Skip to main content
Erschienen in: Empirical Economics 3/2016

01.05.2016

Health progress and economic growth in the USA: the continuous wavelet analysis

verfasst von: Wen-Yi Chen

Erschienen in: Empirical Economics | Ausgabe 3/2016

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

This study employs the continuous wavelet analysis to investigate the dynamic relationship between health progress and economic growth over the period of 1934–2010 in the USA. Our findings reconcile the counter-cyclicality of longevity in the short run with the pro-cyclicality of longevity in the long run with respect to the business cycle. Additionally, four causal relationships between health progress and economic growth: the income view, health view, feedback view, and neutrality hypotheses are identified. Our results show that the income view, health view, and feedback hypotheses could only be validated for some specific time periods and conditions. None of these four hypotheses regarding causality of health progress and economic growth prevail over the entire period of 1934–2010 in the USA.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Aguiar-Conraria L, Soares MJ (2014) The continuous wavelet transform: moving beyond uni- and bivariate analysis. J Econ Surv 28(2):344–375CrossRef Aguiar-Conraria L, Soares MJ (2014) The continuous wavelet transform: moving beyond uni- and bivariate analysis. J Econ Surv 28(2):344–375CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Ariizumi H, Schirle T (2012) Are recessions really good for your health? Evidence from Canada. Soc Sci Med 74:1224–1231CrossRef Ariizumi H, Schirle T (2012) Are recessions really good for your health? Evidence from Canada. Soc Sci Med 74:1224–1231CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Arora S (2005) On epidemiologic and economic transitions: a historical view. In: Lopez-Casasnovas G, Rivera B, Currais L (eds) Health and economic growth: findings and policy implications. The MIT Press, Massachusetts, pp 197–238 Arora S (2005) On epidemiologic and economic transitions: a historical view. In: Lopez-Casasnovas G, Rivera B, Currais L (eds) Health and economic growth: findings and policy implications. The MIT Press, Massachusetts, pp 197–238
Zurück zum Zitat Baird S, Friedman J, Schady N (2011) Aggregate income shocks and infant mortality in the developing world. Rev Econ Stat 93(3):847–856CrossRef Baird S, Friedman J, Schady N (2011) Aggregate income shocks and infant mortality in the developing world. Rev Econ Stat 93(3):847–856CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Balcilar M, Ozdemir ZA (2013) The export-output growth nexus in Japan: a bootstrap rolling window approach. Empir Econ 44:639–660CrossRef Balcilar M, Ozdemir ZA (2013) The export-output growth nexus in Japan: a bootstrap rolling window approach. Empir Econ 44:639–660CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Barro RJ (2013a) Health and economic growth. Ann Econ Financ Soc AEF 14(2):329–366 Barro RJ (2013a) Health and economic growth. Ann Econ Financ Soc AEF 14(2):329–366
Zurück zum Zitat Barro RJ (2013b) Education and economic growth. Ann Econ Financ Soc AEF 14(2):301–328 Barro RJ (2013b) Education and economic growth. Ann Econ Financ Soc AEF 14(2):301–328
Zurück zum Zitat Bhalotra S (2010) Fatal fluctuations? Cyclicality in infant mortality in India. J Dev Econ 93(1):7–19CrossRef Bhalotra S (2010) Fatal fluctuations? Cyclicality in infant mortality in India. J Dev Econ 93(1):7–19CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Bishai DM (1995) Infant mortality time series are random walks with drift: Are they cointegrated with socioeconomic variables? Health Econ 4(3):157–167CrossRef Bishai DM (1995) Infant mortality time series are random walks with drift: Are they cointegrated with socioeconomic variables? Health Econ 4(3):157–167CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Brenner MH (1979) Mortality and the national economy. Lancet 314:568–573CrossRef Brenner MH (1979) Mortality and the national economy. Lancet 314:568–573CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Brenner MH (2005) Commentary: economic growth is the basis of mortality rate decline in the 20th century-experience of the United States 1901–2000. Int J Epidemiol 34:1214–1221CrossRef Brenner MH (2005) Commentary: economic growth is the basis of mortality rate decline in the 20th century-experience of the United States 1901–2000. Int J Epidemiol 34:1214–1221CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Buchmueller TC, Moheit, AC (2009) Employer-sponsored health insurance and the promise of health insurance reform. NBER Working Paper No 14839 Buchmueller TC, Moheit, AC (2009) Employer-sponsored health insurance and the promise of health insurance reform. NBER Working Paper No 14839
