2015 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel
Improving Risk Analysis in Unstable Political Climates
verfasst von : David M. Dougherty, Christine Specter
Erschienen in: Proceedings of the 1982 Academy of Marketing Science (AMS) Annual Conference
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This paper presents intervention analysis as a tech -nique to forecast the rate of change in the growth of real Gross National Product in countries which have experienced unstable political climates as an indicator of marketing opportunities. Intervention models were constructed and analyzed in relation to the impact of political or intervening events in ten countries. Operational strategies appropriate to certain events and their classifications were clearly indicated.