Skip to main content
Erschienen in: Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing 5/2023

24.03.2022

Few-shot RUL estimation based on model-agnostic meta-learning

verfasst von: Yu Mo, Liang Li, Biqing Huang, Xiu Li

Erschienen in: Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing | Ausgabe 5/2023

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Data-driven remaining useful life (RUL) estimation has been a research hotspot in the prognostic and health management (PHM) of industrial equipment and systems. It can achieve predictive maintenance of machinery and rarely require prior expertise in prognostics and signal processing. However, the data-driven methods require sufficient training data, which is difficult to acquire. In this paper, we employ the model-agnostic meta-learning (MAML) algorithm to seek suitable model parameter initialization that can rapidly adapt to the given test sample with few-shot training samples. We also propose to build pseudo-meta-RUL task sets for meta-learning by calculating time sequence similarities. To further improve the applicability of the model, we extend the proposed method from few-shot conditions to general conditions. We conduct experiments on the C-MAPSS dataset and the results show that the proposed algorithm can improve the prediction performance and enhance the generalization ability of the model in the context of few-shot conditions and general conditions.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Andrychowicz, M., Denil, M., Gomez, S., et al. (2016). Learning to learn by gradient descent by gradient descent. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 29, 1–10. Andrychowicz, M., Denil, M., Gomez, S., et al. (2016). Learning to learn by gradient descent by gradient descent. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 29, 1–10.
Zurück zum Zitat Camci, F., & Chinnam, R. B. (2010). Health-state estimation and prognostics in machining processes. IEEE Transactions on Automation Science and Engineering, 7(3), 581–597.CrossRef Camci, F., & Chinnam, R. B. (2010). Health-state estimation and prognostics in machining processes. IEEE Transactions on Automation Science and Engineering, 7(3), 581–597.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Chen, J., Jing, H., Chang, Y., et al. (2019). Gated recurrent unit based recurrent neural network for remaining useful life prediction of nonlinear deterioration process. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 185, 372–382.CrossRef Chen, J., Jing, H., Chang, Y., et al. (2019). Gated recurrent unit based recurrent neural network for remaining useful life prediction of nonlinear deterioration process. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 185, 372–382.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Da Costa, PRd. O., Akçay, A., Zhang, Y., et al. (2020). Remaining useful lifetime prediction via deep domain adaptation. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 195(106), 682. Da Costa, PRd. O., Akçay, A., Zhang, Y., et al. (2020). Remaining useful lifetime prediction via deep domain adaptation. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 195(106), 682.
Zurück zum Zitat Diamanti, K., & Soutis, C. (2010). Structural health monitoring techniques for aircraft composite structures. Progress in Aerospace Sciences, 46(8), 342–352.CrossRef Diamanti, K., & Soutis, C. (2010). Structural health monitoring techniques for aircraft composite structures. Progress in Aerospace Sciences, 46(8), 342–352.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Eker, O. F., Camci, F., Guclu, A., et al. (2011). A simple state-based prognostic model for railway turnout systems. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics, 58(5), 1718–1726.CrossRef Eker, O. F., Camci, F., Guclu, A., et al. (2011). A simple state-based prognostic model for railway turnout systems. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics, 58(5), 1718–1726.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Eker, OF., Camci, F., & Jennions, IK. (2012). Major challenges in prognostics: Study on benchmarking prognostics datasets. In PHM Society European Conference. Eker, OF., Camci, F., & Jennions, IK. (2012). Major challenges in prognostics: Study on benchmarking prognostics datasets. In PHM Society European Conference.
Zurück zum Zitat Esteban, C., Hyland, SL., & Rätsch, G. (2017). Real-valued (medical) time series generation with recurrent conditional gans. arXiv:1706.02633. Esteban, C., Hyland, SL., & Rätsch, G. (2017). Real-valued (medical) time series generation with recurrent conditional gans. arXiv:​1706.​02633.
