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Erschienen in:
Introduction to Fluid Mechanics Kapitel lesen Erstes Kapitel lesen

2016 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

76. Uncertainty

verfasst von : Kathy A. Notarianni, Gareth W. Parry

Erschienen in: SFPE Handbook of Fire Protection Engineering

Verlag: Springer New York

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Abstract

To provide fire protection engineering decisions that are meaningful and defendable, the practitioner must understand and be able to characterize the impact of uncertainty on fire safety engineering calculations. This requirement is true for all fire safety engineering calculations, whether conducted to meet a performance-based code, to aid in the establishment of a prescriptive requirement; to compare a performance option to its prescriptive counterpart; or as part of a fire risk analysis used in managing a complex facility, such as a nuclear power plant. At present, however, there is no clear guidance for the treatment of uncertainty in the use of fire safety engineering calculations to support decision making. Development of such guidance will assist engineers and architects in the design process; assist code officials by increasing confidence in the acceptance of a performance calculation; aid researchers in prioritizing enhancements to both the physics and structure of fire models; and aid policy makers by incorporating scientific knowledge and technical predictive abilities in policy decisions. It is essential for the application of risk analysis in the regulation and management of complex facilities.

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Vorheriges Kapitel Building Fire Risk Analysis
Nächstes Kapitel Decision Analysis
Fußnoten
1
A draft curtain is a barrier that extends a certain vertical distance down from the roof or ceiling. Draft curtains are installed to subdivide a large area with the intent of corralling the heat and smoke.
 
2
The term worst-case scenario is used in this chapter to represent both worst-case and reasonable worst-case scenarios as understood in the fire protection design field.
 
3
There are many sampling techniques. Monte Carlo is a well-accepted sampling method that has certain statistical advantages but may not be the best choice in all cases.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
Uncertainty
verfasst von
Kathy A. Notarianni
Gareth W. Parry
Copyright-Jahr
2016
Verlag
Springer New York
Buch
SFPE Handbook of Fire Protection Engineering

Print ISBN: 978-1-4939-2564-3

Electronic ISBN: 978-1-4939-2565-0

Copyright-Jahr: 2016

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4939-2565-0_76