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Erschienen in: Asia-Pacific Financial Markets 3/2020

02.01.2020 | Original Research

US Economic Policy Uncertainty and GCC Stock Market

verfasst von: Abdullah Alqahtani, Miguel Martinez

Erschienen in: Asia-Pacific Financial Markets | Ausgabe 3/2020

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Abstract

This study contributes to the scant finance literature on emerging countries by examining the relationship between economic policy uncertainty and monthly indices of Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets during the period of July 2004 to August 2018. Both U.S. and global economic policy uncertainties exert significant and negative long run influence on stock prices in Bahrain and Kuwait. The impact of U.S. economic policy risk, however, is relatively stronger. Other stock markets in the GCC region, on the other hand, are not affected by U.S. and global economic policy uncertainty. These markets present a sound alternative for international portfolio diversification when the global economic policy uncertainty is on the rise.

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Fußnoten
1
For instance, the average oil rents of each GCC member state are diverse over the past decade. While Kuwait and Saudi Arabia recorded the highest oil rent to GDP ratios (0.497 and 0.399, respectively), Bahrain has an average oil rent to GDP ratio of 0.036 (World Bank, 2019). In term of financial market openness, every GCC countries permitted up to 100% foreign ownership of shares of listed companies as of 2018, except for Saudi Arabia (Arab Monetary Fund 2018).
 
2
The ARDL results of other countries and regional stock index are not reported here, as there is no cointegration found in these countries. However, the results are available upon request.
 
3
As pointed out by one of the reviewers, the similar responses of Bahraini and Kuwaiti stock markets to the U.S. and global EPU coincide with the highly positive pairwise correlation of Bahraini and Kuwaiti stock prices.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
US Economic Policy Uncertainty and GCC Stock Market
verfasst von
Abdullah Alqahtani
Miguel Martinez
Publikationsdatum
02.01.2020
Verlag
Springer Japan
Erschienen in
Asia-Pacific Financial Markets / Ausgabe 3/2020
Print ISSN: 1387-2834
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-6946
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10690-019-09300-5

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