Zurück zum Zitat Fan, Y., Nowaczyk, S., & Rögnvaldsson, T. (2020). Transfer learning for remaining useful life prediction based on consensus self-organizing models. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 203(107), 098. Fan, Y., Nowaczyk, S., & Rögnvaldsson, T. (2020). Transfer learning for remaining useful life prediction based on consensus self-organizing models. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 203(107), 098.
Zurück zum Zitat Finn, C., Abbeel, P., & Levine, S. (2017). Model-agnostic meta-learning for fast adaptation of deep networks. In International Conference on Machine Learning, PMLR, pp. 1126–1135. Finn, C., Abbeel, P., & Levine, S. (2017). Model-agnostic meta-learning for fast adaptation of deep networks. In International Conference on Machine Learning, PMLR, pp. 1126–1135.
Zurück zum Zitat Ganin, Y., Ustinova, E., Ajakan, H., et al. (2016). Domain-adversarial training of neural networks. The Journal of Machine Learning Research, 17(1), 2030–2096. Ganin, Y., Ustinova, E., Ajakan, H., et al. (2016). Domain-adversarial training of neural networks. The Journal of Machine Learning Research, 17(1), 2030–2096.
Zurück zum Zitat Gebraeel, N., Elwany, A., & Pan, J. (2009). Residual life predictions in the absence of prior degradation knowledge. IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 58(1), 106–117.CrossRef Gebraeel, N., Elwany, A., & Pan, J. (2009). Residual life predictions in the absence of prior degradation knowledge. IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 58(1), 106–117.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat He, K., Zhang, X., & Ren, S., et al (2016). Deep residual learning for image recognition. In Proceedings of the IEEE conference on computer vision and pattern recognition, pp. 770–778. He, K., Zhang, X., & Ren, S., et al (2016). Deep residual learning for image recognition. In Proceedings of the IEEE conference on computer vision and pattern recognition, pp. 770–778.
Zurück zum Zitat Heimes, FO. (2008). Recurrent neural networks for remaining useful life estimation. In 2008 International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management, IEEE, pp 1–6. Heimes, FO. (2008). Recurrent neural networks for remaining useful life estimation. In 2008 International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management, IEEE, pp 1–6.
Zurück zum Zitat Kacprzynski, G., Sarlashkar, A., Roemer, M., et al. (2004). Predicting remaining life by fusing the physics of failure modeling with diagnostics. JOM, 56(3), 29–35.CrossRef Kacprzynski, G., Sarlashkar, A., Roemer, M., et al. (2004). Predicting remaining life by fusing the physics of failure modeling with diagnostics. JOM, 56(3), 29–35.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kothamasu, R., Huang, S. H., & VerDuin, W. H. (2006). System health monitoring and prognostics—A review of current paradigms and practices. The International Journal of Advanced Manufacturing Technology, 28(9), 1012–1024.CrossRef Kothamasu, R., Huang, S. H., & VerDuin, W. H. (2006). System health monitoring and prognostics—A review of current paradigms and practices. The International Journal of Advanced Manufacturing Technology, 28(9), 1012–1024.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Li, Q., Gao, Z., Tang, D., et al. (2016). Remaining useful life estimation for deteriorating systems with time-varying operational conditions and condition-specific failure zones. Chinese Journal of Aeronautics, 29(3), 662–674.CrossRef Li, Q., Gao, Z., Tang, D., et al. (2016). Remaining useful life estimation for deteriorating systems with time-varying operational conditions and condition-specific failure zones. Chinese Journal of Aeronautics, 29(3), 662–674.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Li, X., Ding, Q., & Sun, J. Q. (2018). Remaining useful life estimation in prognostics using deep convolution neural networks. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 172, 1–11.CrossRef Li, X., Ding, Q., & Sun, J. Q. (2018). Remaining useful life estimation in prognostics using deep convolution neural networks. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 172, 1–11.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Malhi, A., Yan, R., & Gao, R. X. (2011). Prognosis of defect propagation based on recurrent neural networks. IEEE Transactions on Instrumentation and Measurement, 60(3), 703–711.CrossRef Malhi, A., Yan, R., & Gao, R. X. (2011). Prognosis of defect propagation based on recurrent neural networks. IEEE Transactions on Instrumentation and Measurement, 60(3), 703–711.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Mi, F., Huang, M., & Zhang, J., et al (2019). Meta-learning for low-resource natural language generation in task-oriented dialogue systems. arXiv:1905.05644. Mi, F., Huang, M., & Zhang, J., et al (2019). Meta-learning for low-resource natural language generation in task-oriented dialogue systems. arXiv:​1905.​05644.
