm F, Muñoz-Castillo R, Vernon C, Snyder A, Yarlagadda B, Birnbaum A, Lamontagne J, White D, Ojeda-Matos, G.: The implications of global change for the co–evolution of Argentina’s integrated energy-water-land systems. Earth’s Future. 2021;9(8). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001970

90.

Khan Z, Wild TB, Silva Carrazzone ME, Gaudioso R, Mascari MP, Bianchi F, Weinstein F, Pérez F, Pérez W, Miralles-Wilhelm F, Clarke L, Hejazi M, Vernon CR, Kyle P, Edmonds J, Muñoz-Castillo R. Integrated energy-water-land nexus planning to guide national policy: an example from Uruguay. Environ Res Lett. 2020;15(9): 094014. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab9389.CrossRef

91.

Zeng R, Cai X, Ringler C, Zhu T. Hydropower versus irrigation-an analysis of global patterns. Environ Res Lett. 2017;12(3): 034006. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa5f3f. Publisher: IOP Publishing. Accessed 07 Mar 2023.

92.

Wild TB, Loucks DP, Annandale GW, Kaini P. Maintaining sediment flows through hydropower dams in the Mekong River Basin. J Water Resour Plan Manag. 2016;142(1):05015004. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000560. Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers.

93.

Schmitt RJP, Bizzi S, Castelletti A, Opperman JJ, Kondolf GM. Planning dam portfolios for low sediment trapping shows limits for sustainable hydropower in the Mekong. Sci Adv. 2019;5(10):2175. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aaw2175. Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science. Accessed 18 Feb 2023.

94.

Schmitt RJP, Kittner N, Kondolf GM, Kammen DM. Joint strategic energy and river basin planning to reduce dam impacts on rivers in Myanmar. Environ Res Lett. 2021;16(5): 054054. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abe329. Publisher: IOP Publishing. Accessed 15 Feb 2023.

95.

Sterl S, Vanderkelen I, Chawanda CJ, Russo D, Brecha RJ, Griensven A, Lipzig NPM, Thiery W. Smart renewable electricity portfolios in West Africa. Nat Sustain. 2020;3(9):710–9. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-020-0539-0. Number: 9 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 28 Feb 2023.

96.

Sterl S, Fadly D, Liersch S, Koch H, Thiery W. Linking solar and wind power in eastern Africa with operation of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. Nat Energy. 2021;6(4):407–18. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-021-00799-5. Number: 4 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 28 Feb 2023.

97.

Carlino A, Wildemeersch M, Chawanda CJ, Giuliani M, Sterl S, Thiery W, Griensven A, Castelletti A. Declining cost of renewables and climate change curb the need for African hydropower expansion. Science. 2023;381(6658):5848. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adf5848. Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science. Accessed 11 Aug 2023.

98.

Siala K, Chowdhury AK, Dang T, Galelli S. Solar energy and regional coordination as a feasible alternative to large hydropower in Southeast Asia. Nat Commun. 2021;12(4159):00003.

99.

Hernandez RR, Hoffacker MK, Murphy-Mariscal ML, Wu GC, Allen MF. Solar energy development impacts on land cover change and protected areas. Proc Natl Acad Sci. 2015;112(44):13579–84. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1517656112. Publisher: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Accessed 14 July 2023.

100.

Jacobson MZ, Krauland A-Kv, Coughlin SJ, Dukas E, Nelson AJH, Palmer FC, Rasmussen KR. Low-cost solutions to global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity for 145 countries. Energy Environ Sci. 2022. https://doi.org/10.1039/D2EE00722C. Publisher: The Royal Society of Chemistry

101.

Williams JH, Jones RA, Haley B, Kwok G, Hargreaves J, Farbes J, Torn MS. Carbon–neutral pathways for the United States. AGU Advances. 2021;2(1). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020AV000284. Accessed 26 Aug 2023

102.

