Skip to main content
Erschienen in: Social Network Analysis and Mining 1/2021

01.12.2021 | Original Paper

World War III analysis using signed social networks

verfasst von: Ranjana Roy Chowdhury, Shivam Gupta, Sravanthi Chede

Erschienen in: Social Network Analysis and Mining | Ausgabe 1/2021

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

In the recent period of time with a lot of social platforms emerging, the relationships among various units can be framed with respect to either positive, negative or no relation. These units can be individuals, countries or others that form the basic structural component of a signed network. These signed networks picture a dynamic characteristic of the graph so formed allowing only few combinations of signs that brings the structural balance theorem in picture. Structural balance theory affirms that signed social networks tend to be organized so as to avoid conflictual situations, corresponding to cycles of unstable relations. The aim of structural balance in networks is to find proper partitions of nodes that guarantee equilibrium in the system allowing only few combination triangles with signed edges to be permitted in graph. Most of the works in this field of networking have either explained the importance of signed graph or have applied the balance theorem and tried to solve problems. Following the recent time trends with each nation emerging to be superior and competing to be the best, the probable doubt of happening of World War III (WW III) comes into every individuals mind. Nevertheless, our paper aims at answering some of the interesting questions on WW III. In this paper, we have worked with the creation of a signed graph picturing the WW III participating countries as nodes and have predicted the best possible coalition of countries that will be formed during war. Also, we have visually depicted the number of communities that will be formed in this war and the participating countries in each communities. Our paper involves extensive analysis on the various parameters influencing the above predictions and also creation of a new dataset of World War III that contains the pairwise relationship data of countries with various parameters influencing prediction. This paper also validates and analyzes the predicted result.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Fußnoten
1
https://tradingeconomics.com/about-te.aspx, Y1 (online). Available: https://​tradingeconomics​.​com/​about-te.​aspx
 
2
https://oec.world/en/resources/about, Y2 (online). Available: 3.https://oec.world/en/resources/about
 
3
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_diplomatic_missions_of_India, Y3 (online). Available: https://​en.​wikipedia.​org/​wiki/​List_​of_​diplomatic_​missions_​of_​India
 
4
https://worldpopulationreview.com/countries, Y9 (online). Available: https://​worldpopulationr​eview.​com/​countries
 
5
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Buddhism_and_violence, Y11 (online). Available: https://​en.​wikipedia.​org/​wiki/​Buddhism_​and_​violence
 
6
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vvyn\(_8\)mpqYg, Y12 (online). Available: https://​www.​youtube.​com/​watch?​v=​Vvyn_​8mpqYg
 
7
https://www.cfr.org/interactives/sunni-shia-divide, Y13 (online). Available: https://​www.​cfr.​org/​interactives/​sunni-shia-divide#/​
 
8
https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/fikraforum/view/religion-and-the-israel-palestinian-conflict-cause-consequence-and-cure, Y15 (online). Available: https://​www.​washingtoninstit​ute.​org/​fikraforum/​view/​religion-and-the-israel-palestinian-conflict-cause-consequence-and-cure
 
9
https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/news/articles/moral-equivalence-is-our-new-religion, Y16 (online). Available: https://​www.​tabletmag.​com/​sections/​news/​articles/​moral-equivalence-is-our-new-religion
 
10
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catholic_Church_and_Judaism, Y17 (online). Available: https://​en.​wikipedia.​org/​wiki/​Catholic_​Church_​and_​Judaism
 
12
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_wars_involving_India, Y4 (online). Available: https://​en.​wikipedia.​org/​wiki/​List_​of_​wars_​involving_​India
 
13
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open_border, Y5 (online). Available: https://​en.​wikipedia.​org/​wiki/​Open_​border
 
14
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_treaties, Y6 (online). Available: https://​en.​wikipedia.​org/​wiki/​List_​of_​treaties
 
15
https://fixer.io/about, Y7 (online). Available: https://​fixer.​io/​about
 
16
https://www.icj-cij.org/en/list-of-all-cases, Y8 (online). Available: https://​www.​icj-cij.​org/​en/​list-of-all-cases
 