Zurück zum Zitat Mo, Y., Wu, Q., Li, X., et al. (2021). Remaining useful life estimation via transformer encoder enhanced by a gated convolutional unit. Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, 32(7), 1997–2006.CrossRef Mo, Y., Wu, Q., Li, X., et al. (2021). Remaining useful life estimation via transformer encoder enhanced by a gated convolutional unit. Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, 32(7), 1997–2006.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Naik, D. K., & Mammone, R. J. (1992). Meta-neural networks that learn by learning. In [Proceedings 1992] IJCNN International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, IEEE, pp. 437–442. Naik, D. K., & Mammone, R. J. (1992). Meta-neural networks that learn by learning. In [Proceedings 1992] IJCNN International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, IEEE, pp. 437–442.
Zurück zum Zitat Nieto, P. G., García-Gonzalo, E., Lasheras, F. S., et al. (2015). Hybrid pso-svm-based method for forecasting of the remaining useful life for aircraft engines and evaluation of its reliability. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 138, 219–231.CrossRef Nieto, P. G., García-Gonzalo, E., Lasheras, F. S., et al. (2015). Hybrid pso-svm-based method for forecasting of the remaining useful life for aircraft engines and evaluation of its reliability. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 138, 219–231.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Oppenheimer, CH., & Loparo, KA. (2002). Physically based diagnosis and prognosis of cracked rotor shafts. In Component and Systems Diagnostics, Prognostics, and Health Management II, SPIE, pp 122–132. Oppenheimer, CH., & Loparo, KA. (2002). Physically based diagnosis and prognosis of cracked rotor shafts. In Component and Systems Diagnostics, Prognostics, and Health Management II, SPIE, pp 122–132.
Zurück zum Zitat Pan, S. J., & Yang, Q. (2009). A survey on transfer learning. IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering, 22(10), 1345–1359.CrossRef Pan, S. J., & Yang, Q. (2009). A survey on transfer learning. IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering, 22(10), 1345–1359.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Pan, S. J., Tsang, I. W., Kwok, J. T., et al. (2010). Domain adaptation via transfer component analysis. IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks, 22(2), 199–210.CrossRef Pan, S. J., Tsang, I. W., Kwok, J. T., et al. (2010). Domain adaptation via transfer component analysis. IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks, 22(2), 199–210.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Peng, Y., Dong, M., & Zuo, M. J. (2010). Current status of machine prognostics in condition-based maintenance: A review. The International Journal of Advanced Manufacturing Technology, 50(1), 297–313.CrossRef Peng, Y., Dong, M., & Zuo, M. J. (2010). Current status of machine prognostics in condition-based maintenance: A review. The International Journal of Advanced Manufacturing Technology, 50(1), 297–313.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Ragab, M., Chen, Z., Wu, M., & et al (2020). Adversarial transfer learning for machine remaining useful life prediction. In 2020 IEEE International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management (ICPHM), IEEE, pp. 1–7. Ragab, M., Chen, Z., Wu, M., & et al (2020). Adversarial transfer learning for machine remaining useful life prediction. In 2020 IEEE International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management (ICPHM), IEEE, pp. 1–7.
Zurück zum Zitat Ramasso, E. (2014). Investigating computational geometry for failure prognostics in presence of imprecise health indicator: Results and comparisons on c-mapss datasets. In PHM Society European Conference. Ramasso, E. (2014). Investigating computational geometry for failure prognostics in presence of imprecise health indicator: Results and comparisons on c-mapss datasets. In PHM Society European Conference.