Wu GC, Torn MS, Williams JH. Incorporating land-use requirements and environmental constraints in low-carbon electricity planning for California. Enviro Sci Technol. 2015;49(4):2013–21. https://doi.org/10.1021/es502979v. Publisher: American Chemical Society. Accessed 14 July 2023.

103.

Nøland JK, Auxepaules J, Rousset A, Perney B, Falletti G. Spatial energy density of large-scale electricity generation from power sources worldwide. Sci Rep. 2022;12(1):21280. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-25341-9. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 13 Mar 2023.

104.

Deshmukh R, Wu GC, Callaway DS, Phadke A. Geospatial and techno-economic analysis of wind and solar resources in India. Renew Energy. 2019;134:947–60. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2018.11.073. Accessed 14 July 2023.

105.

Schomberg AC, Bringezu S, Flörke M, Biederbick H. Spatially explicit life cycle assessments reveal hotspots of environmental impacts from renewable electricity generation. Commun Earth Environ. 2022;3(1):1–14. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00521-7. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 13 Mar 2023.

106.

Lopez A, Cole W, Sergi B, Levine A, Carey J, Mangan C, Mai T, Williams T, Pinchuk P, Gu J. Impact of siting ordinances on land availability for wind and solar development. Nat Energy. 2023. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-023-01319-3. Accessed 26 Aug 2023.

107.

Sovacool BK, Lakshmi Ratan P. Conceptualizing the acceptance of wind and solar electricity. Renew Sustain Energy Rev. 2012;16(7):5268–79. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2012.04.048. Accessed 26 Aug 2023.

108.

Gorayeb A, Brannstrom C, De Andrade Meireles AJ, De Sousa Mendes J. Wind power gone bad: critiquing wind power planning processes in northeastern Brazil. Energy Res Soc Sci. 2018;40:82–8. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2017.11.027. Accessed 26 Aug 2023.

109.

Ross E, Day M, Ivanova C, McLeod A, Lockshin J. Intersections of disadvantaged communities and renewable energy potential: data set and analysis to inform equitable investment prioritization in the United States. Renew Energy Focus. 2022;41:1–14. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ref.2022.02.002. Accessed 26 Aug 2023.

110.

Sterl S, Hussain B, Miketa A, Li Y, Merven B, Ben Ticha MB, Elabbas MAE, Thiery W, Russo D. An all-Africa dataset of energy model “supply regions” for solar photovoltaic and wind power. Sci Data. 2022;9(1):664. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-022-01786-5. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 13 Aug 2023.

111.

Chowdhury AFMK, Wessel J, Wild T, Lamontagne J, Kanyako F. Exploring sustainable electricity system development pathways in South America’s MERCOSUR sub-region. Energy Strateg Rev. 2023;49: 101150. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2023.101150. Accessed 21 Aug 2023.

112.

Wu GC, Deshmukh R, Ndhlukula K, Radojicic T, Reilly-Moman J, Phadke A, Kammen DM, Callaway DS. Strategic siting and regional grid interconnections key to low-carbon futures in African countries. Proc Natl Acad Sci. 2017;114(15):3004–12. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1611845114. Publisher: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Accessed 14 July 2023.

113.

Kowsar A, Hassan M, Rana MT, Haque N, Faruque MH, Ahsan S, Alam F. Optimization and techno-economic assessment of 50 MW floating solar power plant on Hakaluki marsh land in Bangladesh. Renew Energy. 2023;216: 119077. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2023.119077. Accessed 29 Aug 2023.

114.

Blanford GJ, Merrick JH, Bistline JET, Young DT. Simulating annual variation in load, wind, and solar by representative hour selection. Energy J. 2018;39(3). https://doi.org/10.5547/01956574.39.3.gbla. Accessed 26 Aug 2023

115.

Akdemir KZ, Kern JD, Lamontagne J. Assessing risks for New England’s wholesale electricity market from wind power losses during extreme winter storms. Energy. 2022;251: 123886. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.123886. Accessed 26 Aug 2023.

116.

