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Erschienen in: Mathematics and Financial Economics 2/2016

01.03.2016

On volatility smile and an investment strategy with out-of-the-money calls

verfasst von: Jarno Talponen

Erschienen in: Mathematics and Financial Economics | Ausgabe 2/2016

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Abstract

A motivating question in this paper is whether a sensible investment strategy may systematically contain long positions in out-of-the-money European calls with a short expiry. Here we consider a very simple trading strategy for calls. The main points of this paper are the following. First, the presented trading strategy appears very lucrative in the Black–Scholes–Merton (BSM) framework. In fact, to such an extent that the BSM model turns out to be, in a sense, incompatible with the CAPM. Second, if one wishes to adapt these models together, then the adjustment of the consistent pricing rule (i.e. modifying state price densities) inevitably leads to some form of volatility smile, which is the main point of the paper. Moreover, these observations arise from purely structural considerations and only one hypothetical equity or equity index with many European options on it (such as S&P500) is required.

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Fußnoten
1
For example in [23] pp. 54–65 the compatibility of CAPM and BSM models is discussed in several occurrences.
 
2
See ‘Beta vs. Implied Volatility statistical arbitrage using options’, in http://​quant.​stackexchange.​com.
 
3
Also, Black and Scholes applied CAPM in their seminal paper to give an alternative derivation of their option valuation formula. This, per se, does not guarantee the general compatibility of these pricing frameworks.
 
4
See ArXiv/math for an earlier more elaborate version of the manuscript.
 
5
It is useful to think of the definition of differential and \(h=1/i,\,i\) being a large natural number.
 
6
Roughly speaking, in most holding periods the payoff is completely uncorrelated with the market because it is null.
 
7
The obvious distortions in distributions resulting e.g. from the limited losses are typically shared by models of equity value.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
On volatility smile and an investment strategy with out-of-the-money calls
verfasst von
Jarno Talponen
Publikationsdatum
01.03.2016
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Erschienen in
Mathematics and Financial Economics / Ausgabe 2/2016
Print ISSN: 1862-9679
Elektronische ISSN: 1862-9660
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11579-015-0152-6

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