Zurück zum Zitat Ren, L., Sun, Y., Wang, H., et al. (2018). Prediction of bearing remaining useful life with deep convolution neural network. IEEE Access, 6, 13041–13049.CrossRef Ren, L., Sun, Y., Wang, H., et al. (2018). Prediction of bearing remaining useful life with deep convolution neural network. IEEE Access, 6, 13041–13049.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Sakoe, H. (1971). Dynamic-programming approach to continuous speech recognition. In 1971 Proceedings of the International Congress of Acoustics, Budapest. Sakoe, H. (1971). Dynamic-programming approach to continuous speech recognition. In 1971 Proceedings of the International Congress of Acoustics, Budapest.
Zurück zum Zitat Saxena, A., & Goebel, K. (2008). Turbofan engine degradation simulation data set. NASA Ames Prognostics Data Repository pp 1551–3203. Saxena, A., & Goebel, K. (2008). Turbofan engine degradation simulation data set. NASA Ames Prognostics Data Repository pp 1551–3203.
Zurück zum Zitat Saxena, A., Goebel, K., Simon, D., & et al. (2008). Damage propagation modeling for aircraft engine run-to-failure simulation. In 2008 International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management, IEEE, pp 1–9. Saxena, A., Goebel, K., Simon, D., & et al. (2008). Damage propagation modeling for aircraft engine run-to-failure simulation. In 2008 International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management, IEEE, pp 1–9.
Zurück zum Zitat Si, X. S., Wang, W., Hu, C. H., et al. (2011). Remaining useful life estimation: A review on the statistical data driven approaches. European Journal of Operational Research, 213(1), 1–14.CrossRef Si, X. S., Wang, W., Hu, C. H., et al. (2011). Remaining useful life estimation: A review on the statistical data driven approaches. European Journal of Operational Research, 213(1), 1–14.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Soh, SS., Radzi, NH., & Haron, H. (2012). Review on scheduling techniques of preventive maintenance activities of railway. In 2012 Fourth International Conference on Computational Intelligence, Modelling and Simulation, IEEE, pp 310–315. Soh, SS., Radzi, NH., & Haron, H. (2012). Review on scheduling techniques of preventive maintenance activities of railway. In 2012 Fourth International Conference on Computational Intelligence, Modelling and Simulation, IEEE, pp 310–315.
Zurück zum Zitat Sun, B., Feng, J., & Saenko, K. (2017). Correlation alignment for unsupervised domain adaptation. In: Domain Adaptation in Computer Vision Applications. Springer, p 153–171. Sun, B., Feng, J., & Saenko, K. (2017). Correlation alignment for unsupervised domain adaptation. In: Domain Adaptation in Computer Vision Applications. Springer, p 153–171.
Zurück zum Zitat Tobon-Mejia, D. A., Medjaher, K., Zerhouni, N., et al. (2012). A data-driven failure prognostics method based on mixture of gaussians hidden Markov models. IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 61(2), 491–503.CrossRef Tobon-Mejia, D. A., Medjaher, K., Zerhouni, N., et al. (2012). A data-driven failure prognostics method based on mixture of gaussians hidden Markov models. IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 61(2), 491–503.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Vaswani, A., Shazeer, N., Parmar, N., et al. (2017). Attention is all you need. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 30, 1–10. Vaswani, A., Shazeer, N., Parmar, N., et al. (2017). Attention is all you need. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 30, 1–10.
Zurück zum Zitat Velichko, V., & Zagoruyko, N. (1970). Automatic recognition of 200 words. International Journal of Man-Machine Studies, 2(3), 223–234.CrossRef Velichko, V., & Zagoruyko, N. (1970). Automatic recognition of 200 words. International Journal of Man-Machine Studies, 2(3), 223–234.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Vinyals, O., Blundell, C., Lillicrap, T., et al. (2016). Matching networks for one shot learning. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 29, 1–10. Vinyals, O., Blundell, C., Lillicrap, T., et al. (2016). Matching networks for one shot learning. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 29, 1–10.
Zurück zum Zitat Wang, C., Lu, N., Wang, S., et al. (2018). Dynamic long short-term memory neural-network-based indirect remaining-useful-life prognosis for satellite lithium-ion battery. Applied Sciences, 8(11), 2078.CrossRef Wang, C., Lu, N., Wang, S., et al. (2018). Dynamic long short-term memory neural-network-based indirect remaining-useful-life prognosis for satellite lithium-ion battery. Applied Sciences, 8(11), 2078.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Wang, Y., Yao, Q., Kwok, J. T., et al. (2020). Generalizing from a few examples: A survey on few-shot learning. ACM Computing Surveys (csur), 53(3), 1–34.CrossRef Wang, Y., Yao, Q., Kwok, J. T., et al. (2020). Generalizing from a few examples: A survey on few-shot learning. ACM Computing Surveys (csur), 53(3), 1–34.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Wen, T., & Keyes, R. (2019). Time series anomaly detection using convolutional neural networks and transfer learning. arXiv:1905.13628. Wen, T., & Keyes, R. (2019). Time series anomaly detection using convolutional neural networks and transfer learning. arXiv:​1905.​13628.