Wessel J, Kern JD, Voisin N, Oikonomou K, Haas J. Technology pathways could help drive the U.S. west coast grid’s exposure to hydrometeorological uncertainty. Earth’s Future. 2022;10(1). https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002187. Accessed 26 Aug 2023

117.

Energy Sector Management Assistance Program (ESMAP): REZoning: the renewable energy zoning tool; 2022. https://rezoning.energydata.info. Accessed 26 Aug 2023

118.

Maclaurin G, Grue N, Anthony L, Heimiller D, Rossol M, Buster G, Williams T. The renewable energy potential (reV) model: a geospatial platform for technical potential and supply curve modeling. Technical Report NREL/TP-6A20-73067, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden: CO; 2019. https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy19osti/73067.pdf

119.

Pfenninger S, Staffell I. Long-term patterns of European PV output using 30 years of validated hourly reanalysis and satellite data. Energy. 2016;114:1251–65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2016.08.060.CrossRef

120.

Staffell I, Pfenninger S. Using bias-corrected reanalysis to simulate current and future wind power output. Energy. 2016;114:1224–39. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2016.08.068. Accessed 26 Aug 2023.

121.

Kanyako F, Baker E. Uncertainty analysis of the future cost of wind energy on climate change mitigation. Climatic Change. 2021;166(1–2):10. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03105-0.CrossRef

122.

Craig MT, Carreño IL, Rossol M, Hodge B-M, Brancucci C. Effects on power system operations of potential changes in wind and solar generation potential under climate change. Environ Res Lett. 2019;14(3): 034014. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aaf93b. Publisher: IOP Publishing. Accessed 28 Aug 2023.

123.

Islam MM, Sohag K, Mariev O. Geopolitical risks and mineral-driven renewable energy generation in China: a decomposed analysis. Resour Policy. 2023;80: 103229. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.103229. Accessed 26 Aug 2023.

124.

Manberger A, Johansson B. The geopolitics of metals and metalloids used for the renewable energy transition. Energy Strateg Rev. 2019;26: 100394. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2019.100394. Accessed 26 Aug 2023.

125.

Overland I. The geopolitics of renewable energy: debunking four emerging myths. Energy Res Soc Sci. 2019;49:36–40. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2018.10.018. Accessed 26 Aug 2023.

126.

Zhu Z, Piao S, Myneni RB, Huang M, Zeng Z, Canadell JG, Ciais P, Sitch S, Friedlingstein P, Arneth A, Cao C, Cheng L, Kato E, Koven C, Li Y, Lian X, Liu Y, Liu R, Mao J, Pan Y, Peng S, Peñuelas J, Poulter B, Pugh TAM, Stocker BD, Viovy N, Wang X, Wang Y, Xiao Z, Yang H, Zaehle S, Zeng N. Greening of the Earth and its drivers. Nat Clim Chang. 2016;6(8):791–5. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3004. Number: 8 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 23 June 2023.

127.

Chen C, Riley WJ, Prentice IC, Keenan TF. CO2 fertilization of terrestrial photosynthesis inferred from site to global scales. Proc Natl Acad Sci. 2022;119(10):2115627119. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2115627119. Publisher: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Accessed 23 June 2023.

128.

Wang S, Zhang Y, Ju W, Chen JM, Ciais P, Cescatti A, Sardans J, Janssens IA, Wu M, Berry JA, Campbell E, Fernández-Martínez M, Alkama R, Sitch S, Friedlingstein P, Smith WK, Yuan W, He W, Lombardozzi D, Kautz M, Zhu D, Lienert S, Kato E, Poulter B, Sanders TGM, Krüger I, Wang R, Zeng N, Tian H, Vuichard N, Jain AK, Wiltshire A, Haverd V, Goll DS, Peñuelas J. Recent global decline of CO2 fertilization effects on vegetation photosynthesis. Science. 2020;370(6522):1295–300. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abb7772. Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science. Accessed 23 June 2023.

129.

