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Erschienen in: Water Resources Management 1/2022

19.11.2021

Separation of the Impact of Landuse/Landcover Change and Climate Change on Runoff in the Upstream Area of the Yangtze River, China

verfasst von: Naveed Ahmed, Genxu Wang, Martijn J. Booij, Sun Xiangyang, Fiaz Hussain, Ghulam Nabi

Erschienen in: Water Resources Management | Ausgabe 1/2022

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Abstract

Landuse/landcover change (LULCC) and climate change (CC) impacts on streamflow in high elevated catchments are very important for sustainable management of water resources and ecological developments. In this research, a statistical technique was used in combination with the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to the Upstream Area of the Yangtze River (UAYR). Different performance criteria (e.g., R2, NSE, and PBIAS) were used to evaluate the acceptability of the model simulation results. The model provided satisfactory results for monthly simulations in the calibration (R2; 0.80, NSE; 0.78 and PBIAS; 22.3%) and the validation period (R2; 0.89, NSE; 0.75 and PBIAS; 19.1%). Major landuse/landcover transformations from 1990 to 2005 have occurred from low grassland to medium grassland (2%) and wetlands (0.9%), bare land to medium grassland (0.2%), glaciers to wetland (16.8%), and high grassland to medium grassland (5.8%). The results show that there is an increase in average annual runoff at the Zhimenda station in UAYR by 15 mm of, which approximately 98% is caused by climate change and only 2% by landuse/landcover change. The changes evapotranspiration are larger due to climate change as compared to landuse/landcover change, particularly from August to October. Precipitation and temperature have increased during these months. On the contrary, there has been a decrease in evapotranspiration and runoff from October to March which depicts the intra-annual variations in the vegetation in the study area.

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Metadaten
Titel
Separation of the Impact of Landuse/Landcover Change and Climate Change on Runoff in the Upstream Area of the Yangtze River, China
verfasst von
Naveed Ahmed
Genxu Wang
Martijn J. Booij
Sun Xiangyang
Fiaz Hussain
Ghulam Nabi
Publikationsdatum
19.11.2021
Verlag
Springer Netherlands
Erschienen in
Water Resources Management / Ausgabe 1/2022
Print ISSN: 0920-4741
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-1650
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-021-03021-z

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