Zurück zum Zitat Catalano R (1997) The effect of deviations from trend in national income on mortality: the Danish and USA data revised. Eur J Epidemiol 13:737–743CrossRef Catalano R (1997) The effect of deviations from trend in national income on mortality: the Danish and USA data revised. Eur J Epidemiol 13:737–743CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Cazelles B, Chavez M, de Magny GC, Guegan JF, Hales S (2007) Time- dependent spectral analysis of epidemiological time-series with wavelets. J Roy Soc Interf 4:625–636CrossRef Cazelles B, Chavez M, de Magny GC, Guegan JF, Hales S (2007) Time- dependent spectral analysis of epidemiological time-series with wavelets. J Roy Soc Interf 4:625–636CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Chantrill C (2012) US government spending: history, facts and charts of spending, taxes and debt, federal, state and local, election 2012 special edition. usgovernmentspending.com, Seattle Chantrill C (2012) US government spending: history, facts and charts of spending, taxes and debt, federal, state and local, election 2012 special edition. usgovernmentspending.com, Seattle
Zurück zum Zitat Chen WY, Wen MJ, Lin YH, Liang YW (2015b) On the relationship between healthcare expenditure and longevity: evidence from continuous wavelet analyses. Qual Quant. doi:10.1007/s11135-015-0189-x Chen WY, Wen MJ, Lin YH, Liang YW (2015b) On the relationship between healthcare expenditure and longevity: evidence from continuous wavelet analyses. Qual Quant. doi:10.​1007/​s11135-015-0189-x
Zurück zum Zitat Crowley P (2007) A guide to wavelets for economists. J Econ Surv 21(2):207–267CrossRef Crowley P (2007) A guide to wavelets for economists. J Econ Surv 21(2):207–267CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Dajcman S, Festic M, Kavkler A (2012) Comovement dynamics between central and Eastern European and developed European stock markets during European integration and amid financial crises- a wavelet analysis. Inzinerine Ekonomika Eng Econ 23(1):22–32 Dajcman S, Festic M, Kavkler A (2012) Comovement dynamics between central and Eastern European and developed European stock markets during European integration and amid financial crises- a wavelet analysis. Inzinerine Ekonomika Eng Econ 23(1):22–32
Zurück zum Zitat Dar AB, Shah FA (2014) Are Eurozone fixed income markets integrated? An analysis based on wavelet multiple correlation and cross correlation. Econ Res Int. doi:10.1155/2014/219652 Dar AB, Shah FA (2014) Are Eurozone fixed income markets integrated? An analysis based on wavelet multiple correlation and cross correlation. Econ Res Int. doi:10.​1155/​2014/​219652
Zurück zum Zitat Economou A, Nikolaou A, Theodossiou I (2008) Are recessions harmful to health after all? Evidence from the European Union. J Econ Stud 35(5):368–384CrossRef Economou A, Nikolaou A, Theodossiou I (2008) Are recessions harmful to health after all? Evidence from the European Union. J Econ Stud 35(5):368–384CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Edwards RD (2005) Commentary: work, well-being, and a new calling for countercyclical. Int J Epidemiol 34:1222–1225CrossRef Edwards RD (2005) Commentary: work, well-being, and a new calling for countercyclical. Int J Epidemiol 34:1222–1225CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Fernández-Macho J (2012) Wavelet multiple correlation and cross-correlation: a multiscale analysis of Eurozone stock markets. Phys A 391(4):1097–1104CrossRef Fernández-Macho J (2012) Wavelet multiple correlation and cross-correlation: a multiscale analysis of Eurozone stock markets. Phys A 391(4):1097–1104CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Ferreira F, Schady N (2009) Aggregate economic shocks, child schooling, and child health. World Bank Res Obs 24:147–181CrossRef Ferreira F, Schady N (2009) Aggregate economic shocks, child schooling, and child health. World Bank Res Obs 24:147–181CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Foy A (2012) Understanding the healthcare bubble: how it was inflated, and why it must burst. Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons 17(2):45–49 Foy A (2012) Understanding the healthcare bubble: how it was inflated, and why it must burst. Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons 17(2):45–49