Yarlagadda B, Wild T, Zhao X, Clarke L, Cui R, Khan Z, Birnbaum A, Lamontagne J. Trade and climate mitigation interactions create agro-economic opportunities with social and environmental trade-offs in Latin America and the Caribbean. Earth’s Future. 2023;11(4):2022–003063. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003063. _eprint: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2022EF003063. Accessed 26 Sept 2023

130.

Huntingford C, Oliver RJ.Constraints on estimating the CO2 fertilization effect emerge. Nature. 2021;600(7888):224–5. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-021-03560-w . Bandiera_abtest: a Cg_type: News And Views Number: 7888 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group Subject_term: Climate change, Climate sciences. Accessed 23 June 2023

131.

Sterman J, Moomaw W, Rooney-Varga JN, Siegel L. Does wood bioenergy help or harm the climate? Bull At Sci. 2022;78(3):128–38. https://doi.org/10.1080/00963402.2022.2062933. Publisher: Routledge. Accessed 22 Aug 2023

132.

Buchholz T, Prisley S, Marland G, Canham C, Sampson N. Uncertainty in projecting GHG emissions from bioenergy. Nat Clim Chang. 2014;4(12):1045–7. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2418. Number: 12 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 22 Aug 2023.

133.

Bauer N, Rose SK, Fujimori S, Vuuren DP, Weyant J, Wise M, Cui Y, Daioglou V, Gidden MJ, Kato E, Kitous A, Leblanc F, Sands R, Sano F, Strefler J, Tsutsui J, Bibas R, Fricko O, Hasegawa T, Klein D, Kurosawa A, Mima S, Muratori M. Global energy sector emission reductions and bioenergy use: overview of the bioenergy demand phase of the EMF-33 model comparison. Clim Chang. 2020;163(3):1553–68. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2226-y. Accessed 22 Aug 2023.

134.

Withey P, Johnston C, Guo J. Quantifying the global warming potential of carbon dioxide emissions from bioenergy with carbon capture and storage. Renew Sustain Energy Rev. 2019;115: 109408. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2019.109408. Accessed 22 Aug 2023.

135.

Koh R, Galelli S. Evaluating streamflow forecasts in hydro-dominated power systems–when and why they matter. preprint, Preprints August 2023. https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.169143870.00652382/v1. https://essopenarchive.org/users/646330/articles/658304-evaluating-streamflow-forecasts-in-hydro-dominated-power-systems-when-and-why-they-matter?commit=60d1785eca0a73730f9a447441ec47014891690c. Accessed 14 Aug 2023

136.

Chowdhury AFMK, Kern J, Dang TD, Galelli S. PowNet: a network-constrained unit commitment/economic dispatch model for large-scale power systems analysis. 2020;8(1):5. https://doi.org/10.5334/jors.302. Number: 1 Publisher: Ubiquity Press. Accessed 14 Aug 2023

137.

Su Y, Kern JD, Denaro S, Hill J, Reed P, Sun Y, Cohen J, Characklis GW. An open source model for quantifying risks in bulk electric power systems from spatially and temporally correlated hydrometeorological processes. Environ Model Softw. 2020;126: 104667. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104667. Accessed 14 Aug 2023.

138.

O’Connell Voisin N, Macknick Fu. Sensitivity of Western U.S. power system dynamics to droughts compounded with fuel price variability. Appl Energy. 2019;247:745–54. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.156. Accessed 14 Aug 2023

139.

Koh R, Kern J, Galelli S. Hard-coupling water and power system models increases the complementarity of renewable energy sources. Appl Energy. 2022;321: 119386. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.119386. Accessed 14 Aug 2023.

140.

Chowdhury AFMK, Dang TD, Bagchi A, Galelli S. Expected benefits of Laos’ hydropower development curbed by hydroclimatic variability and limited transmission capacity: opportunities to reform. J Water Resour Plan Manag. 2020;146(10):05020019. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0001279. Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers.

141.

Bartos M, Chester M, Johnson N, Gorman B, Eisenberg D, Linkov I, Bates M. Impacts of rising air temperatures on electric transmission ampacity and peak electricity load in the United States. Environ Res Lett. 2016;11(11): 114008. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/11/114008. Publisher: IOP Publishing. Accessed 14 Aug 2023.