17
https://github.com/worldWarIII-scomp/WorldWarIII_Scomp
 
Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Aref S (2019) Signed network structural analysis and applications with a focus on balance theory. CoRR, vol abs/1901.06845 (online). Available: arXiv: 1901.06845 Aref S (2019) Signed network structural analysis and applications with a focus on balance theory. CoRR, vol abs/1901.06845 (online). Available: arXiv:​ 1901.​06845
Zurück zum Zitat Richards W (2011) Social network models. In: 2011 IEEE third international conference on privacy, security, risk and trust and 2011 IEEE third international conference on social computing, pp 564–567 Richards W (2011) Social network models. In: 2011 IEEE third international conference on privacy, security, risk and trust and 2011 IEEE third international conference on social computing, pp 564–567
Zurück zum Zitat Aarstad J, Ness H, Haugland SA (2013) In what ways are small-world and scale-free networks interrelated?. In: 2013 IEEE international conference on industrial technology (ICIT), pp 1483–1487 Aarstad J, Ness H, Haugland SA (2013) In what ways are small-world and scale-free networks interrelated?. In: 2013 IEEE international conference on industrial technology (ICIT), pp 1483–1487
Zurück zum Zitat David E, Jon K (2010) Networks, crowds, and markets: reasoning about a highly connected world. Cambridge University Press, CambridgeMATH David E, Jon K (2010) Networks, crowds, and markets: reasoning about a highly connected world. Cambridge University Press, CambridgeMATH
Zurück zum Zitat Doreian P, Mrvar A (2015) Structural balance and signed international relations. J Soc Struct 16:1CrossRef Doreian P, Mrvar A (2015) Structural balance and signed international relations. J Soc Struct 16:1CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Galimberti E, Madeddu C, Bonchi F, Ruffo G (2019) Visualizing structural balance in signed networks. In: Complex networks and their applications VIII—volume 2 proceedings of the eighth international conference on complex networks and their applications complex networks 2019, Lisbon, Portugal. 10–12 Dec 2019. Cherifi H, Gaito S, Mendes JF, Moro E, Rocha LM (eds) Series Studies in computational intelligence, vol 882, pp. 53–65. Springer (online). Available: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-36683-4_5 Galimberti E, Madeddu C, Bonchi F, Ruffo G (2019) Visualizing structural balance in signed networks. In: Complex networks and their applications VIII—volume 2 proceedings of the eighth international conference on complex networks and their applications complex networks 2019, Lisbon, Portugal. 10–12 Dec 2019. Cherifi H, Gaito S, Mendes JF, Moro E, Rocha LM (eds) Series Studies in computational intelligence, vol 882, pp. 53–65. Springer (online). Available: https://​doi.​org/​10.​1007/​978-3-030-36683-4_​5
Zurück zum Zitat Tzeng R-C, Ordozgoiti B, Gionis A (2020) Discovering conflicting groups in signed networks. Adv Neural Inf Process Syst, vol 33 Tzeng R-C, Ordozgoiti B, Gionis A (2020) Discovering conflicting groups in signed networks. Adv Neural Inf Process Syst, vol 33
Zurück zum Zitat Aref S, Neal Z (2020) Detecting coalitions by optimally partitioning signed networks of political collaboration. Sci Rep 10(1):1–10CrossRef Aref S, Neal Z (2020) Detecting coalitions by optimally partitioning signed networks of political collaboration. Sci Rep 10(1):1–10CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Doreian P, Mrvar A (2009) Partitioning signed social networks. Social Netw 31(1):1–11CrossRef Doreian P, Mrvar A (2009) Partitioning signed social networks. Social Netw 31(1):1–11CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Wang S, Liu J, Jin Y (2020) Robust structural balance in signed networks using a multiobjective evolutionary algorithm. IEEE Comput Intell Mag 15(2):24–35MathSciNetCrossRef Wang S, Liu J, Jin Y (2020) Robust structural balance in signed networks using a multiobjective evolutionary algorithm. IEEE Comput Intell Mag 15(2):24–35MathSciNetCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Morrison M, Gabbay M (2019) Community detectability and structural balance dynamics in signed networks. CoRR, vol abs/1912.07772, 2019 (online). Available: arXiv: 1912.07772 Morrison M, Gabbay M (2019) Community detectability and structural balance dynamics in signed networks. CoRR, vol abs/1912.07772, 2019 (online). Available: arXiv:​ 1912.​07772