Zurück zum Zitat Friedman J, Schady N (2013) How many infants likely died in Africa as a result of the 2008–2009 global financial crisis. Health Econ 22(5):611–622CrossRef Friedman J, Schady N (2013) How many infants likely died in Africa as a result of the 2008–2009 global financial crisis. Health Econ 22(5):611–622CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gallegati M, Semmler W (2014) Wavelet application in economics and finance. Springer, New YorkCrossRef Gallegati M, Semmler W (2014) Wavelet application in economics and finance. Springer, New YorkCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gencay R, Selcuk F, Whitcher B (2001) An introduction to wavelets and other filtering methods in finance and economics. Academic Press, New York Gencay R, Selcuk F, Whitcher B (2001) An introduction to wavelets and other filtering methods in finance and economics. Academic Press, New York
Zurück zum Zitat Gerdtham U-G, Johannesson M (2005) Business cycles and mortality: results from Swedish microdata. Soc Sci Med 60:205–218CrossRef Gerdtham U-G, Johannesson M (2005) Business cycles and mortality: results from Swedish microdata. Soc Sci Med 60:205–218CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gerdtham UG, Ruhm CJ (2006) Deaths rise in good economic times: evidence from the OECD. Econ Hum Biol 4:298–316CrossRef Gerdtham UG, Ruhm CJ (2006) Deaths rise in good economic times: evidence from the OECD. Econ Hum Biol 4:298–316CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gonzalez F, Quast T (2010) Mortality and business cycles by level of development: evidence from Mexico. Soc Sci Med 71:2066–2073CrossRef Gonzalez F, Quast T (2010) Mortality and business cycles by level of development: evidence from Mexico. Soc Sci Med 71:2066–2073CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gonzalez F, Quast T (2011) Macroeconomic changes and mortality in Mexico. Empir Econ 40:305–319CrossRef Gonzalez F, Quast T (2011) Macroeconomic changes and mortality in Mexico. Empir Econ 40:305–319CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Graham G, Chang B, Evans J (1992) Poorer is riskier. Risk Anal 12:333–337CrossRef Graham G, Chang B, Evans J (1992) Poorer is riskier. Risk Anal 12:333–337CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Janko Z, Emery JCH, Guenette P (2013) The short-run and long-run relationships between mortality and the business cycle in Canada. Econ Res Int. doi:10.1155/2013/409738 Janko Z, Emery JCH, Guenette P (2013) The short-run and long-run relationships between mortality and the business cycle in Canada. Econ Res Int. doi:10.​1155/​2013/​409738
Zurück zum Zitat Joyce TJ, Mocan HN (1993) Unemployment and infant health: time-series evidence from the state of Tennessee. J Hum Resour 28:185–203CrossRef Joyce TJ, Mocan HN (1993) Unemployment and infant health: time-series evidence from the state of Tennessee. J Hum Resour 28:185–203CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kasl SV (1979) Mortality and the business cycle: some questions about research strategies when utilizing macro-social and ecological data. Am J Public Health 69:784–88CrossRef Kasl SV (1979) Mortality and the business cycle: some questions about research strategies when utilizing macro-social and ecological data. Am J Public Health 69:784–88CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Khang Y, Lynch J, Kaplan G (2005) Impact of economic crisis on cause-specific mortality in South Korea. Int J Epidemiol 34:1291–1301CrossRef Khang Y, Lynch J, Kaplan G (2005) Impact of economic crisis on cause-specific mortality in South Korea. Int J Epidemiol 34:1291–1301CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Laporte A (2004) Do economic cycles have a permanent effect on population health? Revising the Brenner hypothesis. Health Econ 13(8):767–779CrossRef Laporte A (2004) Do economic cycles have a permanent effect on population health? Revising the Brenner hypothesis. Health Econ 13(8):767–779CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Martin A, Lassman D, Whittle