142.

Feng X, Yang J, Luo C, Sun Y, Liu M, Tang Y, A risk evaluation method for cascading failure considering transmission line icing. In: IEEE Innovative smart grid technologies - Asia (ISGT ASIA). IEEE, Bangkok: Thailand; 2015. pp. 1–4. https://doi.org/10.1109/ISGT-Asia.2015.7387014. http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/7387014/. Accessed 14 Aug 2023

143.

Dian S, Cheng P, Ye Q, Wu J, Luo R, Wang C, Hui D, Zhou N, Zou D, Yu Q, Gong X. Integrating wildfires propagation prediction into early warning of electrical transmission line outages. IEEE Access. 2019;7:27586–603. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2019.2894141. Conference Name: IEEE Access.

144.

Ram M, Bogdanov D, Aghahosseini A, Gulagi A, Oyewo AS, Odai Mensah TN, Child M, Caldera U, Sadovskaia K, Barbosa LDSNS, Fasihi M, Khalili S, Traber T, Breyer C. Global energy transition to 100% renewables by 2050: not fiction, but much needed impetus for developing economies to leapfrog into a sustainable future. Energy. 2022;246:123419. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2022.123419. Accessed 14 Aug 2023

145.

Diesendorf M, Elliston B. The feasibility of 100% renewable electricity systems: a response to critics. Renew Sustain Energy Rev. 2018;93:318–30. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2018.05.042. Accessed 14 Aug 2023.

146.

Khalili S, Breyer C. Review on 100% renewable energy system analyses-a bibliometric perspective. IEEE Access. 2022;10:125792–834. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2022.3221155. Conference Name: IEEE Access.

147.

Fuhrman J, Bergero C, Weber M, Monteith S, Wang FM, Clarens AF, Doney SC, Shobe W, McJeon H. Diverse carbon dioxide removal approaches could reduce impacts on the energy-water-land system. Nat Clim Chang. 2023;1–10. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01604-9. Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 13 Mar 2023

148.

Cohen G, Joutz F, Loungani P. Measuring energy security: trends in the diversification of oil and natural gas supplies. Energy Policy. 2011;39(9):4860–9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2011.06.034. Accessed 21 Aug 2023.

149.

Rosenow J. Europe on the way to net zero: what challenges and opportunities? PLOS Clim. 2022;1(7):0000058. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000058. Accessed 21 Aug 2023

150.

Poumadère M, Mays C, Le Mer S, Blong R. The 2003 heat wave in France: dangerous climate change here and now. Risk Anal. 2005;25(6):1483–94. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2005.00694.x. _eprint: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/j.1539-6924.2005.00694.x. Accessed 2023-08-21

151.

Jenkins JD, Luke M, Thernstrom S. Getting to zero carbon emissions in the electric power sector. Joule. 2018;2(12):2498–510. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2018.11.013. Accessed 13 Mar 2023.

152.

Davis SJ, Lewis NS, Shaner M, Aggarwal S, Arent D, Azevedo IL, Benson SM, Bradley T, Brouwer J, Chiang Y-M, Clack CTM, Cohen A, Doig S, Edmonds J, Fennell P, Field CB, Hannegan B, Hodge B-M, Hoffert MI, Ingersoll E, Jaramillo P, Lackner KS, Mach KJ, Mastrandrea M, Ogden J, Peterson PF, Sanchez DL, Sperling D, Stagner J, Trancik JE, Yang C-J, Caldeira K. Net-zero emissions energy systems. Science. 2018;360(6396):9793. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aas9793. Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science. Accessed 14 Mar 2023.

153.

DeAngelo J, Azevedo I, Bistline J, Clarke L, Luderer G, Byers E, Davis SJ. Energy systems in scenarios at net-zero CO2 emissions. Nat Commun. 2021;12(1):6096. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-26356-y. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 13 Mar 2023.

154.