Zurück zum Zitat Wu, Q., Ding, K., & Huang, B. (2020). Approach for fault prognosis using recurrent neural network. Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, 31(7), 1621–1633.CrossRef Wu, Q., Ding, K., & Huang, B. (2020). Approach for fault prognosis using recurrent neural network. Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, 31(7), 1621–1633.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Xu, X., Wu, Q., Li, X., et al. (2020). Dilated convolution neural network for remaining useful life prediction. Journal of Computing and Information Science in Engineering, 20(2), 021004.CrossRef Xu, X., Wu, Q., Li, X., et al. (2020). Dilated convolution neural network for remaining useful life prediction. Journal of Computing and Information Science in Engineering, 20(2), 021004.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Yoon, J., Jarrett, D., & Vander Schaar, M. (2019). Time-series generative adversarial networks. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 32, 1–10. Yoon, J., Jarrett, D., & Vander Schaar, M. (2019). Time-series generative adversarial networks. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 32, 1–10.
Zurück zum Zitat Yu, J. (2017). Aircraft engine health prognostics based on logistic regression with penalization regularization and state-space-based degradation framework. Aerospace Science and Technology, 68, 345–361.CrossRef Yu, J. (2017). Aircraft engine health prognostics based on logistic regression with penalization regularization and state-space-based degradation framework. Aerospace Science and Technology, 68, 345–361.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Yuan, M., Wu, Y., & Lin, L. (2016). Fault diagnosis and remaining useful life estimation of aero engine using lstm neural network. In 2016 IEEE international conference on aircraft utility systems (AUS), IEEE, pp 135–140 Yuan, M., Wu, Y., & Lin, L. (2016). Fault diagnosis and remaining useful life estimation of aero engine using lstm neural network. In 2016 IEEE international conference on aircraft utility systems (AUS), IEEE, pp 135–140
Zurück zum Zitat Zhang, A., Wang, H., Li, S., et al. (2018). Transfer learning with deep recurrent neural networks for remaining useful life estimation. Applied Sciences, 8(12), 2416.CrossRef Zhang, A., Wang, H., Li, S., et al. (2018). Transfer learning with deep recurrent neural networks for remaining useful life estimation. Applied Sciences, 8(12), 2416.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Zhang, C., Lim, P., Qin, A. K., et al. (2016). Multiobjective deep belief networks ensemble for remaining useful life estimation in prognostics. IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems, 28(10), 2306–2318.CrossRef Zhang, C., Lim, P., Qin, A. K., et al. (2016). Multiobjective deep belief networks ensemble for remaining useful life estimation in prognostics. IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems, 28(10), 2306–2318.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Zheng, S., Ristovski, K., & Farahat, A., et al. (2017). Long short-term memory network for remaining useful life estimation. In 2017 IEEE International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management (ICPHM), IEEE, pp. 88–95. Zheng, S., Ristovski, K., & Farahat, A., et al. (2017). Long short-term memory network for remaining useful life estimation. In 2017 IEEE International Conference on Prognostics and Health Management (ICPHM), IEEE, pp. 88–95.
Metadaten
Titel
Few-shot RUL estimation based on model-agnostic meta-learning
verfasst von
Yu Mo
Liang Li
Biqing Huang
Xiu Li
Publikationsdatum
24.03.2022
Verlag
Springer US
Erschienen in
Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing / Ausgabe 5/2023
Print ISSN: 0956-5515
Elektronische ISSN: 1572-8145
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10845-022-01929-w

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 5/2023

Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing 5/2023 Zur Ausgabe

    Marktübersichten

    Die im Laufe eines Jahres in der „adhäsion“ veröffentlichten Marktübersichten helfen Anwendern verschiedenster Branchen, sich einen gezielten Überblick über Lieferantenangebote zu verschaffen.