L, Catlin A (2011) Recession contributes to slowest annual rate of increase in health spending in five decades. Health Affair 30(1):11–22CrossRef Martin A, Lassman D, Whittle L, Catlin A (2011) Recession contributes to slowest annual rate of increase in health spending in five decades. Health Affair 30(1):11–22CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat McAvinchey I (1988) A comparison of unemployment, income, and mortality interaction for five European countries. Appl Econ 20(4):453–471CrossRef McAvinchey I (1988) A comparison of unemployment, income, and mortality interaction for five European countries. Appl Econ 20(4):453–471CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Meer J, Miller DL, Rosen HS (2003) Exploring the health-wealth nexus. J Health Econ 22(5):713–730CrossRef Meer J, Miller DL, Rosen HS (2003) Exploring the health-wealth nexus. J Health Econ 22(5):713–730CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Morand OF (2005) Economic growth, health, and longevity in the very long term: facts and mechanisms. In: Lopez-Casasnovas G, Rivera B, Currais L (eds) Health and economic growth: findings and policy implications. The MIT Press, Massachusetts, pp 239–254 Morand OF (2005) Economic growth, health, and longevity in the very long term: facts and mechanisms. In: Lopez-Casasnovas G, Rivera B, Currais L (eds) Health and economic growth: findings and policy implications. The MIT Press, Massachusetts, pp 239–254
Zurück zum Zitat Neumayer E (2004) Recessions lower (some) mortality rates: Evidence from Germany. Soc Sci Med 58:1037–1047CrossRef Neumayer E (2004) Recessions lower (some) mortality rates: Evidence from Germany. Soc Sci Med 58:1037–1047CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Ogburn WF, Thomas DS (1922) The influence of the business cycle on certain social conditions. J Am Stat Assoc 18:324–340CrossRef Ogburn WF, Thomas DS (1922) The influence of the business cycle on certain social conditions. J Am Stat Assoc 18:324–340CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Pervical DB, Walden AT (2000) Wavelet methods for time series analysis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge Pervical DB, Walden AT (2000) Wavelet methods for time series analysis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Zurück zum Zitat Ramsey JB, Lampart C (1998a) The decomposition of economic relationships by time scale using wavelets: expenditure and income. Stud Nonlinear Dyn Econ 3(1):23–42 Ramsey JB, Lampart C (1998a) The decomposition of economic relationships by time scale using wavelets: expenditure and income. Stud Nonlinear Dyn Econ 3(1):23–42
Zurück zum Zitat Ramsey JB, Lampart C (1998b) Decomposition of economic relationships by timescale using wavelet. Macroecon Dyn 2:49–71 Ramsey JB, Lampart C (1998b) Decomposition of economic relationships by timescale using wavelet. Macroecon Dyn 2:49–71
Zurück zum Zitat Ruhm CJ (2000) Are recessions good for your health? Quart J Econ 115:617–650CrossRef Ruhm CJ (2000) Are recessions good for your health? Quart J Econ 115:617–650CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Ruhm CJ (2003) Good times make you sick. J Health Econ 22(4):637–658CrossRef Ruhm CJ (2003) Good times make you sick. J Health Econ 22(4):637–658CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Ruhm CJ (2005) Healthy living in hard times. J Health Econ 24(2):341–363CrossRef Ruhm CJ (2005) Healthy living in hard times. J Health Econ 24(2):341–363CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Ruhm CJ (2007) A healthy economy can break your heart. Demography 44(4):829–848CrossRef Ruhm CJ (2007) A healthy economy can break your heart. Demography 44(4):829–848CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Schady N, Smitz M (2010) Aggregate economics shocks and infant mortality: new evidence for middle income countries. Econ Lett 108:145–148CrossRef Schady N, Smitz M (2010) Aggregate economics shocks and infant mortality: new evidence for middle income countries. Econ Lett 108:145–148CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Sevensson M (2007) Do not go breaking your heart: Do economic upturns really increase heart attack mortality? Soc Sci Med 65:833–841CrossRef Sevensson M (2007) Do not go breaking your heart: Do economic upturns really increase heart attack mortality? Soc Sci Med 