Grams CM, Beerli R, Pfenninger S, Staffell I, Wernli H. Balancing Europe’s wind-power output through spatial deployment informed by weather regimes. Nat Clim Chang. 2017;7(8):557–62. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3338. Number: 8 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 21 Aug 2023.

155.

Poumadère T, Lilliestam J, Marelli S, Pfenninger S. Trade-offs between geographic scale, cost, and infrastructure requirements for fully renewable electricity in Europe. Joule. 2020;4(9):1929–48. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2020.07.018. Accessed 21 Aug 2023.

156.

Busby JW, Baker K, Bazilian MD, Gilbert AQ, Grubert E, Rai V, Rhodes JD, Shidore S, Smith CA, Webber ME. Cascading risks: understanding the 2021 winter blackout in Texas. Energy Res Soc Sci. 2021;77: 102106. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2021.102106. Accessed 21 Aug 2023.

157.

Golombek R, Lind A, Ringkjøb H-K, Seljom P. The role of transmission and energy storage in European decarbonization towards 2050. Energy. 2022;239: 122159. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.122159. Accessed 21 Aug 2023.

158.

Koohi-Fayegh S, Rosen MA. A review of energy storage types, applications and recent developments. J Energy Storage. 2020;27: 101047. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.est.2019.101047. Accessed 21 Aug 2023.

159.

Shan R, Reagan J, Castellanos S, Kurtz S, Kittner N. Evaluating emerging long-duration energy storage technologies. Renew Sustain Energy Rev. 2022;159: 112240. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2022.112240. Accessed 30 Oct 2023.

160.

Hunt JD, Byers E, Wada Y, Parkinson S, Gernaat DEHJ, Langan S, Vuuren DP, Riahi K. Global resource potential of seasonal pumped hydropower storage for energy and water storage. Nat Commun. 2020;11(1):947. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-14555-y. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 21 Aug 2023.

161.

Yang C-J, Jackson RB. Opportunities and barriers to pumped-hydro energy storage in the United States. Renew Sustain Energy Rev. 2011;15(1):839–44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2010.09.020. Accessed 21 Aug 2023.

162.

Jurasz J, Canales FA, Kies A, Guezgouz M, Beluco A. A review on the complementarity of renewable energy sources: concept, metrics, application and future research directions. Sol Energy. 2020;195:703–24. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2019.11.087. Accessed 21 Aug 2023.

163.

François B, Hingray B, Raynaud D, Borga M, Creutin JD. Increasing climate-related-energy penetration by integrating run-of-the river hydropower to wind/solar mix. Renew Energy. 2016;87:686–96. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2015.10.064. Accessed 21 Aug 2023.

164.

Shen B, Kahrl F, Satchwell AJ. Facilitating power grid decarbonization with distributed energy resources: lessons from the United States. Annu Rev Environ Resour. 2021;46(1):349–75. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-111320-071618. Accessed 21 Aug 2023

165.

Knuth S. Breakthroughs for a green economy? Financialization and clean energy transition. Energy Res Soc Sci. 2018;41:220–9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2018.04.024. Accessed 27 Aug 2023.

166.

Bazilian M, Bradshaw M, Gabriel J, Goldthau A, Westphal K. Four scenarios of the energy transition: drivers, consequences, and implications for geopolitics. WIREs Clim Chang. 2020;11(2):625. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.625. _eprint: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/wcc.625. Accessed 27 Aug 2023

167.

Hainsch K, Löffler K, Burandt T, Auer H, Granado P, Pisciella P, Zwickl-Bernhard S. Energy transition scenarios: what policies, societal attitudes, and technology developments will realize the EU Green Deal? Energy. 2022;239: 122067. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.122067. Accessed 27 Aug 2023.

168.

Su Y, Kern JD, Reed PM, Characklis GW. Compound hydrometeorological extremes across multiple timescales drive volatility in California electricity market prices and emissions. Appl Energy. 2020;276: 115541. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.115541. Accessed 21 Aug 2023.

169.