Zurück zum Zitat Fang L, Yang Q, Wang J, Lei W (2016) Signed network label propagation algorithm with structural balance degree for community detection. In Inclusive smart cities and digital health—14th international conference on smart homes and health telematics, ICOST 2016, Wuhan, China, 25–27 May 2016. Proceedings. Chang CK, Chiari L, Cao Y, Jin H, Mokhtari M, Aloulou H (eds) series Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 9677. Springer, 2016, pp 427–435 (online). Available: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-39601-9_38 Fang L, Yang Q, Wang J, Lei W (2016) Signed network label propagation algorithm with structural balance degree for community detection. In Inclusive smart cities and digital health—14th international conference on smart homes and health telematics, ICOST 2016, Wuhan, China, 25–27 May 2016. Proceedings. Chang CK, Chiari L, Cao Y, Jin H, Mokhtari M, Aloulou H (eds) series Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 9677. Springer, 2016, pp 427–435 (online). Available: https://​doi.​org/​10.​1007/​978-3-319-39601-9_​38
Zurück zum Zitat Anchuri P, Magdon-Ismail M (2012) Communities and balance in signed networks: a spectral approach. In: 2012 IEEE/ACM international conference on advances in social networks analysis and mining, IEEE, 2012, pp 235–242 Anchuri P, Magdon-Ismail M (2012) Communities and balance in signed networks: a spectral approach. In: 2012 IEEE/ACM international conference on advances in social networks analysis and mining, IEEE, 2012, pp 235–242
Zurück zum Zitat Chu L, Wang Z, Pei J, Wang J, Zhao Z, Chen E (2016) Finding gangs in war from signed networks. In Krishnapuram B, Shah M, Smola AJ, Aggarwal CC, Shen D, Rastogi R (eds) Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD international conference on knowledge discovery and data mining, San Francisco, CA, USA, 13–17 Aug 2016, ACM, 2016, pp 1505–1514 (online). Available: https://doi.org/10.1145/2939672.2939855 Chu L, Wang Z, Pei J, Wang J, Zhao Z, Chen E (2016) Finding gangs in war from signed networks. In Krishnapuram B, Shah M, Smola AJ, Aggarwal CC, Shen D, Rastogi R (eds) Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD international conference on knowledge discovery and data mining, San Francisco, CA, USA, 13–17 Aug 2016, ACM, 2016, pp 1505–1514 (online). Available: https://​doi.​org/​10.​1145/​2939672.​2939855
Zurück zum Zitat Murthy RS, Lakshminarayana R (2006) Mental health consequences of war: a brief review of research findings. World Psychiatry 5(1):25 Murthy RS, Lakshminarayana R (2006) Mental health consequences of war: a brief review of research findings. World Psychiatry 5(1):25
Zurück zum Zitat Sanjuán A M (2005) Venezuela and the Colombian conflict: tensions, problems, and uncertainties. Elusive Peace Int Nation Local Dimen Conflict Colombia. Springer, pp 97–116 Sanjuán A M (2005) Venezuela and the Colombian conflict: tensions, problems, and uncertainties. Elusive Peace Int Nation Local Dimen Conflict Colombia. Springer, pp 97–116
Zurück zum Zitat Boutellis A (2013) Chad and the Central African Republic. Respond Conflict Africa. Springer, pp 121–144 Boutellis A (2013) Chad and the Central African Republic. Respond Conflict Africa. Springer, pp 121–144
Metadaten
Titel
World War III analysis using signed social networks
verfasst von
Ranjana Roy Chowdhury
Shivam Gupta
Sravanthi Chede
Publikationsdatum
01.12.2021
Verlag
Springer Vienna
Erschienen in
Social Network Analysis and Mining / Ausgabe 1/2021
Print ISSN: 1869-5450
Elektronische ISSN: 1869-5469
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13278-021-00822-3

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 1/2021

Social Network Analysis and Mining 1/2021 Zur Ausgabe

Premium Partner