65:833–841CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Sevensson M, Krüger NA (2012) Mortality and economic fluctuations: evidence from wavelet analysis for Sweden 1800–2000. J Popul Econ 25:1215–1235CrossRef Sevensson M, Krüger NA (2012) Mortality and economic fluctuations: evidence from wavelet analysis for Sweden 1800–2000. J Popul Econ 25:1215–1235CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Stanley M (2003) College education and the midcentury GI bills. Q J Econ 118(2):671–708CrossRef Stanley M (2003) College education and the midcentury GI bills. Q J Econ 118(2):671–708CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Swift R (2011) The relationship between health and GDP in OECD countries in the very long run. Health Econ 20(3):306–322CrossRef Swift R (2011) The relationship between health and GDP in OECD countries in the very long run. Health Econ 20(3):306–322CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tapia Granados JA (2005a) Recessions and mortality in Spain, 1980–1997. Eur J Popul 21:393–422CrossRef Tapia Granados JA (2005a) Recessions and mortality in Spain, 1980–1997. Eur J Popul 21:393–422CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tapia Granados JA (2005b) Increasing mortality during the expansion of the U.S. economy 1900–1996. Int J Epidemiol 34:1194–1202CrossRef Tapia Granados JA (2005b) Increasing mortality during the expansion of the U.S. economy 1900–1996. Int J Epidemiol 34:1194–1202CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tapia Granados JA (2005c) Response: on economic growth, business fluctuations, and health progress. Int J Epidemiol 34:1226–1233CrossRef Tapia Granados JA (2005c) Response: on economic growth, business fluctuations, and health progress. Int J Epidemiol 34:1226–1233CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tapia Granados JA (2008) Macroeconomic fluctuations and mortality in postwar Japan. Demography 45(2):323–343CrossRef Tapia Granados JA (2008) Macroeconomic fluctuations and mortality in postwar Japan. Demography 45(2):323–343CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tapia Granado JA (2012) Economic growth and health progress in England and Wales: 160 years of a changing relation. Soc Sci Med 74:688–695CrossRef Tapia Granado JA (2012) Economic growth and health progress in England and Wales: 160 years of a changing relation. Soc Sci Med 74:688–695CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tapia Granados JA, Ionides EL (2008) The reversal of the relation between economic growth and health progress: Sweden in the 19th and 20th centuries. J Health Econ 27(3):544–563CrossRef Tapia Granados JA, Ionides EL (2008) The reversal of the relation between economic growth and health progress: Sweden in the 19th and 20th centuries. J Health Econ 27(3):544–563CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tapia Granados JA, Diez Roux AV (2009) Life and death during the great depression. Proc Nat Acad Sci 106:17290–17295CrossRef Tapia Granados JA, Diez Roux AV (2009) Life and death during the great depression. Proc Nat Acad Sci 106:17290–17295CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tiwari AK, Mutascu M, Andries AM (2013) Decomposing time-frequency relationship between producer price and consumer price indices in Romania through wavelet analysis. Econ Model 31:151–159CrossRef Tiwari AK, Mutascu M, Andries AM (2013) Decomposing time-frequency relationship between producer price and consumer price indices in Romania through wavelet analysis. Econ Model 31:151–159CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Weil DN (2005) Econ Growth. Pearson, Boston Weil DN (2005) Econ Growth. Pearson, Boston
Zurück zum Zitat World Health Organization (2001) Macroeconomics and health: investing in health for economic development. Geneva, WHO World Health Organization (2001) Macroeconomics and health: investing in health for economic development. Geneva, WHO
Metadaten
Titel
Health progress and economic growth in the USA: the continuous wavelet analysis
verfasst von
Wen-Yi Chen
Publikationsdatum
01.05.2016
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Erschienen in
Empirical Economics / Ausgabe 3/2016
Print ISSN: 0377-7332
Elektronische ISSN: 1435-8921
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-015-0955-6

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 3/2016

Empirical Economics 3/2016 Zur Ausgabe

Premium Partner