Flores-Quiroz A, Palma-Behnke R, Zakeri G, Moreno R. A column generation approach for solving generation expansion planning problems with high renewable energy penetration. Electr Power Syst Res. 2016;136:232–41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2016.02.011. Accessed 21 Aug 2023.

170.

Van Hentenryck P. Machine learning for optimal power flows. In: Carlsson JG, Shier D, Greenberg HJ, editors. Tutorials in operations research: Emerging optimization methods and modeling techniques with applications. INFORMS: ???; 2021. https://doi.org/10.1287/educ.2021.0234. http://pubsonline.informs.org/doi/10.1287/educ.2021.0234. Accessed 21 Aug 2023

171.

Winemiller KO, McIntyre PB, Castello L, Fluet-Chouinard E, Giarrizzo T, Nam S, Baird IG, Darwall W, Lujan NK, Harrison I, Stiassny MLJ, Silvano RAM, Fitzgerald DB, Pelicice FM, Agostinho AA, Gomes LC, Albert JS, Baran E, Petrere MJr, Zarfl C, Mulligan M, Sullivan JP, Arantes CC, Sousa LM, Koning AA, Hoeinghaus DJ, Sabaj M, Lundberg JG, Armbruster J, Thieme ML, Petry P, Zuanon J, Vilara GT, Snoeks J, Ou C, Rainboth W, Pavanelli CS, Akama A, Soesbergen Av, Sáenz L. Balancing hydropower and biodiversity in the Amazon, Congo, and Mekong. Science. 2016. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aac7082. Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science. Accessed 30 Dec 2021

172.

Reed PM, Hadjimichael A, Moss RH, Brelsford C, Burleyson CD, Cohen S, Dyreson A, Gold DF, Gupta RS, Keller K, Konar M, Monier E, Morris J, Srikrishnan V, Voisin N, Yoon J. Multisector dynamics: advancing the science of complex adaptive human-earth systems. Earth’s Future. 2022;10(3):2021–002621. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002621. _eprint: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2021EF002621. Accessed 21 Aug 2023

173.

Zeighami A, Kern J, Yates AJ, Weber P, Bruno AA. U.S. West Coast droughts and heat waves exacerbate pollution inequality and can evade emission control policies. Nat Commun. 2023;14(1):1415. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-37080-0. Number: 1 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 25 April 2023

174.

Freese LM, Chossière GP, Eastham SD, Jenn A, Selin NE. Nuclear power generation phase-outs redistribute US air quality and climate-related mortality risk. Nat Energy. 2023;8(5):492–503. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-023-01241-8. Number: 5 Publisher: Nature Publishing Group. Accessed 21 Aug 2023.

Titel: Geophysical Constraints on Decarbonized Systems—Building Spatio-Temporal Uncertainties into Future Electricity Grid Planning
verfasst von: AFM Kamal Chowdhury
Thomas Wild
Ranjit Deshmukh
Gokul Iyer
Stefano Galelli
Publikationsdatum: 04.12.2023
Verlag: Springer International Publishing
Erschienen in: Current Sustainable/Renewable Energy Reports / Ausgabe 4/2023
Elektronische ISSN: 2196-3010
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40518-023-00229-y

Springer Professional

Abstract

Purpose of Review

Recent Findings

Summary

Bitte loggen Sie sich ein, um Zugang zu Ihrer Lizenz zu erhalten.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Springer Professional "Technik"

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 4/2023

Improving the Representation of Climate Risks in Long-Term Electricity Systems Planning: a Critical Review

Intelligent Electrification as an Enabler of Clean Energy and Decarbonization

Social Dimensions of Offshore Wind Energy: a Review of Theories and Frameworks of Multi-criteria Decision-Making

Firm Boundaries in Energy Markets: Should Heavy Users of Energy Vertically Integrate into Production?

Progress in Concentrated Solar Power, Photovoltaics, and Integrated Power Plants Towards Expanding the Introduction of Renewable Energy in the Asia/Pacific Region

Observations of an Evolving Grid: Resilience and Equity Performance Metrics